Youmans: Three college football bets I like


Quarterback D’Eriq King transferred to Miami to play on a big stage, and it gets no bigger than this on the second Saturday in October. The early-season hype surrounding the Hurricanes means nothing if they get blown away by top-ranked Clemson.

The Tigers have been double-digit favorites in 32 consecutive regular-season games and rarely get challenged in ACC play, so this is the only true measuring-stick game on Miami’s schedule.

The Hurricanes, 3-0 and ranked No. 7, storm into Death Valley to take on Trevor Lawrence and the Tigers in the prime-time spotlight. The quarterback duel between King and Lawrence has Heisman Trophy stakes.

King, a transfer from Houston, has been sensational in a new offense while completing 67% of his passes with six touchdowns and no interceptions. He also has rushed for 157 yards. Cam’Ron Harris is the team’s top rusher with 311 yards (8.2 per carry) and five TDs. Miami is scoring 43.3 points per game after double-digit victories over UAB, Louisville and Florida State.

It helped the Hurricanes’ cause to have a bye week to prepare for Clemson, as the Tigers failed to cover last week as a 28-point favorite in a 41-23 victory over Virginia. Lawrence passed for 329 yards and three TDs, and Travis Etienne accounted for 187 total yards (114 receiving, 73 rushing) against the Cavaliers. Lawrence has a streak of 314 pass attempts without an interception.

The Clemson defense allowed 417 total yards against Virginia, something that should encourage King and Miami’s creative offensive coordinator, Rhett Lashlee. The Hurricanes appear worthy of the hype, partly because their defense is fast and physical and mostly because King is an experienced playmaker who can trade shots with Lawrence.

Underdog bettors are not asking for an upset -- just to be competitive and cover a big number.

The pick: Miami + 15.5

Oklahoma (-2) over Texas: The Big 12 is on the brink of postseason irrelevance after the Longhorns were upset by TCU and the Sooners were stunned for the second straight week. Texas’ main advantage this week is the experience of senior quarterback Sam Ehlinger, who leads the nation with 14 touchdown passes. Oklahoma’s Lincoln Riley has the coaching edge. The Sooners, after dropping back-to-back regular-season games for the first time since 1999, seem more likely to bounce back. This one will take place at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.

Florida State (+ 21) over NOTRE DAME: A coronavirus outbreak in the Fighting Irish program means this will be their first game in three weeks. The layoff is probably a negative for the offense, and senior quarterback Ian Book has started slowly anyway.

The defense is yielding just 6.5 points through two games against below-averages offenses, and here comes another struggling offense. Florida State scored a combined 23 points in its first two games, losses to Georgia Tech and Miami. However, Seminoles coach Mike Norvell benched two quarterbacks before turning to sophomore Jordan Travis, a transfer from Louisville who led five consecutive touchdown drives last week in a 41-24 victory over Jacksonville State. The QB switch should help the 'dog stay within three touchdowns.

Last week: 3-0-1

Season: 10-2-2

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A Numbers Game: Pay attention to stats and trends that are completely lopsided. For example, Matt Rhule and the Panthers are 1-25 straight up when allowing their opponent to score 17 or more points.

Follow The Money: Be aware of Miami's backloaded schedule when betting either side of their 11.5 win total. In December: at SF, at LAC, at BUF, vs GB.

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Adam Burke: Washington -2.5 vs UCLA

Pauly Howard: Golden Knights Under 97 points for the season.

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings: 3 sets of numbers from Steve Makinen. GO HERE.

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