World Junior Hockey Championship Betting Preview: Sweden at USA

December 28, 2021 12:03 PM

On Boxing Day, I recommended three World Junior Hockey Championship bets. Sweden covered the alternate (-1.5) puck line at + 235, while the Czech Republic covered the puck line (+ 3.5) at + 105. The third play, over seven goals (+ 110) in the game featuring Team USA and Slovakia, was a loser. All in all, it was a profitable start to the tournament.

All lines and odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

World Junior Hockey Championship Record:

2-1, + 2.4 units, 80 percent ROI, Avg. Odds + 138

Sweden (+ 105) at USA (-130)

Sweden has had a great start to the tournament, with wins over Russia (6-3) and Slovakia (3-0) but they’ll face their toughest test when they take on Team USA on Wednesday. The Americans have been sitting since being forced to forfeit Tuesday’s game against Switzerland after two players tested positive for COVID. The team had to isolate, but it doesn’t sound like the virus has spread to any other players and, barring any changes, the game will be played.

Oddsmakers had made the Americans a much bigger favorite, but the market has shifted a lot. Still, I believe there’s value in taking the dog here at + 100 or better, as Sweden has not had their schedule disrupted, and therefore, they have their legs under them. They’ve already shown that they’re capable of taking down a tough opponent (Russia) and their defense, led by sixth overall draft pick Simon Edvinsson, is outstanding.

In their only game, the Americans narrowly defeated Slovakia by a score of 3-2, and I am not projecting any sort of offensive outburst from them on Wednesday. As mentioned, Sweden is great defensively, however, they also have an excellent goaltender between the pipes. Jesper Wallstedt is being touted as the next Henrik Lundqvist and he’s been living up to the hype. The 19-year-old goaltender, who is making his second appearance at the tournament, has posted a .962 save percentage in two games. Take Sweden on the moneyline (overtime included) and the alternate puck line.


Sweden + 105

Sweden Alternate Puck Line -1.5, + 280



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