Numbers below are VSiN’s estimated “market” Power Ratings for the remaining 16 teams in the 2019 women’s World Cup. They are presented on a “goal supremacy” scale, meaning that they represent the fractional goal differences between teams.
These are based on late-week lines for “round of 16” action that begins Saturday with guidance from our sharpest soccer source, and can be used to estimate market expectations in future matchups.
First, from top to bottom:
4.5: Netherlands, Australia
4.1: Spain, Sweden
3.9: Brazil, Japan
Now, in bracket order:
Australia (4.5) vs. Norway (4.2)
England (4.7) vs. Cameroon (2.6)
France (5.2) vs. Brazil (3.9)
USA (5.3) vs. Spain (4.1)
Italy (3.8) vs. China (3.2)
Netherlands (4.5) vs. Japan (3.9)
Germany (4.9) vs. Nigeria (2.8)
Canada (4.3) vs. Sweden (4.1)
You can see that both the USA and France are favored by more than a goal to advance. They would play each other in the quarterfinals, with the Stars and Stripes currently expected to be a slight “road” favorite Friday in Paris.
Germany is the best team in the softer bottom half of the draw. I’ll update these on twitter @JeffFogle through the event.