Even as the faces in his supporting cast change, the song about Tom Brady remains the same. Brady and the New England Patriots pile up double-digit wins and pursue the Super Bowl each year.
Westgate SuperBook director John Murray said to expect something similar from Patrick Mahomes, even with the Kansas City Chiefs facing turbulent times.
When the Westgate posted NFL regular-season win totals Sunday morning, New England (11), Kansas City (10.5) and New Orleans (10.5) topped the list.
Murray said he’s unfazed by the troubling news surrounding Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who has been suspended from team-related activities while a domestic violence case is investigated, and there is a chance he will not play in 2019.
“To me, Kansas City is still the best team in the NFL even without Tyreek Hill,” Murray said. “There’s no doubt that could be a big loss for the Chiefs because he’s so explosive in the passing game. Mahomes is just such a terrific player. I actually think the Chiefs are going to be fine.”
Mahomes led the league in passing touchdowns (50) and ranked second in yards (5,097) last season. Hill blazed his way to 1,479 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns to rank fourth in both categories. The Kansas City offense took a hit last season when the team cut running back Kareem Hunt as fallout from a domestic violence issue.
“We figure Hill will miss at least eight games, if not the whole year,” said Westgate vice president of risk management Ed Salmons, who made a half-win adjustment on the Chiefs because of Hill’s status.
After a loss to the Patriots in the AFC title game, the Chiefs fired defensive coordinator Bob Sutton in the first of many changes. Kansas City traded its first-round draft pick to Seattle for defensive end Frank Clark.
“The Chiefs will be much better defensively with a new coaching staff and Frank Clark,” Murray said.
Eleven teams in the NFL won 10 or more games last season. The Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints tied for the best record at 13-3. Kansas City won 12 games. The top three teams in point differential were the Saints (plus-151), Chiefs (plus-144) and Rams (plus-143).
The Patriots’ 11-5 record last season was their worst since 2009. Based on the 2018 standings, New England (five-way tie for 27th) and Washington (32nd) face the league’s easiest schedules this season.
“The Chiefs are in a tough division,” Murray said. “One of the reasons New England’s win total is always so high is their division is so weak.”
Oakland faces the toughest schedule based on opponents’ combined 2018 record. The Raiders, 4-12 last season, will play seven games against teams that made the playoffs. Jon Gruden’s team is tagged with a win total of 6.
Arizona and Miami share the league’s lowest win total at 5. The Cardinals, who drafted Kyler Murray No. 1 overall, are priced slightly higher than the Dolphins, who acquired quarterback Josh Rosen in a trade with Arizona.
The Westgate also posted "Yes/No" playoff prop prices and games of the year.
NFL WIN TOTALS
New England Patriots 11 over -150
New Orleans Saints 10.5 over/under -110
Kansas City Chiefs 10.5 under -120
Los Angeles Rams 10.5 under -120
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5 over -150
Indianapolis Colts 9.5 over -140
Los Angeles Chargers 9.5 over -140
Cleveland Browns 9 over -130
Chicago Bears 9 over -120
Green Bay Packers 9 over/under -110
Pittsburgh Steelers 9 over/under -110
Minnesota Vikings 9 under -120
Dallas Cowboys 9 under -130
Baltimore Ravens 8.5 over -120
Seattle Seahawks 8.5 over -120
Atlanta Falcons 8.5 over/under -110
Houston Texans 8.5 under -140
San Francisco 49ers 8 over -120
Carolina Panthers 8 under -120
Jacksonville Jaguars 8 under -130
Tennessee Titans 8 under -130
New York Jets 7.5 over/under -110
Denver Broncos 7 over/under -110
Buffalo Bills 6.5 over -160
Detroit Lions 6.5 over -130
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.5 under -120
Washington Redskins 6.5 under -120
Cincinnati Bengals 6 over -130
Oakland Raiders 6 over/under -110
New York Giants 6 under -120
Arizona Cardinals 5 over/under -110
Miami Dolphins 5 under -120
(Source: Westgate SuperBook)
NFL PLAYOFF PROPS
Will these teams make the playoffs?
Arizona Yes plus-1,000/No -2,000
Atlanta Yes plus-170/No -200
Baltimore Yes plus-180/No -220
Buffalo Yes plus-500/No -700
Carolina Yes plus-240/No -300
Chicago Yes/No -110
Cincinnati Yes plus-700/No -1,100
Cleveland Yes even/No -120
Dallas Yes plus-105/No -125
Denver Yes plus-500/No -700
Detroit Yes plus-500/No -700
Green Bay Yes plus-110/No -130
Houston Yes plus-150/No -180
Indianapolis Yes -250/No plus-200
Jacksonville Yes plus-375/No -500
Kansas City Yes -550/No plus-400
LA Chargers Yes -220/No plus-180
LA Rams Yes -310/No plus-250
Miami Yes plus-1,100/No -2,500
Minnesota Yes plus-130/No -150
New England Yes -900/No plus-600
New Orleans Yes -310/No plus-250
NY Giants Yes plus-500/No -700
NY Jets Yes plus-300/No -400
Oakland Yes plus-700/No -1,110
Philadelphia Yes -190/No plus-160
Pittsburgh Yes plus-110/No -130
San Francisco Yes plus-240/No -300
Seattle Yes plus-160/No -190
Tampa Bay Yes plus-500/No -700
Tennessee Yes plus-375/No -500
Washington Yes plus-500/No -700
(Source: Westgate SuperBook)