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Weingarten: NFL MVP and Coach of the Year bets I like

December 14, 2021 07:56 PM
USATSI_17354291

Two more players were eliminated from MVP consideration this week. Lamar Jackson bowed out of this year’s MVP race with a high ankle sprain and a loss to the Browns, while Kyle Murray threw two interceptions in a loss to the Rams. Coupled with Murray missing three games, and I think it’s safe to say he’s not going to win MVP this year either.

Tom Brady is leading the NFL in touchdowns and passing yards, and although he’s doing it because of volume and garbage time, voters aren’t likely to look much deeper than his touchdown numbers. With the Bucs having the easiest strength of schedule over the final four weeks of the NFL season, it’s likely that Brady is going to win another MVP award.

But in the event that Brady somehow falters down the stretch (he is pretty old, after all) I would -- and have -- bet Cooper Kupp at 200/1 down to odds of 80/1. Kupp currently leads the NFL in every receiving category, and with 113 catches and 1,489 yards through 13 games he’s putting up numbers that have only been matched by Jerry Rice.

I understand that quarterback is the most valuable position in the NFL, but if Kupp wins the receiving triple crown and breaks 2,000 receiving yards he should warrant serious consideration for the MVP -- especially if the Rams catch the Cardinals for the NFC West division title. I think 200/1 is too high, particularly with the Rams facing the Ravens and their depleted secondary this weekend.

MVP odds

DraftKings 

Brady -175

Rodgers + 500

Stafford + 1400

Mahomes + 1400

Herbert + 1600

Taylor + 2000

Kupp + 5000

Circa

Brady -175

Rodgers + 525

Stafford + 1000

Taylor + 1400

Herbert + 1700

Mahomes + 2500

Kupp + 8000

BetMGM

Brady -150

Rodgers + 550

Mahomes + 1400

Stafford + 1400

Herbert + 1400

Taylor + 2000

Kupp + 2000

Coach of the Year

Bill Belichick is the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year, he’s currently -120 at Circa, + 110 at Draftkings and -125 at BetMGM.

Brian Flores (66/1 at BetMGM): Flores was runner-up last year and was the favorite going into the final week of the 2020 season, only for the Dolphins to lose to the Bills in Week 17.

This year after starting 1-7, the Dolphins are now 6-7 coming off their bye week and facing the New York Jets. A win against the Jets would put them back at .500, and coupled with a potential Patriots loss to the Colts this weekend in a game where the Patriots are 2.5-point underdogs could set up for Week 18’s Patriots/Dolphins game to be a very meaningful game for both teams.

Brandon Staley (25/1 at BetMGM): The Chargers face the Chiefs on Thursday night in Los Angeles. If the Chargers win, Brandon Staley would be 2-0 against defending AFC Champion Chiefs in his rookie head coaching season. I think a 2-0 record vs. the Chiefs and an AFC West division title would warrant serious Coach of the Year consideration.

Andy Reid (150/1 at BetMGM): Should the Chiefs win their seventh straight game on Thursday night and get their 10th win of the season, I think its time to consider Reid for Coach of the Year. After a 3-4 start for the Chiefs, Kansas City could finish the year with 11 straight wins and potentially even the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

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