Week 9 NFL picks: Best bets, odds for every game

By VSiN Staff  (VSiN.com) 

November 7, 2021 08:05 AM
USATSI_16931909

Welcome to another exciting weekend in the NFL.

Our VSiN experts -- Adam Burke, Dave Tuley, Will Hill, Wes Reynolds and Matt Youmans, along with Ben Brown from Pro Football Focus -- combine to give their opinions on every Sunday game in Week 9.

Note: Lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Thursday night.

Here are our Week 9 best bets:

Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins (-5.5, 46)

Brown: Myles Gaskin’s utilization is consistent, but he lacks efficiency, which is true for the entire Dolphins offense. He handled more than 50 percent of the Dolphins' rushing attempts over the past two weeks and easily eclipsed 11.5 carries as a result. Early-season questions about total snap percentage have dissipated, as Gaskin has played over 50 percent of the offensive snaps in six of eight games this season. 

The problem is that his rush attempts are dictated by game script. Gaskin has been involved when the Dolphins remain relevant in a game and Week 9 is the best opportunity for Miami to play ahead based on spread expectations.  All of this points toward Gaskin easily finishing with over 11.5 carries due to the Dolphins showcasing their ground-and-pound offense Sunday. 

Pick: Gaskin Over 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)

 

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (-10, 49.5)

Tuley: On VSiN, you’ll hear hosts talk all the time about coaches making horrible game-management decisions, with misuse of timeouts or challenges, deciding to go for two, etc. But I nominate Denver’s Vic Fangio for the worst we’ve seen since Anthony Lynn. It wasn’t his fault that his running backs kept fumbling, but he also called for a pass play on second down of their final drive that was incomplete and gave Washington a chance, especially after Melvin Gordon fumbled on third down. Somehow, Washington wasn’t able to do anything with its extra opportunity and the Broncos won in spite of Fangio. 

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