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WEEK 9 COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

By Bruce Marshall  () 

SMU at HOUSTON

The Mustangs have covered first three away this year and 6-1 vs. line overall. Home team has won past three and covered past four meetings. Tech edge-slight to SMU, based on team trends.

USC at COLORADO

Trojans are 8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS against Colorado since it entered Pac-12 in 2011. Buffaloes 1-4 past five as Boulder dogs (1 - 0 for Mel Tucker), and just 1-5 past six vs. line as host. Clay Helton a bit better vs. line TY (3-3) though Trojans still just 3-8 vs. points past 11 away from Coliseum. Tech edge-slight to SC, based on series trends.

CONNECTICUT at MASSACHUSETTS UConn road chalk? Huskies have not been since 2015. Huskies 0-19 past 19 as chalk! Last cover in role was 2012 vs. Maryland for Paul Pasqualoni. UMass just 1-6 vs. line TY but did cover as home dog vs. Akron. Tech edge-slight to UMass, based on UConn chalk marks.

ILLINOIS at PURDUE

Lovie Smith on 4 -10 spread skid past 14 as visitor. Purdue has won and covered past three meetings. Jeff Brohm was 0-4 as Ross-Ade chalk LY but 2-1 vs. spread at home TY. Tech edge-Purdue, based on team and series trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at ARMY

Army no covering machine this season, in fact Jeff Monken 0-3 vs. spread at Michie, 4-10 vs. spread at West Point since 2017. Spartans 6-3 vs. line last nine as road dogs. Tech edge-SJS, based on recent trends.

TROY at GEORGIA STATE

Chip Lindsey just 2-4 vs. line TY with Troy, which had posted winning spread marks the past four years for Neal Brown. But Trojans are 1-0 as road chalk (Akron) and 7-2 in chalk role away from home since 2017. Troy has won past 3 SU and covered past two vs. GS. Panthers still just 5-8 -1 vs. spread at old Turner Field since moving in two years ago. Tech edge-slight to Troy, based on series trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at CLEMSON

BC working on four covers in a row and 10-3 vs. spread past 13 away from Chestnut Hill. Steve Addazio also 11-2- 1 past 14 as dog and 3-1-2 past six vs. spread against Tigers. Dabo Swinney 3-1 vs. line at Death Valley TY and has covered four straight as ACC host. Tech edge-BC, based on team and series trends.

MEMPHIS at TULSA

Tigers 2-4-1 vs. points past seven on AAC trail. Memphis has won and covered three of past four meetings including last two blowouts at Tulsa. Hurricane no covers in first three at home TY. Tech edge-Memphis, based on team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO

EMU not covering like in recent years, just 3-4 vs. line TY. But 2- 2 vs. line away, part of 17-4 spread run away from home since 2016. Eagles have covered past three meetings. Rockets have dropped past two badly this season but covered past five at Glass Bowl. Tech edge-slight to EMU, based on team trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at TEXAS A&M

MSU no covers first three away TY, four in a row away since late 2018. Joe Moorhead 1-4 as dog with MSU. Bulldogs won and covered past three and 5 - 1 vs. spread past six in series, however. Jimbo Fisher 1-3 vs. line last four TY after covering

13 of first 16 with Aggies. Tech edge-slight to

MSU, based on series trends.

UCF at TEMPLE

UCF no covers past four TY after 13-4 spread run previous 17 on board. Knights have won and covered past two in series and 4-1 vs. line last five vs. Owls. Temple 19-6 getting points since 2015. Tech edge-Temple, based on team trends.

BOWLING GREEN at WESTERN MICHIGAN Falcons 0 - 3 vs. line away TY, 13-31 against line since late 2015. Broncos however just 7-15 vs. spread past 22 on board, though 3- 1 vs. points at Waldo this year. Tech edge-slight to WMU, based on team trends.

INDIANA at NEBRASKA

After covering last seven Big Ten games LY, Scott Frost no covers first four vs. league TY. Huskers 1-6 vs. points in 2019. If getting points, note Hoosiers’ 3-0 mark as visiting dogs since LY. Tech edge-IU, based on recent trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BUFFALO

Jim McElwain has covered past five TY and 6-1 vs.

spread in 2019. Meanwhile, Bulls 3-6 vs. points

since late LY (2 - 4 2019), though 8-3-1 vs. line last 12 as host. Tech edge-CMU, based on recent trends.

IOWA at NORTHWESTERN

Pat Fitzgerald has won and covered past three meetings (dog in each), and Hawkeyes have dropped past three vs. line TY. Fitz 16-7-1 getting points since 2016 (2- 3 TY). Tech edge-NU, based on recent and series trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at EAST CAROLINA Dog team 3-0-1 in past four meetings. Note “unders” 5-1 in first six ECU games for Mike Houston TY. Tech edge-USF and “under,’ based on recent trends.

SYRACUSE at FLORIDA STATE

Orange 9-3 as visiting dog entering TY but 0-2 in role so far in 2019, and only 1-5 vs. spread past six TY. Syracuse has covered past two vs. FSU.

Willie Taggart 7 -12 vs. spread past 19 on board. Tech edge-slight to Syracuse, based on team and recent series trends.

LIBERTY at RUTGERS

Flames have covered three of past four. Rutgers sliding with no wins or covers past six TY. Tech edge-Liberty, based on Rutgers woes.

SOUTHERN MISS at RICE

Rice 8-5 past 13 vs. spread since mid-2018 and 10-6 as dog for Mike Bloomgren. Owls 0-7 SU this season. Tech edge-Rice, based on team trends.

CALIFORNIA at UTAH

Justin Wilcox 3-0 as dog this year, and dog 7-0 in Cal games TY. Golden Bears 6-1 past seven as dogs and have covered past eight as road dogs. Tech edge-Cal, based on team trends.

NEVADA at WYOMING

Craig Bohl on 9-2 spread run since late 2018, 5-1 past six vs. spread at Laramie. Wolf Pack 4 -8 L12 as visiting dogs. Tech edge-Wyo, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at AIR FORCE

Falcons 3-0- 1 vs. line last four in series. Air Force easy covers in past two vs. Hawaii and Fresno. Tech edge-slight to Force, based on series trends.

HAWAII at NEW MEXICO

Bob Davie 2-5 vs. line TY, Lobos on 10-22 spread skid since late 2016. UNM 3 -13 past 16 vs. line at home. Tech edge-UH, based on Lobo woes.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MARSHALL Thundering Herd 2 -5 vs. line TY, no covers past five at Huntington. WKU has covered past four and five of past six. Tech edge-WKU, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at STANFORD

Cardinal 2-6 ATS in past eight after UCLA loss. Tech edge-slight to Arizona, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON

Mike Leach has won and covered past four vs. Ducks, and covered all seven since taking over WSU in 2012. Cougars have actually covered past nine meetings! Leach 13-6 as dog since 2015. Ducks 2-2 vs. line at Eugene TY and Mario Cristobal 4- 5 vs. points as Eugene chalk. Tech edge-WSU, based on series trends.

COLORADO STATE at FRESNO STATE Bulldogs 1-3- 1 vs. line last five TY after 21-6- 2 spread mark previous for Jeff Tedford. Rams

6-3 vs. spread past nine since late LY and have covered past three on Mountain West road. Tech edge-slight to CSU, based on recent trends.

MISSOURI at KENTUCKY

Mizzou on 18-9 spread run in regular season. Mark Stoops 5- 12 vs. spread as host since 2017. Road team has covered past three meetings. Tech edge-Mizzou, based on recent and series trends.

DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA

David Cutcliffe 26-13-1 as a dog since 2013 and has won SU past three vs. Tar Heels. Tech edge-slight to Duke, based on team trends.

PENN STATE at MICHIGAN STATE

Mark Dantonio has won and covered past two and four of past five in series since James Franklin arrived at PSU in 2014. MSU dog marks flattening (7-7 since 2016) and no covers past five at home. Tech edge-MSU, based on series trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at KENT STATE

RedHawks 2-5 vs. line TY but they have been notoriously slow starters in recent years. Miami

13-5 vs. spread last half of regular season since 2016. Home team however has covered past three in series. Flashes 5 -2 vs. spread at Dix since LY. Tech edge-slight to Kent State, based on team trends.

APPALACHIAN STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA

App State 5-1 vs. line TY, 18 - 4-1 vs. points since late 2017, 10-1 past 11 vs. spread away. Tech edge-App State, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN

Aggies 6-16 past 22 in regular season vs. line (3-4 TY), 3-6 past nine as road dogs. GS was 6-1 vs. spread at Statesboro entering this season (1-2 TY). Tech edge-slight to GS, based on NMSU woes.

OKLAHOMA STATE at IOWA STATE Road team has covered past three in series. Cyclones 3-1 vs. line at home TY. Tech edge-slight to ISU, based on recent trends.

FIU at MIDDLE TENNESSEE

Butch Davis was 15-6 vs. line entering 2019, but

2-5 vs. line TY. FIU has covered four of past five in series. Tech edge-FIU, based on team and series trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at OLD DOMINION Lane Kiffin has covered first three on road TY and five straight away since late 2018. He’s also 2-0 SU and vs. line against ODU. Note road team 6-1 vs. line in Monarch games to date. Tech edge-FAU, based on team and series trends.

OHIO at BALL STATE

Frank Solich only 1-6 vs. line TY, but has not had

a losing spread year since 2014. Cards just 3-5 vs. spread past eight at Muncie though Mike Neu has covered past four TY. Tech edge-slight to Ball, based on recent trends.

ARKANSAS at ALABAMA

Nick Saban just 1-3-1 vs. points past five vs. Hogs. Nick 8-4 - 1 vs. points past 13 as SEC host. Arkansas 2-5-1 past eight as visiting dog (not counting Arlington vs. A&M). Tech edge-slight to Bama, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at TENNESSEE

Will Muschamp 7 -1 as visiting dog (if dog here) since 2017. Note that underdog has covered past seven meetings. Vols 5-14 vs. spread at Neyland since 2017 (2-3 TY).

Tech edge-SC based on team and series trends.

OKLAHOMA at KANSAS STATE

Sooners only 10-11-1 past 22 on board since late 2017. Host has covered past three in series. Chris Klieman 2-1 as dog TY after Bill Snyder was 15-5 as short previous three seasons. Tech edge-slight to KSU, based on team and series trends.

MARYLAND at MINNESOTA

P.J. Fleck 0-2 SU and vs. line against Terrapins, but Gophers have won and covered past four TY and 4-1 past five vs. line as Big Ten host. Terps 2-8 vs. number past 10 as Big Ten visitor. Tech edge-Minnesota, based on recent trends.

TULANE at NAVY

Midshipmen on 9-1 spread run since late 2018 and have covered past five at Annapolis. Road team has covered past four meetings. Tech edge-slight to Navy, based on team trends.

TEXAS at TEXAS CHRISTIAN

Tom Herman and the Longhorns have covered their past four away from Austin. Frogs just 3 - 7 vs. line last 10 at Fort Worth, Gary Patterson only 4- 5 past nine as dog after good marks earlier in role. Tech edge-Texas, based on recent trends.

MIAMI at PITTSBURGH

Hurricanes 1-7 vs. line against ACC foes away from Hard Rock. Panthers 7- 3-1 vs. spread past 11 at home. Home team has won and covered past three meetings. Tech edge-Pitt, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at LOUISVILLE

Scott Satterfield 17- 6-1 vs. line since late 2017 with App State and Louisville. Home team has covered past three meetings. Tech edge-Louisville, based on team trends.

AKRON at NORTHERN ILLINOIS

Zips 0-7 vs. line this year in Tom Arth debut.

Huskies 10-4 as DD chalk since 2015. Tech edge–

NIU, based on Akron negatives.

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS

Kliff Kingsbury took care of KU, with blowout wins for Red Raiders past three years. Tech edge-TT, based on series trends.

NORTH TEXAS at CHARLOTTE

UNT 2-11 vs. line last 13 on board since mid-2018. Mean Green also 1-7 vs. points past eight away. But Charlotte no covers past four TY. Tech edge-slight to Charlotte, based on UNT negatives.

WISCONSIN at OHIO STATE

Buckeyes six straight covers TY. Paul Chryst on 6-2 spread run with Badgers and also 8-4 as dog since arriving in 2015. Wiscy also 16- 6 vs. spread past 22 as visitor. Tech edge-slight to OSU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS STATE at ARKANSAS STATE

Jake Spavital just 1-4-1 vs. line in TSU debut, though Ark State only 2-5 vs. line TY after ULL loss. But Red Wolves 10-4 vs. mark past 14 as Sun Belt host. Tech edge-slight to ASU, based on team trends.

AUBURN at LSU

Ed Orgeron has been able to beat Gus Malzahn, won and covered both vs. Gus as dog. Malzahn 6-11 past 17 as dog. Tech edge-LSU, based on series trends.

LOUISIANA TECH at UTEP

Skip Holtz 28-14- 1 vs. line away from Ruston since 2014. UTEP has covered three of past four meetings, though Miners just 2-12 past 14 vs. points at Sun Bowl. Tech edge-La Tech, based on team trends.

NOTRE DAME at MICHIGAN

Brian Kelly 4-3 past seven in rare dog role. Jim Harbaugh is 1-8 vs. points past nine in non -Big Ten games. Tech edge-Notre Dame, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at UCLA

Chip Kelly 1-6 vs. spread past seven at Rose Bowl, but has covered three of past four TY after Stanford win. UCLA still just 25 -44 vs. spread since 2014. Tech edge-slight to ASU, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at UNLV

Rocky Long has covered five of past six TY and all four on road. SDS also 7- 2 past 9 as visiting chalk. Tony Sanchez just 3-7 past 10 as Sam Boyd Stadium dog. Tech edge-SDSU, based on team trends.

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