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Week 8 NFL picks: Best bets, odds for every game

By VSiN Staff  ( 


Welcome to another exciting weekend in the NFL.

Our VSiN experts -- Adam Burke, Dave Tuley, Will Hill and Matt Youmans, along with Ben Brown from Pro Football Focus -- combine to give their opinions on every game.

Note: Lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Thursday night.

Here are our Week 8 best bets:

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-14, 48.5)

Tuley: The Bills were -11 on the advance line last week, and it was reopened at -13.5 after the Dolphins lost a close game to the Falcons on Sunday and the Bills were on a bye. It has since been bet up to -14, which looks like an overadjustment to me. Granted, the Falcons don’t compare to the Bills, especially on defense, but I saw some signs of life from QB  Tua Tagovailoa, RB Myles Gaskin and Co. that showed me the Dolphins could stay within two TDs. Yes, I know the Bills  blanked the Dolphins 35-0 in Week 2, but that’s the nature of the NFL. Sometimes games turn into routs that don’t indicate how close these teams are.

Pick: Dolphins + 14

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 46)

Brown: Christian McCaffrey’s hamstring injury has torpedoed Carolina’s offense. Running backs aren’t supposed to matter, but the Panthers went from a top-10 offense in estimated points added (EPA) per offensive play in three games with McCaffrey to 31st in four games played without him.

Hubbard simply hasn’t been able to fill the void created by McCaffrey’s injury. Hubbard has gone over his rushing and receiving yardage prop just once in four games as Carolina’s featured back. Hubbard isn’t coming close to McCaffrey’s usage, never hitting more than 63 percent of the offensive snaps played in the past four games. He has a 9.8 percent target share percentage in the past four weeks, but the one bright spot is his team rushing share percentage at 75.6 percent.

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