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WEEK 8 COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

By Bruce Marshall  () 

SOUTH ALABAMA at TROY

In this Sun Belt matchup, the Jaguars have covered three of the last four meetings. Troy 1-4 ATS for coach Chip Lindsey. Note “unders” last five for USA. Tech edge — slight to USA, based on team trends.

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE at ARKANSAS STATE Ragin’ Cajuns 5-1 vs. line this year and have covered seven of last eight in regular season (including Sun Belt title game LY). Now 12-2-2 last

16 in regular season vs. line. Red Wolves 0-2 vs. line at Jonesboro TY, though home team has won and covered last five in series. Tech edge — ULL, based on recent trends.

UCLA at STANFORD

The Cardinal won the last 11 SU in series, 10-1 ATS in those games. Chip Kelly on 3-9 spread slide,

24-44 vs. points since 2014. Tech edge — Stanford, based on team and series trends.

MARSHALL at FLORIDA ATLANTIC

Herd is a not-so-thundering 1-5 vs. line TY, now 1-8 last nine regular-season games. Also 2-5 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Lane Kiffin 3-1 as chalk TY. Tech edge — FAU, based on recent trends.

PITTSBURGH at SYRACUSE

Pat Narduzzi 2-0 as road dog TY, 14-6 in role since 2015. Dino Babers 2-1 as chalk TY, 8-3 in role since

2018. Dog team has covered last four in series. Tech edge — Pitt, based on team and series trends.

OHIO STATE at NORTHWESTERN Buckeyes have covered last five TY and seven straight regular-season games, counting Big Ten title game LY. Ryan Day 7-2 vs. line counting interim games LY. Cats have covered last two as dogs. Pat Fitzgerald 16-6-1 as dog since 2016. Tech edge — slight to NU, based on extended trends.

UNLV at FRESNO STATE

Tony Sanchez is decent as road dog, 16-8 during career in role, though just 1-5 last six as Mountain West road dog. Sanchez has won two of last three SU vs. Fresno but was blasted 48-3 LY. Jeff Tedford 21-9-3 vs. spread with Fresno since 2017 but only 7-5 as home chalk. Tech edge — slight to Fresno, based on team trends.

DUKE at VIRGINIA

David Cutcliffe 26-13-1 as a dog since 2013 but has lost and failed to cover last four vs. Cavaliers. Virginia no covers last four TY. Tech edge — slight to Virginia, based on series trends.

GEORGIA TECH at MIAMI

Tech 0-9 on board since late LY (0-6 TY for Geoff Collins). Tech edge — slight to Miami, based on team trends.

CLEMSON at LOUISVILLE

Scott Satterfield 17-5-1 vs. spread since late 2017 at Appalachian State and 5-2 as dog since 2017. Dabo Swinney 5-2-1 last eight as visiting chalk and 5-0 SU vs. Cards since 2014, covering last three. Tech edge

— slight to Louisville, based on Satterfield trends.

ARMY at GEORGIA STATE

Army 7-2 vs. line last nine away from Michie, though only 2-4 overall vs. line TY. GSU just 4-8-1 vs. spread since 2017 at the old Turner Field. Tech edge — Army, based on team trends.

BUFFALO at AKRON

Zips 0-5 vs. line, 1-7 last 8 at Infocision. Bulls no covers first three away TY but 5-1 away LY. Tech edge — Buffalo, based on Akron woes.

INDIANA at MARYLAND

Mike Locksley is 3-1 as chalk TY, with the three wins all by 40 or more. Home team has won and covered last three meetings. But IU has covered last three as visiting dog. Tech edge — slight to Maryland, based on series trends.

HOUSTON at CONNECTICUT

Dana Holgorsen 3-1 vs. line away from TDECU. UConn just 4-14 vs. line since 2018. Tech edge — Houston, based on UConn woes.

FLORIDA STATE at WAKE FOREST Seminoles have covered only one of last four vs. Wake. Deacons on 5-3 spread run since late 2018. Tech edge — Wake, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at GEORGIA SOUTHERN Coastal is just 1-5 last six as dog. GSU 4-0 as home chalk since LY. Tech edge — GS, based on team trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BOWLING GREEN Jim McElwain has covered last five and six of last seven TY. BG 13-30 vs. line since late 2015. Tech edge — CMU, based on recent trends.

EAST CAROLINA at CENTRAL FLORIDA ECU has covered the last two, a big deal considering Pirates were 11-28-1 vs. spread in

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previous 40. UCF has rolled last three years in series. Tech edge — UCF, based on team trends.

TULSA at CINCINNATI

Road teams 6-0 vs. line in Tulsa games TY, though Cincy 6-2 last eight as home chalk. Tech edge — slight to Tulsa, based on recent trends.

N.C. STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE

Wolfpack now 2-6 vs. spread last eight away. BC has covered last three in series and 8-4 vs. spread last 12 at Chestnut Hill. Tech edge — BC, based on team and series trends.

PURDUE at IOWA

Jeff Brohm 9-4 as a dog with Boilermakers since 2017 (1-1 TY). Road series deluxe as visitor has covered each of last eight years and nine in a row back to 2008. Tech edge — slight to Purdue, based on series trends.

KENT STATE at OHIO

Frank Solich only 1-5 vs. line TY but was 8-3 as home chalk the previous two years. But Solich has covered four of last five years in series (Kent State won in 2018). Tech edge — slight to Ohio, based on extended series trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN WMU 0-3 vs. line away TY, 2-9 vs. spread last 11 away from Waldo. Tech edge — slight to EMU, based on team trends.

KANSAS at TEXAS

No letdown lately for Texas after facing Oklahoma, as Longhorns 3-1 vs. line last 4 immediately after Sooners. Jayhawks have surprisingly covered last three in series. Tech edge — slight KU, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at ILLINOIS

Badgers have covered six of last seven since late 2018, 10-2 as visiting chalk since 2016. Wisconsin has covered five of last seven meetings. Tech edge — Wisconsin, based on team trends.

NEVADA at UTAH STATE

Jay Norvell 4-7 as visiting dog with Wolf Pack since 2017. Norvell 4-8 as DD dog. Aggies have failed to cover last two after 12-3-1 spread run in previous 16 games. Tech edge — slight to Utah State, based on team trends.

BOISE STATE at BYU

Broncos 37-16 as visiting chalk since 2009. Kalani Sitake 1-4-1 as Provo dog since 2016. Tech edge — Boise State, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO at WYOMING

Bob Davie 9-21 last 30 on board since late 2016, no covers last six on road. Craig Bohl on 9-2 spread run and 7-0 last nine as Laramie chalk. Wyoming has won and covered big last two meetings as well. Tech edge — Wyoming, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at UTAH

Herm Edwards 5-1 as visiting dog with ASU, and

Sun Devils have won last two outright as dogs vs.

Utes. Tech edge — ASU, based on team trends.

TOLEDO at BALL STATE

Home team has covered seven straight regular-season games involving Rockets. UT has won last five SU vs. Ball (3-2 vs. line). Mike Neu 2-7 as Muncie dog since 2016. Tech edge — slight to Toledo, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at MIAMI (OHIO) Miami has covered last five and seven of last eight MAC games at home. Tech edge — slight to Miami, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at CALIFORNIA

Bears have won and covered last two and four of last five meetings. Justin Wilcox, however, on 0-6-1 Berkeley chalk skid since last season (0-3 TY). Tech edge — OSU, based on team trends.

OREGON at WASHINGTON

Ducks are 2-5 last seven vs. spread away from Eugene. Chris Petersen 3-1 vs. line at home TY after 1-5 as home chalk LY. Tech edge — UW, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

Clay Helton 11-22 in last 33 on board, 4-10 last 14 as Coliseum chalk. Tech edge — Arizona, based on Helton woes.

COLORADO at WASHINGTON STATE Mike Leach has pounded Buffaloes last two and three of last four years. Colorado 2-7 vs. line last nine on Pac-12 road. Tech edge — Leach, based on series trends.

FLORIDA at SOUTH CAROLINA

Will Muschamp 13-4 last 17 as a dog since late 2016 and has covered last two vs. Gators. Dan Mullen, however, 4-0 as visiting chalk with Florida. Tech edge — slight to Florida, based on Mullen trends.

KENTUCKY at GEORGIA

Kirby Smart just 4-5 in last eight vs. line at home. But Bulldogs have won nine in a row SU and covered last six vs. UK. Tech edge — slight to Georgia, based on series trends.

TEXAS CHRISTIAN at KANSAS STATE Frogs just 2-6 vs. line last eight on Big 12 road. KSU has dropped last two SU and ATS after Chris Klieman broke 3-0 from gate. Tech edge — slight to K-State, based on series trends.

LSU at MISSISSIPPI STATE

MSU 3-0 as Starkville dog since 2017, and Joe Moorhead 8-2 vs. spread as host since LY. Ed Orgeron 8-3 vs. points last 11 as visitor. Tech edge — slight to LSU, based on recent trends.

TENNESSEE at ALABAMA

Nick Saban 12-0 SU vs. Vols since arriving at Bama. Last Tide coach to lose to UT was Mike Shula in 2006. Saban, however, only 4-5 vs. spread last nine at Tuscaloosa. He has won and covered last three vs. Vols in big fashion. Tech edge — Bama, based on series trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at LOUISIANA TECH Golden Eagles are 3-0-1 vs. spread last four in series. Skip Holtz just 4-10 vs. line last 14 at Ruston. Tech edge — USM, based on team trends.

OLD DOMINION at UAB

UAB 22-10-1 vs. line since 2017, 11- 2-1 vs. spread at Legion Field in that span. Road team has covered in first six ODU games this season. Tech edge — UAB, based on team trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA Ex-coach Dana Holgorsen was 0-7 SU vs. OU and 0 -4-1 last five meetings. Lincoln Riley 10-6 as home chalk since 2017 for Sooners. Tech edge — OU, based on series and team trends.

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA STATE

Mike Gundy 7-2 vs. line at Stillwater since LY (2- 0 TY). Home team has won and covered last three in series. Matt Rhule, however, 7-2 as dog since LY. Tech edge — slight to OSU, based on team and series trends.

AUBURN at ARKANSAS

Gus Malzahn has won and covered last three meetings. Six-game cover streak for Malzahn snapped at Florida. Tech edge — Auburn, based on series trends.

TEXAS A&M at MISSISSIPPI

Jimbo Fisher 13-6 vs. line at A&M, though he has dropped last three. Hugh Freeze used to cover every year vs. Kevin Sumlin (five in row 2012-

16), and Rebels getting better with two covers in a row. Tech edge — Ole Miss, based on recent trends.

TULANE at MEMPHIS

Willie Fritz 6-1 SU and vs. line since late 2018. Home team has covered last three in series, and Green Wave 1-4 as visiting dog since LY. Mike Norvell 11-3 vs. line last 14 at Liberty Bowl. Tech edge — slight to Memphis, based on team and series trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH Mack Brown now 4 -2 vs. line in Chapel Hill return engagement. Heels on 14-7 spread uptick since late 2017. Hokies 1-4 vs. line TY, Justin Fuente

3-8 vs. points last 11 at Blacksburg. Tech edge — UNC, based on recent trends.

MINNESOTA at RUTGERS

Schedule keeps breaking well for P.J. Fleck. Gophers now 3 -0-1 vs. spread last four away from home. No covers last five for Rutgers, which had covered six straight prior. Tech edge — Minnesota, based on recent trends.

IOWA STATE at TEXAS TECH Cyclones 4-1 last five as road chalk. Matt

Campbell has won and covered last three vs.

Tech. Tech edge — ISU, based on series trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at NAVY

Midshipmen 8-1 last nine vs. spread since late 2018, best Navy spread run since late 2013. Tech edge — Navy, based on team trends.

UL-MONROE at APPALACHIAN STATE

App State on 16- 4-1 spread uptick since late 2017. Warhawks covered last two meetings in 2016-17, however. Tech edge — App State, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at VANDERBILT

Commodores 0 -7 vs. line since late 2018. Tigers 2-7 vs. line last nine away from Columbia. Tech edge — Mizzou, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE Spartans had lost and failed to cover five in a row vs. SDSU before cover LY at SDCCU. Rocky Long 10-3 vs. spread as visitor since 2017 (3-0 TY). Tech edge — slight to SDSU, based on extended series and team trends.

CHARLOTTE at WESTERN KENTUCKY Hilltoppers 5-0 vs. line in C-USA since late LY. Home team has won and covered big last two years. Tech edge — WKU, based on team and series trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at NORTH TEXAS Mean Green 2-5 vs. line last seven at Denton, 3-11 last 14 overall vs. number. Tech edge — MTSU, based on recent trends.

RICE at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO

Rice 8-4 vs. spread last 12 on board and 7- 3 vs. line last 10 as visitor. UTSA 2-11 last 13 vs. spread at Alamodome. Tech edge — Rice, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at SOUTHERN METHODIST Home team 5 - 0 vs. line in Temple games TY. Owls on 18-5 uptick as dogs (1-0 TY for Rod Carey) . Sonny Dykes 4 -1 as chalk TY after no covers previous four in role. Tech edge — slight to Temple, based on team trends.

UTEP at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL Miners 6 -16- 1 last 23 vs. line since mid- 2017. FIU 15-6 vs. spread entering 2009 and has now covered last two. Tech edge — FIU, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at PENN STATE

Wolverines 1-8 ATS last nine away from home.

Host team has won in blowouts last three years.

Tech edge — Penn State, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at HAWAII

Warriors 5-12-2 vs. line at Aloha for Nick Rolovich. Road team has covered last three meetings (none since 2016). Tech edge — Air Force, based on team trends.

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