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WEEK 7 NFL TRENDS

By Bruce Marshall  () 

KANSAS CITY at DENVER

The Broncos covered both meetings last season after the Chiefs had won and covered the preceding five. Andy Reid has no covers in the last four this season. Denver “under” 13-2 in last 15 since mid-2018. Tech edge — Broncos and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

ARIZONA at NY GIANTS

Cardinals have actually covered three in a row on the road since late 2018. Giants were 1-4-1 in last six as chalk entering 2019 but 1-0 in role this year (vs. Redskins). NY 1-4 ATS in last five at MetLife. Tech edge — slight to Cards, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS

Indianapolis won and covered the last two vs. Texans LY, including wild card, though the road team won and covered all three meetings. Texans 7-1-1 vs. spread in last nine away. Colts, however, on 7-2 spread run in last nine in regular season. Houston “over” 4-1-1 last six away. Tech edge — slight to Texans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MIAMI at BUFFALO

Matt Moore is the only Dolphins QB to win or cover in Buffalo in the last eight years (2011, 2016); Bills have covered the other six. Dolphins no covers in seven of last eight on board since late 2018. Bills 6-1 last seven ATS since late 2018. Buffalo “under” last five and seven of eight since late 2018. Tech edge — Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at DETROIT

Vikings are 2-5 ATS in last seven on the road, though have won and covered last two at Ford Field and last three overall vs. Lions. Mike Zimmer “under” 18-6-1 since late 2017 and “unders” 5-1 last six in series. Tech edge — “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

OAKLAND at GREEN BAY

Jon Gruden has won and covered the last two away after 1-8 mark in previous nine away. Raiders also “over” last three after “under” 5-0-1 preceding six. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are 4-2 ATS this season after Monday vs. Lions. Tech edge — slight to Pack, based on team trends.

JACKSONVILLE at CINCINNATI

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew is 3-2 ATS as Jaguars starter. Bengals 1-7 vs. spread last eight at

Paul Brown. Bengals “under” 6-2-2 last 10 since late 2018. Tech edge — Jags and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

LA RAMS at ATLANTA

Falcons 1-5 vs. line TY, 3-11 last 14 vs. spread since mid-2018. Atlanta also 2-9 last 11 as dog. Rams lost last two TY but 6-2 vs. points last eight regular-season games. Tech edge — Rams, based on team trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at WASHINGTON Opposite ends of 2019 spectrum, SF 5-0 SU and

4-1 vs. line while Redskins 1-5 SU and 1-5 vs. line. Washington 0-3 ATS at home TY, no covers last five at FedEx. Tech edge — 49ers, based on recent trends.

LA CHARGERS at TENNESSEE

Philip Rivers is 1-5 ATS this season, but the Chargers are 8-1 vs. line in last nine as visitors in regular season outside LA city limits. Chargers also 7-1 “under” in regular season since late 2018. Titans no covers last three and “under” last five in 2019. Tech edge — Chargers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

BALTIMORE at SEATTLE

John Harbaugh has covered his last six as an underdog and 5-1 ATS last six away. Pete Carroll has no covers last four at home. Ravens “over” 5-2 last seven in regular season, and Seahawks “over” 11-3 last 14 since mid-2018. Tech edge — Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NEW ORLEANS at CHICAGO

Saints have covered in last four TY, 8-3 last 11 vs. points away. Bears 9-2 last 11 vs. spread in regular season at Soldier Field. Chicago “under” 9-2 last 11 since late 2018. Tech edge — slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS

Eagles have lost and failed to cover the last three in this NFC East series. Philly “over” 7-3 last 10 since late 2018. Dallas was on 9-1-1 spread run in regular season before losses in last three. Tech edge — slight to “over,” based on “totals” trends.

NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS

Jets covered the first meeting Sept. 22 and 5-1 vs. spread last six vs. Bill Belichick at MetLife. “Unders” 6-1 last seven meetings (barely “over” in September game). Belichick “under” 12-3 last 15 in regular season. Tech edge — Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

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