Week 6 NFL best bets: A play on every game

By VSiN Staff  (VSiN.com) 

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Week 6 of the very unique 2020 NFL season is here. 

With no Thursday night football, but games scheduled for Sunday and two on Monday, there are plenty of betting opportunities. Our experts Drew Dinsick, Dave Tuley and Matt Youmans combine to give their opinions on every game.

Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-1.5, 44.5)

Dinsick:  It is shocking to see both the Panthers and Bears firmly in the playoff hunt through five weeks given the low expectations for each team heading into this season. After three solid wins as an underdog, the Panthers have finally earned some market respect as a small favorite; this is warranted given their performance in the absence of star running back Christian McCaffrey. Carolina’s passing offense has emerged with a top-five offensive passing unit, adding 0.17 expected points per play.  

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Unfortunately for the Panthers, this newfound passing success runs directly into the strength of Bears defense, which is currently No. 4 in the NFL in passing defense, forcing a negative 0.06 points per dropback by opposing offenses. Considering the injuries to the Carolina defensive front seven, the Bears may finally get their ground game going which would shorten the game. When combined with the expectation of regression for the Panthers passing attack, it provides a nice edge on the under 44.5 in this contest with a fair total of 41 points by my numbers. 

Pick: Under 44.5 

Detroit Lions (-3, 54.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Tuley: These teams are at 1-3 and 1-4, respectively, or right about where they were expected to be. The Jaguars upset the Colts in Week 1 and played the Titans tough in Week 3 but haven’t really been competitive the other three weeks.

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