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WEEK 6 COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

By Bruce Marshall  () 

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at SOUTH ALABAMA

Eagles on 13-7 spread run since late 2017 and have won and covered big the past five years vs. USA. Jaguars 1-3 past four as Mobile dogs. Tech edge-GS, based on series and team trends.

TEMPLE at EAST CAROLINA

Pirates got a rare cover vs. Old Dominion but still struggling, 2-3 vs. line TY, 12-28-1 vs. points since 2016. Temple has won and covered past five meetings since 2014, won big past three all by 24 or more. Tech edge-Temple, based on series trends.

CENTRAL FLORIDA at CINCINNATI UCF 8- 2 as visiting chalk since 2016. Luke Fickell 2 -3 as dog since LY. UCF has won and covered past three (counting the 2017 game, when UCF was blowing out the Bearcats but game ended prematurely because of weather). Tech edge-UCF, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO at SAN JOSE STATE San Jose on 10 - 6 spread uptick. Spartans 13-5 -1 as chalk since 2014. Lobos no covers past seven since late 2018, 8-20-1 past 29 on board. Tech edge-SJSU, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at CONNECTICUT

One of two UConn covers LY was vs. USF, and Huskies actually covered past three in series, though just 4-12 vs. spread for Randy Edsall since LY. Charlie Strong 2-6 as chalk since LY and that includes a win vs. South Carolina State on Sept. 14. Tech edge-UConn, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at LOUISVILLE Scott Satterfield on 16-4-1 spread run since late 2017 at Appalachian State and Louisville. BC won and covered past two vs. the Bobby Petrino-coached Cards but only 3-4-1 past eight on board. Tech edge-Louisville, based on Satterfield marks.

NORTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA TECH Tech 0-4 ATS for Geoff Collins, 0-7 since late 2018 vs. spread. Paul Johnson did beat the Tar Heels past two seasons, however. Tech edge-slight to UNC, based on recent trends.

TEXAS at WEST VIRGINIA

Tom Herman and the Longhorns just 1-3 as visiting chalk LY. Mounties 9-5-2 vs. spread since LY. Note the road team has covered past three in series. Tech edge-slight to Texas, based on series trends.

PURDUE at PENN STATE

Jeff Brohm 8-4 as dog with Boilers (0-1 TY). James Franklin 15-6-1 at home since mid-2016, 10-3-1 vs. points past 14 as Big Ten host. Tech edge- Penn State, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS

Cardinals were 1-7 ATS on MAC road past two years, 4 -9 vs. spread past 13 as visitors (1-0 TY; not counting neutral vs. IU). NIU has covered past seven and won SU past 10 in series. Tech edge-NIU, based on series trends.

TULANE at ARMY

Green Wave have won and covered four of past five since late 2018. Note the road team has covered all four Army games this season, and Black Knights just 6-11 vs. line last 17 at Michie since mid-2016. Tech edge-Tulane, based on team trends.

PITTSBURGH at DUKE

Pitt has won and covered past four meetings. Pat Narduzzi 7-3 past 10 as visiting dog. Duke just 2-6 as home chalk since last season. Tech edge-Pitt, based on series trends.

BAYLOR at KANSAS STATE

K-State has covered four of past five regular-season meetings. Matt Rhule was 5-2 as dog last season. Chris Klieman 3 -1 SU and ATS in 2019, Cats on 9-3 spread run since early 2018. Tech edge-slight to K-State, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at RUTGERS

Road team has covered past three in series. Terps no covers past five as visitors, 1-7 past eight ATS as Big Ten visitors. Rutgers recently had a six-game cover streak but has dropped past three vs. line. Scarlet Knights 7-4 as home dogs past two seasons. Tech edge-slight to Rutgers, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS TECH Mike Gundy and the Cowboys have covered five straight and eight of nine since late 2018. Tech 2-5 vs. number past seven as Big 12 host. Red Raiders have covered past three and four of past five in series. Tech edge-slight to OSU, based on recent trends.

KENT STATE at WISCONSIN

Badgers have won and covered four of past five since late 2018, total score 204-32! Wiscy was just 1-5 as Madison chalk LY but was

9-4 overall as chalk as recently as 2017, and 10- 5-1 laying DD 2016-17. Golden Flashes 5- 4 vs. spread past nine visiting Power 5, though just 8-10 as DD dogs since 2017 (1-1 TY). Tech edge-Wisconsin, based on recent trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at C MICHIGAN EMU road mark impresses (2-1 TY after 17 -4 previous three years away from Ypsilanti), but almost all of that as dog; as road chalk, Eagles 3 -2 since 2016. Jim McElwain has covered four of first five this season, and Chips have covered past two meetings. Tech edge-slight to EMU, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at MIAMI

Justin Fuente presiding over what seems a meltdown at VPI, which is 0-4 ATS after Duke debacle, now 7 -15 past 22 overall vs. spread. Miami has won and covered four of past five and five of past seven in series. Tech edge-Miami, based on series and team trends.

TROY at MISSOURI

Troy was a good dog in recent years (10 -4 in role 2015-18), and has covered past five against Power 5 opposition including SU wins at LSU and Nebraska past two years. Barry Odom however has won and covered big the past three TY and 10-2 past 12 as home chalk. Tech edge-slight to Mizzou, based on recent trends.

LIBERTY at NEW MEXICO STATE

In this home-and-home, NMSU managed to cover both meetings LY, though home side was 2-0 SU. Aggies 2- 8 vs. spread past 10 at Las Cruces, however. Tech edge-slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at COLORADO

Home field has meant something to Kevin Sumlin’s Cats, who are 7-2 vs. spread at Tucson but 1-5 ATS away. Note “overs” past four in wild rivalry that has seen Cats win SU six of past seven. Buffs just 1-4 vs. line last 5 at Boulder (1-1 for Mel Tucker). Tech Edge-”Over” and slight to UA, based on series trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at COLORADO STATE Rams have covered past three as home dogs for Mike Bobo. Rocky Long 2 -2 vs. line TY after 3-10 mark LY, but is 6-2 vs. spread past eight on Mountain West road. Tech edge-slight to CSU, based on recent trends.

OREGON STATE at UCLA

Bruins 5 -13 past 18 as Rose Bowl chalk (0-3 in role for Chip Kelly) . Beavers 4-3 as road dogs for Jonathan Smith since LY. Tech edge-slight to OSU, based on team trends.

CALIFORNIA at OREGON

Cal has covered last seven as road dog for Justin Wilcox. Bears also 13-5 as dogs for Wilcox. Ducks just 4- 5 vs. spread at home for Mario Cristobal, but have won and covered past two years vs. Bears. Tech edge-Cal, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON at STANFORD

Cardinal no covers since fluke in Northwestern opener, and David Shaw now 1-5 vs. spread past five since late 2018. Stanford was 4-0 as home dog since 2012 entering this season before loss to Ducks. Cardinal no covers past three as dog TY after 10-5 mark previous 15 in role. Huskies have covered past four away from Seattle. Tech edge-Washington, based on recent trends.

TULSA at SOUTHERN METHODIST

Sonny Dykes rockin’ and rollin’ at 5-0 SU and vs. line, though he has not covered past two vs. Tulsa. Hurricane covered first two away TY but only 2-4 vs. spread away LY. Tech edge-slight to SMU, based on recent trends.

IOWA at MICHIGAN

Kirk Ferentz on 14-4-1 spread surge since late 2017, he’s also 7 - 1-1 vs. points past nine away from Iowa City. Jim Harbaugh on 1-7 spread skid since late 2018. Tech edge-Iowa, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA

Lovie Smith 4 - 9 vs. spread past 13 as visitor (0-1 TY), and 6-15 past 21 vs. points in Big Ten play. Smith however has covered past two vs. Gophers and won big LY. Gophers 0-2 vs. line at home TY but were 4-2 vs. spread as host in 2018. Tech edge- Minnesota, based on Lovie trends.

RICE at UAB

Rice 6-2 past eight as visiting dog, 7-2 last 9 getting 20 points. UAB 11-2-1 vs. line since 2017 at Legion Field. Tech edge-slight to Rice, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at NEBRASKA

Pat Fitzgerald had been a great dog in recent years (14-4-1 in role from 2016-18) but 1-2 as dog TY. Road team has covered past six in this series. Scott Frost just 4-6 vs. spread at Lincoln since LY. Tech edge-Northwestern, based on team and series trends.

GEORGIA at TENNESSEE

Bulldogs 6-3 vs. spread past nine as SEC visitors. Vols just 4-13 vs. points past 17 Knoxville but have covered five of past seven in SEC series. Tech edge-slight to Georgia, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at NAVY

Troy Calhoun 18-9- 1 as dog since 2014. Navy 6-1 past seven ATS and has covered last three at Annapolis. Air Force has covered past three and four of past five meetings. Tech edge-Force, based on team and recent series trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO

WMU 2-8 vs. points past 10 away from Waldo Stadium. Also 1-7 past eight as a dog. Toledo 8-1 past nine as Glass Bowl chalk. Rockets have won and covered big the past two seasons. Tech edge-Toledo, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA at KANSAS

Sooners 4-1-1 vs. spread past six away from Norman, though only 3-6 laying DD LY (2-1 in role TY). Jayhawks covered big price LY but just 1-4 vs. spread past five in series. Tech edge-slight to OU, based on series trends.

OHIO at BUFFALO

Frank Solich 11-6 vs. spread past 17 on MAC road, 13-5 as dog since 2015, and covered past six as conference dog. Bulls 10 -3-1 vs. spread as host since 2017, and host has won and covered past six meetings. Tech edge-Ohio, based on team trends.

TCU at IOWA STATE

Frogs 2-6 past 8 vs. Big 12 teams away from Fort Worth. Gary Patterson only 6-6 in once-solid dog role past three years. Matt Campbell has covered all three vs. TCU since 2016. Tech edge-ISU, based on team and recent series trends.

VANDERBILT at MISSISSIPPI

Derek Mason only 5- 12 past 17 as dog. He has covered three of past four vs. Ole Miss, however, and did cover past three on SEC road in 2018. Rebels on 5-11-1 spread skid since last season. Tech edge-slight to Vandy, based on recent trends.

MARSHALL at MIDDLE TENNESSEE Thundering Herd 10-5 vs. spread past 15 away from Huntington (1-0 TY), though just 3-6 past nine as visiting chalk. MTSU no covers past three at home, only 1-3-1 vs. points past five in series. Tech edge-Marshall, based on team trends.

BOWLING GREEN at NOTRE DAME Falcons 1- 3 vs. spread in 2019 after 11- 25 mark past three seasons. BG 0-3 as DD dog in 2019, 4-13 past 17 in role since 2017. Tech edge-ND, based on BG negatives.

ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA STATE Red Wolves 11-5 vs. line last 16 on Sun Belt road (though just 5 -5 last 10). GSU just 3-8- 1 vs. spread at home since moving into Turner Field/GSU Stadium since 2017. Tech edge-Ark State, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at OLD DOMINION ODU covered at the two Virginia schools in September and 4-2 past six vs. line since late 2018. If Monarchs chalk, note 2- 7 mark in role since 2017 (0-1 TY), though they have covered past two in series. If Tops are dogs, note 5-1-1 mark past seven as visiting dogs. Tech edge-slight to WKU, based on team trends.

AUBURN at FLORIDA

Gus Malzahn 5-0 vs. line TY and has covered past six since late 2018. Gus also whipped Dan Mullen at MSU the last two times they met in 2016-17. Tech edge-slight to Auburn, based on team trends.

MASSACHUSETTS at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

UMass 1-6 past seven as road dog. FIU 0-4 vs. line out of chute in 2019 after 10-3 mark vs. spread LY. Tech edge-slight to FIU, based on team trends.

MEMPHIS at UL-MONROE

Tigers 2-1- 1 vs. line TY, and 5-2 past seven as visiting chalk. Warhawks 2-9-1 vs. line last 12 at home. Tech edge-Memphis, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at OHIO STATE Mark Dantonio 21-9 as dog since 2011 though just 4 -4 in role past two years. Spartans 7-2 vs. spread past nine away, though no covers last two vs. Buckeyes. Ryan Day 6-2 vs. spread with OSU since interim stint LY. Tech edge-slight to MSU, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at LSU

Ed Orgeron 3-1 vs. line TY, and 2-1 laying

DD TY after 1-4 mark in role in 2018. Tigers 1-6 vs. spread past seven hosting non-SEC. Aggies 12-4-1 vs. spread since LY (3-1 TY). Tech edge-slight to Utags, based on team trends.

TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO at UTEP Roadrunners no covers past three TY, now on 6-18 spread skid since early 2017. Miners 1-9 vs. spread past 10 at Sun Bowl. Road team has covered all six meetings since 2013. Tech edge-slight to UTSA, based on series trends.

BOISE STATE at UNLV

Tony Sanchez is 6-11 vs. spread in past 17 at Sam Boyd Stadium. Broncos 36-18 as visiting chalk since 2009. Tech edge-Boise, based on team trends.

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