WEEK 5 NFL TRENDS

By Bruce Marshall  () 

LA RAMS at SEATTLE

Sean McVay and the Rams are on 5-1 SU and spread runs in the regular season since late 2018. Russell Wilson is 6-0 as a home dog since 2012, though Seattle has moved to the favorite. Rams have won the past three in series but Seahawks have covered four of past five meetings. Seattle on 9-4 “over” regular-season run. Tech edge-slight to Seahawks and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH

The road team has covered the past five in series, with the Ravens 3-0-1 vs. line in last four at Heinz Field. Steelers have covered past six as dogs. Tech edge-Ravens, based on series trends.

CHICAGO vs. OAKLAND (London)

Raiders 3-13-1 in their past 17 as dogs away from Coliseum. Oakland also “under” 5-2-1 past eight since late 2018. Bears on 10-1 “under” run. Chicago also 5-2 vs. spread past seven away from home. Tech edge-“Under” and Bears, based on “totals” and team trends.

ARIZONA at CINCINNATI

Cardinals are 6-3-1 in past 10 as road dogs since late 2017 (1-0 this year). Cincinnati 4-8 past 12 as home chalk. Bengals on 6-1-2 “under” run after Monday. Tech edge-Cards and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

JACKSONVILLE at CAROLINA

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew is now 3-0 ATS as the starter for Jags. Panthers 1-4 vs. spread past five at home, no covers past four as chalk. Jags on 6-3 “under” run. Tech edge-Jags and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at NY GIANTS

Vikings 1-5 vs. spread past six on road. Also “under” 16-6-1 past 23 since late 2017. Giants

1-6 past seven as MetLife dogs but those are Eli Manning numbers; NY 2-0 SU and vs. spread with Daniel Jones in lineup. Tech edge-slight to Giants and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NEW ENGLAND at WASHINGTON

Bill Belichick on 6-2 spread run since late 2018, also 11-2 “under” past 13 in regular season. Jay Gruden 3-7 vs. line since late 2018, and “over” 3-1 in 2019. Tech edge-Patriots and “under,” based on team trends.

NY JETS at PHILADELPHIA

Eagles 1-8 ATS past nine at home. Philly also “over” 6-2 past eight since late 2018. Jets on 3-9-1 skid vs. line since mid-2018. Tech edge-slight to Jets, based on team trends.

TAMPA BAY at NEW ORLEANS

Buccaneers on 7-3 “under” run since late 2018. Teams have split past eight vs. spread. Saints only one cover past six at Superdome. Tech edge-slight to “under” and Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.

ATLANTA at HOUSTON

Falcons on 4-14 regular-season spread run on road since 2017. Texans on 9-4-1 spread run in regular season since mid-2018 though have failed to cover in first two at home this term. Houston also “under” past five at home. Tech edge-Texans and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

BUFFALO at TENNESSEE

Bills 4-0-1 ATS past five on the road. Buffalo 5-1 vs. spread past six after facing Patriots. Bills also on 6-1 “under” run since late 2018 as well. Titans 4-7 past 11 vs. line since mid-2018, 1-3 past four as home chalk. Tech edge-Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

DENVER at LA CHARGERS

Denver on 5-15 spread skid as visitor since late 2016. Broncos also on 11-2 “under” run. Past three “under” in this AFC West series. Chargers just 2-8 past 10 as L.A. chalk since LY. Tech edge-“Under,” based on “totals” trends.

GREEN BAY at DALLAS

Dak Prescott has won and covered four of past five regular-season games, 9-2-1 past 12 ATS in regular season. Packers 10-19-1 as dogs since 2013, but Aaron Rodgers was absent for part of that stretch. Tech edge-slight to Cowboys, based on team trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at KANSAS CITY

Chiefs on 12-2 spread run in first five of games of seasons. Indy 2-1-1 vs. line TY and 5-2-1 past eight in regular season. Chiefs on 8-2 “over” run in regular season. Playoff rematch, with Patrick Mahomes outdueling Andrew Luck last season. Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.

CLEVELAND at SAN FRANCISCO

Browns are 8-3 ATS in past 11 on road, 10-5 as dogs since last season. Niners 1-5 as chalk since LY, 3-6 past nine at home. Tech edge-Browns, based on team trends.

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