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WEEK 4 NFL TRENDS

By Bruce Marshall  () 

PHILADELPHIA at GREEN BAY

Eagles coach Doug Pederson is 3-7 ATS in his past 10 regular- season games. Packers “under” the total 9-3-1 past 13 since mid-2018. Tech edge-“Under” and Packers, based on “totals” and team trends.

CAROLINA at HOUSTON

Panthers on 3-8 spread skid since late 2018, though off of win at Arizona. Also “under” 5-3 past eight. Ron Rivera was 12-4 as a dog entering last season but just 5-5 in role since. Texans 9-3-1 past 13 vs. spread in regular season since mid-2018. Also “under” 8-3 past 11 at NRG Stadium. Tech edge-Panthers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE

Browns 10-4 past 14 as dogs and covered both last year vs. Ravens. Baltimore 5-3-1 vs. line in regular season since late 2018, though only 1-6-1 ATS past 8 at M&T Bank Stadium. Tech edge-Browns and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

WASHINGTON at NY GIANTS

Redskins have covered five of past seven on the road, while G-Men 1-7-1 vs. spread past nine at MetLife. NY “over” 7-3 past 10 since mid-2018, Redskins “over” first three this season. Tech edge-Redskins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

LA CHARGERS at MIAMI

Outside of LA city limits, Chargers 11-3-2 ATS in the regular season since moving from San Diego in 2017 (0-1 this year, however). Chargers also “under” 10-5 past 15 since early 2018. Dolphins no covers past six since late 2018. Tech edge-Chargers and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

OAKLAND at INDIANAPOLIS

Raiders 2-13-1 in their past 16 as road dogs, also “under” 5-1-1 past seven since late 2018. Colts

7-4-1 ATS in regular season since mid-2018. Tech edge-Colts and “under,” based on team and “totals’ trends.

KANSAS CITY at DETROIT

Andy Reid 12-1 vs. spread in first five weeks of seasons since 2017, also 7-0 vs. line away in first five weeks of seasons since 2017. Chiefs 9-2 ATS past 11 on road and “over” 7-2 past nine in regular season. Lions, however, are “under” 8-2 past 10 since mid-2018. Tech edge-Chiefs and slight to “over,” based on team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO

Patriots have mostly owned this series for 15 years, going 28-3 SU in the past 31 games, with Tom Brady

not involved in two of the Bills’ wins. Pats also have covered four of past five in series and Bill Belichick on 13-6 spread run since early 2018. Belichick “under” 10-2 past 12 in regular season play. Bills have covered four of five since late 2018. “Under” 5-2 past seven meetings. Tech edge-Patriots and “under,” based on series and Belichick trends.

TENNESSEE at ATLANTA

Atlanta is only 6-13 ATS since the start of 2018, a bit better 4-5 at home. Falcons “under” 6-4 past 10 since late 2018. Titans 3-7 past 10 since mid-2018, “Under” 6-3 past nine away from Nissan. Tech edge-slight to “under,” based on “totals’ trends.

TAMPA BAY at LA RAMS

Bucs 4-6-4 as road dogs since 2017. Tampa Bay also “under” 7-2 past nine since late 2018. Rams have now covered past five in regular season play and seven of past eight overall, also “over” 7-3-1 last

11 at home in regular season. Tech edge-Rams and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at ARIZONA

Cardinals 4-0-1 ATS in past five meetings. Seahawks also “over” past four away. Pete Carroll 4-7-1 past 11 as road chalk. Tech edge-Cards and “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at CHICAGO

Vikings just 1-4 vs. spread past five away, 2-5 as dogs since last season. Mike Zimmer also “under”

15-6-1 since late 2017. Though “over” on Monday at Redskins, Bears “under” 9-1 past 10 since late 2018. Tech edge-“Under” and slight to Bears, based on “totals’ and team trends.

JACKSONVILLE at DENVER

Broncos 1-6-1 as home chalk since 2017, and “under” 11-0-1 since mid-2018. Jags “under” 5-1 past six since late 2018, 13-7 “under” since late 2017. Tech edge-“Under” and Jags, based on “totals” and team trends.

DALLAS at NEW ORLEANS

Dak Prescott is 9-1-1 ATS past 10 in regular season, 5-2 past seven vs. spread away. Saints no covers past five at Superdome and “under” 6-4 in regular season since mid-2018. Tech edge-Cowboys and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH

Bengals are on 6-1 spread run since late 2018. Road team has covered five straight and seven of past eight in series. Bengals “under” 5-1-2 past eight since late 2018 and “unders” 4-1 past five in series. Tech edge-Bengals and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

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