Week 3 of the college football season is here, with another Saturday of terrific matchups.
Our handicappers Adam Burke, Tim Murray and Scott Seidenberg are here to give you their best bets for eight games on the weekend's card.
Season record: 10-7-2 ATS
Lines are consensus odds from VSiN's college football lines page, as of Wednesday night.
Michigan State Spartans at No. 22 Miami (FL) Hurricanes (-6.5, 56.5)
Burke: Michigan State is doing its best to prepare for Saturday’s game against Miami, but the task is easier said than done. Temperatures will be in the mid-to-upper 80s with thick, oppressive and humid conditions pushing the heat index up near 100. The Hurricanes have been a chronic underachiever, but it hasn’t really been from a lack of talent or athleticism.
Sparty will have its hands full with the athletes for the Hurricanes, including QB D’Eriq King. During his media availability on Tuesday, Michigan State head coach Mel Tucker noted that the Spartans don’t have a scout team player capable of emulating what King brings to the table. Tucker also talked about Michigan State practicing inside with the heat turned up, but these are real conditions that are hard to simulate.
This line also feels like an overreaction. Michigan State has been impressive beating Northwestern and Youngstown State, but the Wildcats look to be on a downswing this season with a pathetic offense and the Penguins are an FCS team, albeit a decent one. Miami opened with Alabama, which was going to end poorly one way or another, and a close win over an Appalachian State team that is almost always a game opponent against FBS foes.
My line coming into the season on this game was Miami -17.5, and I haven’t seen enough evidence to warrant this big a difference from that initial rating. This line has enough recency bias to make Miami worth a bet at -6.5 with the heat, humidity and simply a more talented roster.
Pick: Miami (FL) -6.5