As a football handicapper, I believe Week 2 is important. A single game is not enough for someone to come off prior beliefs entering a season. If what you believed about a team does not present itself, it does not mean you should give up entirely on that theory. But if those beliefs do not play out in some form by Week 2, it is time to reshape your views. Luckily, quite a few things happened last weekend that gave us an idea of what some teams really are.
Here are my Week 2 NFL betting takeaways.
Seattle’s Pass-Coverage Problems
Final Score: Titans 33 (+ 6.5), Seahawks 30 (OT)
Game goes Over the total of 54
Coming into the season, my research led me to believe Seattle would be a poor defensive team. In 2020, the Seahawks finished 16th in defensive DVOA and 20th against the pass. They were graded as the 17th-best team in pass coverage by PFF, and no additions of merit were made to address that problem. Seattle also did nothing to address a pass rush that depended on safety Jamal Adams. In Week 1, none of those things came to fruition in a win over Indianapolis. The Seahawks harassed Carson Wentz, pressuring him on 20 of his 44 drop-backs and holding him to a PFF passing grade of 57.1 on traditional drop-backs with no play-action. For one game, it seemed Seattle had a defense that was the antithesis of what I believed it to be. However, sure enough, everything I believed about the Seahawks’ defense proved true last weekend.