Live On Air

Streaming now: The Lookahead

play Watch Live radio Listen Live

Week 18 NFL Betting Trends

By Reid Fowler  (DK Nation) 

January 8, 2022 07:28 AM
USATSI_17173107

The last week of the regular season has arrived. The slate is chock full of playoff scenarios, but also a lot of NFL Draft implications that some organizations may have in mind. It is a week where a lot of information has to be processed and quickly enough to get out in front of line moves.

Let’s add some betting trends to that mix for Week 18 and see if there are some good angles to check out as we look to see if history will repeat itself in these games.

Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 44) at Denver Broncos

This game was flexed to be the early matchup on Saturday. Playoff seeding is still up for grabs for the Chiefs, who need some help to be the No. 1 seed after last week’s loss to Cincinnati. The Chiefs are 11-5 SU and 8-8 ATS on the year.

The Broncos, meanwhile, are playing out the string with a 7-9 SU record and a 7-8-1 ATS mark. They are 12-4 to the Under this season, so they’ve been a tremendous bet in that regard.

Trends:

  • Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
  • Chiefs are 8-1 SU in their previous nine games.
  • Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against the Broncos.
  • Chiefs are 10-0 SU in their previous 10 games against the Broncos.
  • Chiefs are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games on the road.
  • Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their previous seven games when playing on the road against the Broncos.
  • Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four against the AFC West.
  • Chiefs are 2-6 ATS against a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Chiefs’ previous four games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Chiefs’ last four games against the AFC.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Chiefs’ previous seven games following a SU loss.

 

  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games against the AFC West.
  • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
  • Under is 8-2 in the Broncos’ previous 10 games overall.

More Chiefs and Broncos Trends

 

Dallas Cowboys (-7, 42.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas has been one of the best bets of season, coming into the finale with a record of 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS. The Cowboys are laying a healthy number here as both teams take the field with backup QBs because playoff spots have already been clinched. The Eagles are 9-7 with an 8-7-1 ATS record.

The Cowboys, surprisingly enough, are 9-7 to the Under, while the Eagles are 9-7 to the Over. It seems like that should be the other way around, but Dallas’s ability to force turnovers has prevented the opposition from scoring points.

Trends:

  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their previous five games.
  • Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Eagles.
  • Cowboys are 6-2 SU in their previous eight games against the Eagles.
  • Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
  • Under is 7-1 in the Cowboys’ previous eight games as a road favorite.

 

  • Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games.
  • Eagles are 5-2-1 ATS in their previous eight games against the NFC.
  • Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC East.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Eagles’ previous four home games.

More Cowboys and Eagles Trends

 

Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 44.5) at Detroit Lions

The Packers have been a terrific bet this season, but you could be betting primarily on Jordan Love here. Green Bay is 1-0 ATS when Love starts and 11-4-1 ATS overall on the year. The Packers are the No. 1 seed in the NFC no matter what and go into this week at 13-3 SU. They are 9-7 to the Under.

Detroit is 2-13-1 SU this season, but the Lions have been an outstanding ATS bet with a record of 10-6 in that department. Ten of 16 games have gone Under the total for the Lions, who have not had a good offense, but fight hard in every game.

Trends:

  • Packers are 12-3 ATS in their previous 15 games.
  • Packers are 5-0 SU in their last five games.
  • Packers are 2-7 ATS in their previous nine games against the Lions.
  • Packers are 5-0 SU in their last five games against the Lions.
  • Packers are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games on the road.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on the road against the Lions.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Packers’ previous four games against the NFC.
  • Over is 11-1 in the Packers’ last 12 games in January.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Packers’ previous six games overall.

 

  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC.
  • Lions are 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games overall.
  • Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Lions’ previous five games against a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Lions’ last four home games against a team with a winning road record.

More Packers and Lions Trends

 

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5, 44.5)

The Bears and Vikings are only one game different in the standings, but it feels like the two teams have opposing seasons. Mike Zimmer could be fired, but it seems a foregone conclusion that Matt Nagy will be let go. The Bears are 6-10 SU and ATS. The Vikings are 7-9 SU and 8-8 ATS, but they’ve had big leads in lots of games and squandered them.

Chicago is 10-6 to the Under and the Vikings are 10-6 to the Over, so there’s one way the teams have been different.

Trends:

  • Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • Bears are 3-8 SU in their previous 11 games.
  • Bears are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Vikings.
  • Bears are 5-2 SU in their previous seven games against the Vikings.
  • Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win.
  • Bears are 3-8 ATS in their previous 11 games overall.
  • Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against the NFC.
  • Over is 5-2 in the Bears’ previous seven games as an underdog.

 

  • Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite.
  • Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their previous seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Vikings are 1-7 ATS against a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 6-1 in the Vikings’ previous seven games overall.

More Bears and Vikings Trends

 

Indianapolis Colts (-16, 44) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The task is simple for the Colts – win and get in. As long as Indy holds serve as a 16-point favorite, the Colts will head to the postseason. That seems like a pretty reasonable task against a Jaguars team that is just 2-14 SU and just 4-12 ATS on the year, despite being a sizable underdog in virtually every game.

Indianapolis is 10-6 ATS after getting off to a slow start in that department. The Colts are 8-8 with totals, while Jacksonville is 11-5 to the Under and not expected to do much offensively here either.

Trends:

  • Colts are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • Colts are 6-2 SU in their previous eight games.
  • Colts are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games against the Jaguars.
  • Colts are 6-0 ATS in their previous six games on the road.
  • Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the AFC.
  • Colts are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games against the AFC South.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Colts’ last four games as a favorite.
  • Under is 7-1 in the Colts’ previous eight games against the AFC South.

 

  • Jaguars are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • Jaguars are 0-7 ATS in their previous seven games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Colts’ last six games following an ATS loss.
  • Colts are 0-6 ATS in their previous six meetings in Jacksonville.
  • Colts are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
  • Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in their previous eight meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the Colts’ last seven meetings with the Jaguars.

More Colts and Jaguars Trends

 

Tennessee Titans (-10, 43) at Houston Texans

In the other AFC South game, the Titans are also a double-digit road favorite. The Texans have put up far more of a fight than the Jaguars over the course of the season, but still boast just a 4-12 SU record. The Texans are 7-9 ATS, though, so they’ve been kinder to bettors in that regard.

The Titans are 11-5 SU and 10-6 ATS, so they’ve been very kind to bettors this season. Tennessee is 9-7 to the Under and so is Houston. The Texans actually won the first game between the two, as the Titans committed five turnovers in the game.

Trends:

  • Titans are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games.
  • Titans are 9-3 SU in their previous 12 games.
  • Titans are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against Houston.
  • Titans are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games against the AFC South.
  • Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Titans’ previous four games overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in the Titans’ last five road games against a team with a losing home record.

 

  • Texans are 2-4 ATS in their previous six games.
  • Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC South.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Texans’ previous five games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Texans’ last five home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 9-3 in the Texans’ previous 12 games against a team with a winning record.

More Titans and Texans Trends

 

Washington Football Team (-7, 38.5) at New York Giants

The Giants will end yet another disappointing season with more head coach questions, as Joe Judge (and GM Dave Gettelman) may both be on thin ice. The Giants are just 4-12 SU and 6-10 ATS on the season. They are also 10-5-1 to the Under, so the Jason Garrett experiment clearly didn’t work out as planned.

Washington is 6-10 SU and 6-9-1 ATS on the season. The Football Team will have a new name in about a month, but will need some new players in order to get back to respectability. Washington is 9-7 to the Under.

Trends:

  • Washington is 1-4 SU in their last five games.
  • Washington is 1-5 ATS in their previous six games against the Giants.
  • Washington is 1-5 SU in their last six games against the Giants.
  • Washington is 2-4 SU in their previous six games on the road.
  • Washington is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Washington’s previous five games as a road favorite.

 

  • Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
  • Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five games.
  • Giants are 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games this season.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Giants’ last four home games against a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 11-1 in the Giants’ previous 12 games against a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 9-1-1 in the Giants’ last 11 games as a home underdog.

More Washington and Giants Trends

 

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5, 42)

This game has playoff implications for both teams, but these two teams also need a lot of help to make the postseason. Baltimore is the clear favorite here, even though the path for the Ravens is much tougher. It has been a crazy eights kind of season for the Ravens, who are 8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS and have 8 Overs and 8 Unders.

The Steelers are 8-7-1 on the season, but 7-9 ATS and 9-7 to the Under. Last week’s win over Cleveland was another under, as the Steelers were very inefficient in the passing game.

Trends:

  • Steelers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against the Ravens.
  • Steelers are 1-5 SU in their previous six games on the road.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.
  • Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their previous four games following a SU win.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Steelers’ last four games as a road underdog.

 

  • Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games.
  • Ravens are 0-5 SU in their last five games.
  • Ravens are 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 games at home.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Ravens’ last four games as a favorite.

More Steelers and Ravens Trends

 

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (-6, 40)

A bunch of key players will be sitting out for both teams, so what has happened in the past won’t have much to say about the present. Cincinnati is 10-6 SU and 9-6-1 ATS, with one of the losses a blowout at the hands of the Browns earlier this season. Cleveland is 7-9 SU and 6-9-1 ATS.

The Bengals are 8-7-1 to the Over and the Browns are 9-7 to the Under, as the defense has overshadowed the offense most of the season.

Trends:

  • Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games.
  • Bengals are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
  • Bengals are 11-3 ATS in their previous 14 games against the Browns.
  • Bengals are 1-6 SU in their last seven games against the Browns.
  • Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their previous six games on the road.
  • Over is 6-0 in the Bengals’ previous six games following a SU win.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Bengals’ last four games against the AFC North.

 

  • Browns are 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games when playing at home against the Bengals.
  • Browns are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Browns’ previous seven games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Browns’ last six games overall.

More Bengals and Browns Trends

 

New England Patriots (-6.5, 40) at Miami Dolphins

The Patriots still have a chance to win the AFC East, but will need a ton of help for it to happen. New England can still wrap up a fine regular season with a win here. The Patriots have been a top ATS team at 10-6, an identical record to the straight-up mark from Bill Belichick’s squad. The Patriots have split their totals down the middle at 8-8.

Miami had a strong seven-game win streak snapped last week, leaving many to believe it was a byproduct of playing weak competition. The Patriots are anything but weak. The Dolphins are 8-8 SU and ATS on the season, along with a 10-6 mark to the Under.

Trends:

  • Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games as a favorite.
  • Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
  • Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their previous five road games.
  • Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last eight against the AFC.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Patriots’ previous five games as a favorite.

 

  • Dolphins are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
  • Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 games as a home underdog.
  • Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • Dolphins are 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five games following an ATS loss.
  • Dolphins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss.
  • Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their previous four games in January.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Dolphins’ last five games against the AFC East.
  • Under is 7-2 in the Dolphins’ previous nine games overall.
  • Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last nine meetings in Miami.
  • Home team is 15-4 ATS in their previous 19 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

More Patriots and Dolphins Trends

 

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-16.5, 41.5)

The help that the Patriots need is for the Jets to beat the Bills. Given the spread, that is a large request. Buffalo is 10-6 SU and 9-7 ATS on the season, including a split with the Patriots. The Bills are 8-8 with their 16 totals on the season.

The Jets are 4-12 SU and 6-10 ATS on the year. They are 10-6 to the Over, which is quite an accomplishment given Zach Wilson’s 8/11 TD/INT ratio, but there were some high-scoring games with Mike White at the helm.

Trends:

  • Jets are 4-2 ATS in their previous six games.
  • Jets are 1-4 SU in their last five games against the Bills.
  • Jets are 1-7 SU in their previous eight games on the road.
  • Jets are 2-7 SU in their last nine games this season.
  • Jets are 5-2 ATS against a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 6-0 in the Jets’ previous six games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Jets’ last four games against a team with a winning record.

 

  • Bills are 7-1-2 ATS against a team with a losing record.
  • Bills are 6-1-1 ATS in their previous eight games following an ATS loss.
  • Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC East.
  • Underdog is 9-4 ATS in their previous 13 meetings.
  • Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

More Jets and Bills Trends

 

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8, 42)

The Bucs will likely sit a lot of guys this week, as they are more or less locked into the No. 3 seed, barring a lot of different developments. The Bucs are 12-4 SU, but just 8-8 ATS on the campaign. Tampa Bay has also split 16 totals down the middle at 8-8.

The Panthers have had a rough go of things since starting 3-0. Carolina is 5-11 SU and ATS and 9-7 to the Under, as the defense has significantly outperformed the offense over the course of the year.

Trends:

  • Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
  • Panthers are 0-6 SU in their previous six games.
  • Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Buccaneers.
  • Panthers are 1-5 SU in their previous six games against Buccaneers.
  • Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games on the road.
  • Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games when playing on the road against the Buccaneers.

 

  • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
  • Buccaneers are 6-1 SU in their previous seven games.
  • Buccaneers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.
  • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games as a favorite.
  • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC South.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Buccaneers’ previous five games against the NFC.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Buccaneers’ last seven games against a team with a losing record.

More Panthers and Bucs Trends

 

New Orleans Saints (-4.5, 40) at Atlanta Falcons

The Saints could very well be a playoff team. They’ll need a win here and some help from the Rams. New Orleans is 8-8 SU and 8-8 ATS and Sean Payton deserves a lot of credit for even having New Orleans anywhere close to the postseason. This is a team that is 10-6 to the Under and hasn’t really had good quarterback play.

The Falcons were actually still in the playoff hunt until last week. They fell to 7-9 SU and ATS and were eliminated from contention. The Falcons are also 10-6 to the Under, which is not what most people expected to see in Arthur Smith’s first season at the helm.

Trends:

  • Saints are 3-6 SU in their previous nine games.
  • Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Falcons.
  • Saints are 6-2 SU in their previous eight games against the Falcons.
  • Saints are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
  • Saints are 5-1 ATS in their previous six games when playing on the road against the Falcons.
  • Saints are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.
  • Under is 6-0 in the Saints’ previous six games overall.
  • Under is 7-0 in the Saints’ last seven games in January.

 

  • Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five games overall.
  • Falcons are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Falcons’ previous four home games.
  • Under is 7-1 in the Falcons’ last eight games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Falcons’ previous six games as an underdog.

More Saints and Falcons Trends

 

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-6.5, 48)

The Cardinals still have the chance to win the NFC West, so they’ll have to be engaged this week, but who knows if we’ll see a Colt McCoy appearance at some point. Arizona is 11-5 SU and 10-6 ATS, which is one of the stronger marks in the league, despite a midseason lull. The Cardinals are 9-7 to the Under.

Seattle is 6-10 SU and 8-8 ATS on the campaign. The Seahawks may have some big changes coming this summer, so we’ll see how invested they are in this week’s matchup. Seattle’s biggest problem has been the offense, evident by a 10-6 mark to the Under.

Trends:

  • Seahawks are 5-10 SU in their previous 15 games.
  • Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Cardinals.
  • Seahawks are 1-4 SU in their previous five games on the road.
  • Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Seahawks’ previous five games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Seahawks’ last four games in January.

 

  • Cardinals are 11-5 SU in their previous 16 games.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games at home.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games as a favorite.
  • Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
  • Under is 7-1 in the Seahawks’ previous eight games as an underdog.
  • Under is 7-1 in the Seahawks’ last eight road games.

More Seahawks and Cardinals Trends

 

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-4.5, 44.5)

This is a very interesting game and one of the bigger ones of the week. The 49ers control their own destiny for the postseason. The Rams control their own destiny to win the NFC West. There is a lot at stake here. San Francisco is 9-7 SU, but 8-8 ATS. The Rams are also 8-8 ATS, but 12-4 SU.

The 49ers are 8-7-1 to the Under, while the Rams are 8-7-1 to the Over. This should be one of the best games of the week.

Trends:

  • 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
  • 49ers are 6-2 SU in their previous eight games.
  • 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
  • 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Rams.
  • 49ers are 5-0 SU in their previous five games against the Rams.
  • Under is 5-1 in the 49ers’ last six games as an underdog.
  • Under is 5-1 in the 49ers’ previous six games against a team with a winning record.

 

  • Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Rams are 5-0 SU in their previous five games.
  • Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • Rams are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games against the NFC West.
  • Under is 17-4 in the Rams’ last 21 games as a home favorite.

More 49ers and Rams Trends

 

Los Angeles Chargers (-3, 49.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

The drama will be at a fever pitch for this one, as the winner goes to the playoffs and the loser goes home. There is a chance that a tie could get both teams into the playoffs, but that seems highly unlikely. The Chargers are 9-7 SU and 8-8 ATS. The Raiders are also 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS.

Los Angeles has gone 9-7 to the Over and the Raiders have gone 9-7 to the Under. This is a game for all the marbles and a great way to end Week 18.

Trends:

  • Chargers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games against the Raiders.
  • Chargers are 6-3 SU in their previous nine games against the Raiders.
  • Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in January.
  • Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games against the AFC West.
  • Over is 5-0 in the Chargers’ last five games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Chargers’ last four games against the AFC.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six games in January.

 

  • Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC West.
  • Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in the Raiders’ last eight home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • Road team is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
  • Underdog is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 meetings.

More Chargers and Raiders Trends

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close