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Week 17 NFL trends

By Bruce Marshall  () 

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA 

Washington had lost six in a row in series before opening-day win. Also had covered five in a row this season before loss to Carolina. Eagles just 5-10 vs. line in 2020, 12-20 vs. spread since last season. Tech edge: Washington, based on recent trends.

JAGUARS at COLTS

Colts lost on opening day at Jags and have lost two in a row and five of last seven vs. Jacksonville. Jags 4-3 vs. line last seven this year despite no SU wins since opening day. Colts just 1-4 vs. spread last five at home. Tech edge: Slight to Jaguars, based on series trends.

PACKERS at BEARS

Even after beating Titans on Sunday night, Packers only 3-4 vs. line in last seven. Bears have won and covered 3 in a row. Packers 8-1 SU in last nine meetings, 5-2 last seven vs. line in series. Tech edge: Slight to Packers, based on series trends.

COWBOYS at GIANTS

Dallas has won and covered last three after dropping 10 of first 12 vs. line. Cowboys also Over  5-1 last six this year, and last four Over in series, though Giants Under 11-3-1 in 2020. Dallas had covered six straight in series before first meeting Oct. 11, but Cowboys still have won last seven SU. Giants were on 7-1-1 spread run into Thanksgiving week, but only 1-4 vs. line last five. Tech edge: Slight to Cowboys, based on recent trends.

STEELERS at BROWNS

Pittsburgh has lost three of last four SU and dropped four of last five vs. line this year, with recent slump finally stopped last week vs. Colts. Steelers also Under 4-2 last six in 2020. Though Pittsburgh crushed Cleveland 38-7 in first meeting on Oct. 18 and Browns coming off loss to Jets, note Browns 5-1 SU in last six this year. Tech edge: Slight to Browns, based on recent trends.

TITANS at TEXANS

Titans Over 23-6 since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB in mid-2019, though Texans on 5-game Under run. Even after loss at Green Bay, Tennessee has covered three of last four on road this year and is 8-5 vs. spread in last 13 away. Texans just 4-9 vs. spread in last 13 at home. Tech edge: Over and Titans, based on totals and team trends.

SAINTS at PANTHERS

Saints Over in last three and 10-5 in 2020. Road team has covered last four in series; last four also Over in series. Panthers 2-5 vs. line at home this year, 2-8-1 in last 11 vs. line at home. Tech edge: Saints and Over, based on series and totals trends.

JETS at PATRIOTS

Jets 6-3 vs. line last nine this year, while Patriots 4-8 last 12 vs. spread. New England no covers in last five as chalk this year, also Under 6-0-1 in last seven since Nov. 9 win at Jets. Jets actually 9-5-1 vs. spread in last 15 in series. Jets on 8-3 Under run. Tech edge: Under and slight to Jets, based on totals and team trends.

VIKINGS at LIONS

Vikings no covers in last six this year, also Over 10-4-1 in 2020, now Over 18-7-1 in regular season since early 2019. Lions Over 9-5-1, have allowed 41 or more in three of last five this year. Vikings have won and covered last six in series. Tech edge: Over and slight to Vikings, based on totals and series trends.

FALCONS at BUCCANEERS 

Bucs Over 8-6-1 this year, 20-10-1 since Bruce Arians arrived last year. Last five Over in series. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends.

RAVENS at BENGALS

Ravens 14-2-1 vs. spread in last six games of season since 2018. Bengals, however, a surprising 5-1-1 vs. line at home this year. Cincinnati Over 5-1 in last five this year. Tech edge: Slight to Ravens and Over, based on team and totals trends.

DOLPHINS at BILLS

Dolphins 10-3 SU in last 13 this year, also 6-1 last seven as dog in 2020, including Sept. 20 cover vs. Bills. Buffalo has covered seven in a row, also Over 9-4-2 this season, and last four Over in series. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends.

CHARGERS at CHIEFS

Chiefs no covers in last seven this year (0-6-1), just 1-4 in last five vs. spread at home. Chargers have won last three SU this season, though just 9-20-3 vs. spread since late 2018. Tech edge: Slight to Chargers, based on recent trends.

SEAHAWKS at 49ERS

Teams have split last eight spread decisions. Even after beating Cardinals, San Francisco just 2-6 vs. spread in last eight this year. Last five Over in series. Even after beating Rams, Seattle just 4-7 in last 11 vs. line this year. Tech edge: Over, based on totals trends.

RAIDERS at BRONCOS

Raiders have covered last six meetings (4-2 SU). Vegas Over 11-3-1 this season after Miami game, though this series is now Under eight in a row. Tech edge: Under, based on recent totals trends.

CARDINALS at RAMS

Sean McVay 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line against Cardinals. Arizona 2-6 vs. line in last eight this year after losing to 49ers. Also Cardinals Under 9-5-1 in 2020 and Rams Under 11-4, though first meeting Over on Dec. 6. Kliff Kingsbury 3-2 as dog this year, 11-5-1 in last 17 in role. Tech edge: Rams and Under, based on series and totals trends.

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