Week 17 NFL Betting Trends

By Reid Fowler  (DK Nation) 

January 1, 2022 06:12 AM
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Two weeks remain in the NFL regular season, which seems weird to say given that we are in Week 17. This is the first year with 18 weeks, so it’ll be an adjustment that all of us have to get used to moving forward.

We’ve got all 32 teams in action, a lot of games that mean something for the playoffs, some that don’t and a bunch of betting trends for you to consider.

Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts (-6.5, 44.5)

This game has been a roller coaster ride throughout the week, as Carson Wentz tested positive for COVID and looked to be out, but then the NFL changed its protocols and the Colts QB has the chance to be cleared by Sunday. The Raiders are 8-7 SU and 6-9 ATS on the season. Despite a midseason lull, their playoff hopes are still alive.

The Colts are 9-6 SU and have quietly been one of the best bets in the NFL at 10-5 ATS on the year. The Colts are 8-7 to the Over and the Raiders are 8-7 to the Under going into Sunday’s game at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Trends:

  • Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
  • Raiders are 8-4 ATS in their previous 12 games against the Colts.
  • Raiders are 2-6 SU in their last eight games against the Colts.
  • Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games when playing on the road against the Colts.
  • Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Raiders’ previous five games following a SU win.
  • Over is 13-5-1 in the Raiders’ last 19 games as an underdog.

 

  • Colts are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games overall.
  • Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five against the AFC.
  • Colts are 6-2 ATS against a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 11-2 in the Colts’ previous 13 against a team with a winning record.

More Raiders and Colts Trends

 

New York Giants at Chicago Bears (-6, 37.5)

Daaaa Bears are coming off of some Nick Foles magic to upset the Seahawks last week. They’re now in a big favorite role against the visiting Giants. New York is 4-11 SU and 6-9 ATS on the season. The Bears are 5-10 SU and ATS. This would be an interesting game for tanking purposes, but the Giants actually own the Bears first-round pick in the upcoming draft from last year’s trade up for Chicago to take Justin Fields.

The Bears are 9-6 to the Under and the Giants are 9-5-1 to the Under with much-maligned under ref Shawn Hochuli, whose crew is 9-5 to the Under.

Trends:

  • Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
  • Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog.
  • Giants are 0-4 ATS in their previous four road games.
  • Under is 12-4-1 in the Giants’ last 17 games following an ATS loss.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in the Giants’ previous 21 games as an underdog.

 

  • Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against the NFC.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games overall.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
  • Bears are 0-5 ATS in their previous five home games.
  • Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
  • Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their previous five meetings.
  • Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings in Chicago.

More Giants and Bears Trends

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5, 45.5) at New York Jets

Just End The Season is probably the mantra for Jets fans once again, as their beloved franchise suffers through another subpar season. New York is 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS on the year. These are important reps for Zach Wilson, who has not had a shining rookie season and also missed time due to injury. The Jets are 9-6 to the Over, but have been far less explosive on offense when Wilson has played.

The Buccaneers could be shorthanded, depending on how their injured players and guys in COVID protocol progress throughout the week, but they are sitting pretty as the NFC South champs with an 11-4 SU mark and a 8-7 ATS record. The Bucs are 8-7 to the Over.

Trends:

  • Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
  • Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS in their previous nine games against the Jets.
  • Buccaneers are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games on the road.
  • Buccaneers are 0-7 SU in their previous seven games when playing on the road against the Jets.
  • Under is 6-0 in the Buccaneers’ last six games against a team with a losing record.

 

  • Jets are 5-11 ATS in their previous 16 games.
  • Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a SU win.
  • Jets are 0-4 ATS in their previous four games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 9-3 in the Jets’ last 12 games overall.
  • Over is 8-3 in the Jets’ previous 11 games as an underdog.

More Buccaneers and Jets Trends

 

Atlanta Falcons at Buffalo Bills (-14.5, 44.5)

The Bills are a hefty favorite against the Falcons on a day when the weather could be an issue in Buffalo. The Falcons still have playoff hopes, albeit very slim ones, with a record of 7-8 SU and 6-9 ATS. Atlanta is 9-6 to the Under and has to go from the Georgia Dome to the snow globe of Western New York, so we’ll see how the offense does under those conditions.

The Bills are 9-6 SU and ATS on the season. They’re coming off of their biggest win of the year against New England, so could we see a letdown as heavy chalk? Buffalo is 8-7 to the Over on the year.

Trends:

  • Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games.
  • Falcons are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games.
  • Falcons are 4-1 SU in their previous five games against the Bills.
  • Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Falcons’ previous four games following a SU win.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Falcons’ last seven games overall.

 

  • Bills are 7-1-1 ATS against a team with a losing record.
  • Bills are 17-8-1 ATS in their previous 26 games overall.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Bills’ previous seven home games against a team with a losing road record.

More Falcons and Bills Trends

 

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 45) at Washington Football Team

This a big game for both teams here, as Washington has extremely slim playoff hopes and the Eagles have very realistic playoff hopes. Philadelphia is a road favorite here with a record of 8-7 SU and 8-6-1 ATS and controls its own destiny for a playoff berth. Washington is 6-9 SU and 5-9-1 ATS. The Football Team needs a win and a whole lot of help to make the postseason.

The Eagles are 9-6 to the Over and Washington is 8-7 to the Under with a total in the mid-40s, but a chance of some windy weather in Landover.

Trends:

  • Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS in their previous six games.
  • Eagles are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
  • Eagles are 6-2-1 ATS in their previous nine games against Washington.
  • Eagles are 7-2 SU in their last nine games against Washington.
  • Eagles are 4-2 ATS in their previous six games on the road.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Eagles’ last five games following a SU win.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Eagles’ previous five games as a favorite.

 

  • Washington is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
  • Washington is 7-13 SU in their previous 20 games when playing at home against the Eagles.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Football Team’s last four games as a home underdog.

More Eagles and Washington Trends

 

Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5, 51) at Cincinnati Bengals

This is probably the game of the week, as the Bengals can clinch a playoff spot and the AFC North with a win. The Chiefs are seeking the No. 1 seed in the AFC. These are two quality teams and this is a great litmus test for Cincinnati and Joe Burrow. This is must-see TV for the weekend.

The Chiefs are 11-4 SU and 8-7 ATS on the season. The Bengals are 9-6 SU and 8-6-1 ATS. Kansas City is 8-7 to the Over, while Cincinnati is 7-7-1 with 15 totals in the books.

Trends:

  • Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
  • Chiefs are 1-4 SU in their previous five games against the Bengals.
  • Chiefs are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games on the road.
  • Chiefs are 0-5 SU in their previous five games when playing on the road against the Bengals.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ last five against the AFC.

 

  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their previous five against the AFC.
  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record.
  • Bengals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win.
  • Over is 5-0 in the Bengals’ previous five games following a SU win.

More Chiefs and Bengals Trends

 

Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-16, 41.5)

Another one of the big lines we’ve got on the betting board this week. The Patriots are well over two-touchdown favorites against the Jaguars. Bill Belichick’s success against rookie QBs is well-documented and Trevor Lawrence has had a rough rookie season between the Urban Meyer fiasco and the lack of skill-position talent. James Robinson is also out now, too.

The Jags are just 2-13 SU this season and only 4-11 ATS. The Patriots are 9-6 SU and also ATS. The total is dropping a little for this one, which makes sense with the weather forecast and also the fact that Jacksonville is 11-4 to the Under and New England tilts slightly that way at 8-7.

Trends:

  • Jaguars are 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
  • Jaguars are 0-7 SU in their previous seven games.
  • Jaguars are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Patriots.
  • Jaguars are 1-8 SU in their previous nine games against the Patriots.
  • Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
  • Under is 6-0 in the Jaguars’ previous six road games against a team with a winning home record.

 

  • Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
  • Patriots are 7-2 SU in their previous nine games.
  • Patriots are 8-0 SU in their last eight games when playing at home against Jacksonville.
  • Patriots are 8-3 SU in their previous 11 games this season.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Patriots’ last four games as a home favorite.

More Jaguars and Patriots Trends

 

Miami Dolphins at Tennessee Titans (-3.5, 40)

The Dolphins and Titans meet in a really big game with huge implications for both teams. The Titans are still trying to lock down the AFC South and also have a shot at the No. 1 seed. The Dolphins are simply trying to get into the playoffs and keep their long winning streak going.

Miami is 8-7 SU and 8-7 ATS after getting off to a really rough 1-7 start. The Dolphins are 9-6 to the Under. The Titans are 10-5 SU and 9-6 ATS, as they’ve had a strong season despite the long-term loss of Derrick Henry. Tennessee is 8-7 to the Under on the season.

Trends:

  • Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
  • Dolphins are 7-0 SU in their previous seven games.
  • Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Titans.
  • Dolphins are 5-1-1 ATS in their previous seven games as a road underdog.
  • Dolphins are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Dolphins’ previous four road games.

 

  • Titans are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • Titans are 8-3 SU in their previous 11 games.
  • Titans are 6-1 SU in their last seven games at home.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Titans’ previous five home games.

More Dolphins and Titans Trends

 

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 46.5) at Baltimore Ravens

The Rams may have the chance to lock up the NFC West this weekend if they can beat the hobbled Ravens, who are hoping to get Lamar Jackson back in the fold. Los Angeles is 11-4 SU and 8-7 ATS. A Rams win and a Cardinals loss to the Cowboys will end the drama in the division. Los Angeles is stuck playing a second straight early kickoff, though. The Rams are 8-6-1 to the Over.

On the Ravens side of things, this is a huge game. They’ll have to find a way to rally, as injuries have really put a damper on the season. Baltimore is 8-7 SU and 7-8 ATS on the year. The Ravens are also 8-7 to the Over.

Trends:

  • Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Rams are 1-4 SU in their previous five games against the Ravens.
  • Rams are 1-4 SU in their last five games when playing on the road against the Ravens.
  • Over is 5-0 in the Rams’ previous five road games against a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 6-1 in the Rams’ last seven games against a team with a winning record.

 

  • Ravens are 4-2 ATS in their previous six games.
  • Ravens are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
  • Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their previous eight home games against a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Ravens’ last four games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 6-1 in the Ravens’ previous seven games following a SU loss.

More Rams and Ravens Trends

 

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5, 45)

The Broncos and Chargers are still alive in the postseason picture, but need some help in order to get there. The Broncos are 7-8 SU and 7-7-1 ATS on the year. The Chargers are 8-7 SU and 7-8 ATS. The biggest thing to note with these two teams is that the Broncos are 12-3 to the Under.

The Chargers are 8-7 to the Under. They can’t stop the run, but have also not been quite as efficient or prolific on offense as expected. The Broncos will turn to Drew Lock again with Teddy Bridgewater still in concussion protocol.

Trends:

  • Broncos are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their previous five games against the Chargers.
  • Broncos are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Chargers.
  • Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their previous eight games against the AFC.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Broncos’ last five games as an underdog.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Broncos’ previous four road games.

 

  • Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
  • Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games against the AFC.
  • Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC West.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Chargers’ previous six games against the AFC.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six home games.

More Broncos and Chargers Trends

 

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-12, 44)

It could be Trey Lance show for the heavily-favored 49ers in this very important game against the Texans. Houston proved that it can upset a playoff contender with last week’s victory over the Chargers. Can the Texans repeat the feat this week against a San Francisco team that certainly has a stronger statistical profile?

Houston is 4-11 SU, but 7-8 ATS and is still fighting to the bitter end. The 49ers check in at 8-7 SU and have the same ATS record at 7-8. The Texans are 8-7 to the Under and the 49ers are 7-7-1 with their 15 totals to this point.

Trends:

  • Texans are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS win.
  • Texans are 7-15 ATS in their previous 22 road games against a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 4-0 in the Texans’ last four road games against a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Texans’ previous six games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Texans’ last six road games.

 

  • 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games overall.
  • 49ers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games against a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 9-3 in the 49ers’ previous 12 games following an ATS loss.

More Texans and 49ers Trends

 

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (-6, 51.5)

The Cardinals and Cowboys didn’t seem to be that far apart, but then this line kept going and going on the Cowboys. Dallas has been one of the best teams to bet on throughout the season with a 12-3 ATS mark. The Cowboys are 11-4 SU and are hoping to try and make up some ground on the race for the No. 1 seed.

At this point, Arizona is just hoping to stop the freefall before hitting the ground. The Cardinals are 10-5 SU and 9-6 ATS, but they’ve been going in the wrong direction for a while now. Arizona is 8-7 to the Under and so are the Cowboys.

Trends:

  • Cardinals are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • Cardinals are 10-5 SU in their previous 15 games.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Cowboys.
  • Cardinals are 2-8 ATS against a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-1 in the Cardinals’ previous eight games following an ATS loss.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Cardinals’ last seven games following a SU loss.

 

  • Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their previous 15 games.
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their previous four games as a favorite.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games following a SU win.
  • Under is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ previous six games against the NFC.
  • Over is 8-2 in the Cowboys’ last 10 home games.

More Cardinals and Cowboys Trends

 

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6.5, 37.5)

The Panthers are playing out the string, but will do so with Sam Darnold at QB this week against the Saints, who still have some playoff aspirations. New Orleans is a clear favorite here, as Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian both return from COVID protocols. The Saints are 7-8 SU and ATS on the season, while the Panthers are just 5-10 in both categories.

The Saints are 9-6 to the Under and the Panthers are 8-7 to the Under with a very low total in this matchup.

Trends:

  • Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their previous five games.
  • Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Saints.
  • Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Panthers’ previous six games overall.

 

  • Saints are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • Saints are 1-5 ATS in their previous six games at home.
  • Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.
  • Saints are 0-4 ATS in their previous four home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in the Saints’ last five games overall

More Panthers and Saints Trends

 

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks (-7, 42.5)

The Seahawks let one slip away last week against the Bears and you have to wonder about the mindset of this team going forward. Seattle is 5-10 SU and 7-8 ATS, as it looks like Russell Wilson has lost a step or two and the team may need to go back to the drawing board at positions all over the field.

Seattle is 10-5 to the Under, the same mark as the Lions, who continue to play hard week in and week out. Detroit is just 2-12-1 SU, but 10-5 ATS as one of the top covering teams in the league.

Trends:

  • Lions are 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games.
  • Lions are 1-6 SU in their last seven games against Seattle.
  • Lions are 0-8-1 SU in their previous nine games on the road.
  • Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss.
  • Lions are 5-1 ATS in their previous six games as a road underdog.
  • Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Lions’ previous seven games as a road underdog.
  • Under is 6-1 in the Lions’ last seven road games.

 

  • Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games overall.
  • Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
  • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games as a home favorite.
  • Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC.
  • Under is 11-5 in the Seahawks’ last 16 games as a favorite.

More Lions and Seahawks Trends

 

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 46.5)

It will be cold in Green Bay for Sunday Night Football in this NFC North matchup. The Packers are looking to maintain their grasp on the top spot in the NFC. The Vikings are hoping to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Minnesota is 7-8 SU and 8-7 ATS. Green Bay has been one of the best bets on the board most weeks with a 12-3 SU record and a 10-4-1 ATS mark. The Packers are 9-6 to the Under, while the Vikings are 9-6 to the Over.

Trends:

  • Vikings are 5-10 ATS in their previous 15 games when playing on the road against the Packers.
  • Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven road games.
  • Vikings are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against the NFC.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Vikings’ previous four road games against a team with a winning home record.

 

  • Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games.
  • Packers are 12-2 SU in their previous 14 games.
  • Packers are 7-0 SU in their last seven games at home.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Packers’ previous five games overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Packers’ last five games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 8-2 in the Packers’ previous 10 games vs. the NFC North.

More Vikings and Packers Trends

 

Cleveland Browns (-3.5, 40.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

The Browns and Steelers finish up Week 17 with a Monday Night Football game that has tons of intrigue. The Browns need help on Sunday for their playoff hopes to remain alive. But, the Steelers are bidding adieu to Ben Roethlisberger, who said on Thursday that this will be his last game at Heinz Field.

The Browns are 7-8 SU and 6-8-1 ATS on the season, while the Steelers are 7-7-1 SU and 6-9 ATS. Both teams are 8-7 to the Under.

Trends:

  • Browns are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • Browns are 1-6 ATS in their previous seven road games against a team with a losing home record.
  • Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Steelers.
  • Browns are 1-17 SU in their previous 18 games when playing on the road against the Steelers.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Browns’ last five games overall.
  • Over is 6-2 in the Browns’ previous eight games against the AFC North.

 

  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.
  • Steelers are 0-6 ATS against a team with a losing record.
  • Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their previous four home games against a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Steelers’ last five home games.
  • Under is 8-3 in the Steelers’ previous 11 games as a home underdog.

More Browns and Steelers Trends

 

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