Week 16 NFL best bets: Picks, odds for every game

By VSiN Staff  (VSiN.com) 


Another exciting NFL week is here, bringing with it a lot of games with tremendous importance for playoff positioning. 

Our VSiN experts -- Adam Burke, Dave Tuley, Will Hill, Wes Reynolds and Matt Youmans, along with Ben Brown of Pro Football Focus -- combine to give their opinions on every Saturday and Sunday game in Week 16.

Note: Lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday morning.

Here are our Week 16 best bets:

Sunday, Dec. 26

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10, 42.5) at Carolina Panthers

Youmans: Tom Brady leads the NFL with 4,348 passing yards and 36 touchdowns, but he’s also the only quarterback who was shut out last week. An angry Brady will make the pitiful Panthers pay this week, right? Maybe not. The Buccaneers will be without injured stars Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette — two of Brady’s favorite targets — plus Mike Evans’s status is questionable because of a hamstring injury. Tampa Bay’s offensive struggles are likely to continue.

Still, can Carolina do enough to cover as a double-digit dog? Maybe not. Cam Newton has lost 12 starts in a row as the Panthers’ starting quarterback and lacks the accuracy and arm strength to take advantage of the Bucs’ weak pass defense. The return of Sam Darnold is doubtful to help much as coach Matt Rhule continues to mishandle his QBs. Rhule is looking more like a college coach who’s clumsily out of his league. It’s difficult to make a strong case for the underdog, so this is a small play, but it’s not automatic that Brady bounces back in a big way with his supporting cast diminished.

Pick: Panthers + 10

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-10, 40.5)

Youmans: Jake Fromm is the latest sign the Giants have become a huge joke. The New York media is lobbying for Fromm to be the team’s starting quarterback this week, and he probably should be the starter only because Mike Glennon is useless. Aside from a couple of meaningless scores late in the fourth quarter of a blowout loss, Glennon has led one touchdown drive in 30 possessions. The Giants rank 30th in the league in scoring at 17 points per game, but don’t pin all of the blame on fired offensive coordinator Jason Garrett. In the four games since Freddie Kitchens replaced Garrett, the Giants have averaged 10.8 points. Why not start Fromm, a former Buffalo reject who just joined the team Dec. 1?

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