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Week 16 NFL best bets: A play on every game

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Week 16 of the very unique 2020 NFL season is here.

With COVID-19 concerns in several games, be sure to check injury reports as we get closer to kickoff. Our experts Drew Dinsick, Dave Tuley and Matt Youmans combine to give their opinions on every game.

All odds as of Thursday evening, from VSiN's NFL odds page.

SUNDAY

Cleveland Browns (-9.5, 47.5) at New York Jets

Tuley: The advance line for this game a week ago was Browns -10.5, but after the Browns beat the Giants (and especially after the Jets upset the Rams 23-20 as 17-point underdogs and + 1100 on the money line), the line is in single digits. My first impression that the line is a little short, however, the Jets outplayed the Rams and have been more competitive in recent weeks than most people were giving them credit for (4-2 ATS their last six games). This also fits the old “swagger theory” from my ViewFromVegas Forums that a team that snaps a long losing streak usually follows it up with another good performance as they “get their swagger back.”

Pick: Jets + 9.5

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (-8, 46)

Tuley: The Bengals are another “swagger” play as they snapped a five-game losing streak with their 27-17 upset of the Steelers on Monday night. But even if the Bengals hadn't won, I would probably still be on them here as the Texans shouldn’t be favored by more than a touchdown against any NFL team.

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