WEEK 15 CFL ANALYSIS AND A BEST BET

By Ian Cameron  () 

Calgary Stampeders @

Toronto Argonauts

Spread: Calgary -6.5

Total: 53.5

The performance wasn’t pretty, but it was effective for the Calgary Stampeders as they overcame a slow start against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to register a 19-18 comeback win. Calgary trailed 14-3 at halftime, but outscored Hamilton 16-4 the rest of the way. QB Bo Levi Mitchell was off target in the frst half, but found his usual form in the second half while the defense really tightened the screws against the Ticats offense. However, for as nice as that win was for Calgary, it once again failed to get the $$ as a favorite, which now makes the Stampeders 1-6 ATS in 7 games when laying points this season. That’s a defnite concern in this price range as is the spot for the road team with Calgary off B2B wins against rival Edmonton and then the comeback win against Hamilton, which had the best record in the CFL going into last week. This has all the indicators of being a potential fat spot for the Stamps against a Toronto Argos team that despite its 2-9 record have still been playing hard. The Argos are 2-1 ATS in their last three games. Even in the double-digit loss to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats during that stretch, they led at halftime. I would look to the Argos as home underdogs in this game.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats @

Edmonton Eskimos

Spread: N/A Total: N/A

No line for this game yet due to the unknown status of Edmonton QB Trevor Harris, who was injured in the Eskimos’ most recent game against the Calgary Stampeders before their bye week. Hamilton was one of my recommendations last week as they covered as 7 underdogs against Calgary, albeit the Tiger-Cats blew a halftime lead and lost 19-18. The Ticats stayed in the province of Alberta all week after facing Calgary to prepare themselves for this game in Edmonton, so the impact of having to play B2B road games is negated a little bit. If Hamilton is a short underdog or near PK (assuming Harris doesn’t play), the Ticats are worth another bet this week as the dropoff from Harris to Logan Kilgore at QB is fairly steep.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers @

Montreal Alouettes

Spread: Winnipeg -2

Total: 47

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are coming off a bye week, so they will be well rested and ready for this trip to Montreal. They will also welcome back RB Andrew Harris, who will return after serving his two-game suspension. Winnipeg is 9-3 on the season and is tied with Hamilton for the best record in the CFL. The Blue Bombers have not had much of a decline with Chris Streveler at QB since replacing injured #1 QB Matt Nichols. He has done enough on offense while the elite defense and special teams of the Bombers have taken care of the rest. Montreal will be looking to bounce back from a tough loss in Saskatchewan last week as the Roughriders kicked a gamewinning FG with 30 seconds left to snatch a 27-25 victory. Montreal continues to show progression as a team. The offense, led by QB Vernon Adams Jr., has been solid. The defense has at least gotten to the point where it is decent after being atrocious the previous two seasons. However, you know my feelings about Winnipeg. I won’t bet against this team, especially in this type of point-spread range, where all it needs to do is win the game to cash a ticket. I’d lean Winnipeg here as the early-week quotes indicate the team is focused to keep its strong run going after the bye week.

BC Lions @

Ottawa Redblacks

Spread: BC -3

Total: 47.5

The Ottawa Redblacks are not a team I have any interest backing. The team is crumbling before our eyes. The effort isn’t there, and neither is the execution. Ottawa is 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games. Its only victory during that span was a 30-27 OT win in Montreal in which it got outplayed and only won thanks to a pair of special teams TDs. The Redblacks have been outgained in yardage by their opponent in 10 straight games. The BC Lions beat Ottawa last week in an easy 29-5 blowout win for their second victory of the season. It’s been a tough season for the Lions, but the team showed a spark in its performance against Ottawa last week. The Redblacks are not getting any production from the QB position as neither Jonathon Jennings nor Dominque Davis has been effective. The defense has taken a sharp turn for the worse in recent games. Ottawa is also battling key injuries at multiple positions. The price is cheap here to expect a second straight BC Lions victory over this foundering Ottawa Redblacks squad.

CFL Week 15 Best Bet: BC -3 -110

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