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Week 14 NFL best bets: A play on every game

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Week 14 of the very unique 2020 NFL season is here.

With COVID-19 concerns in several games, be sure to check injury reports as we get closer to kickoff. Our experts Drew Dinsick, Dave Tuley and Matt Youmans combine to give their opinions on every game.

All odds as of Thursday evening, from VSiN's NFL odds page.

Tennessee Titans (-7.5, 52) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Tuley: The Jaguars have covered for me four of the last five weeks (and they covered in a 33-30 road loss at Tennessee all the way back in Week 2), but I’m not taking them in this spot. The Titans let their one-game lead in the AFC South slip away with their loss to the Browns, so I’m expecting them to get back on track here, though I’ll just use them teased down to -1.5. 

This is a good spot to list our advantage teasers where we have the key numbers of 3 and 7 working for us: Giants teased up to + 8.5 vs. the Cardinals, Bears teased up to + 7.5 vs. the Texans, Raiders teased up to + 8.5 or + 9, Chiefs teased down to -1.5 at the Dolphins, Chargers teased up to + 8.5 vs. the Falcons, Saints teased down to -1 at the Eagles, Packers teased down to -2 at the Lions (though I still like the Lions + 8 for a possible middle) and Steelers teased up to + 8.5 at the Bills. As I’ve written several times now, I prefer to stick to 6-point 2- or 3-team teasers, so mix and match depending on your own handicapping (and with seven early Sunday games and six in the later afternoon slot, there’s plenty of opportunities to group these by starting times).

Pick: Pass, except for Titans in teasers

Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 42.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Tuley: The advance line on this game was Cowboys -3.5 and it was that same earlier this week before the Cowboys were run over, 34-17, on Tuesday night. I expected that would cause the line to drop, yet it’s right back at Cowboys -3.5, so I’m glad to fade them and take the Bengals plus 3 and the hook. The Bengals let us down at + 11.5 in their 19-7 loss to the Dolphins, but we’re counting on them to be competitive again, and feel confident the offense can do more against Dallas’ defense than it did against Miami’s.

Pick: Bengals + 3.5 

Arizona Cardinals (-2.5, 45) at New York Giants

Youmans: The Cardinals are fading fast, losing four of their past five, and falling from the playoff race. Arizona’s only win since the beginning of November came on Kyler Murray’s Hail Mary that beat the Bills on Nov. 15. Amazingly, the Giants have won four in a row and can probably take the NFC East by splitting their final four games to finish 7-9. Giants coach Joe Judge is doing an outstanding job, especially on the defensive side. New York has allowed 20 points or fewer in each game during its win streak, and limiting Russell Wilson and the Seattle offense to 10 points last week was one of the most impressive performances by any NFL defense all season.

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