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Week 13 NFL best bets: A play on every game

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Week 13 of the very unique 2020 NFL season is here. 

With COVID-19 concerns in several games, be sure to check injury reports as we get closer to kickoff. Our experts Drew Dinsick, Dave Tuley and Matt Youmans combine to give their opinions on every game.

All odds as of Thursday evening, from VSiN's NFL odds page.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-3, 44.5)

Youmans: It’s almost an auto-play to bet on a team the week after the coach gets fired. I don’t blindly play any angle, but the coaching change angle is one of my favorites and it’s 2-0 ATS this season. Houston fired Bill O’Brien after starting 0-4 SU/ATS, and the Texans (-6.5) beat Jacksonville 30-14 the next week. Atlanta fired Dan Quinn after starting 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS, and the Falcons (+ 3.5) hit the road to beat Minnesota 40-23 the next week. Detroit’s players seemed to welcome the news of coach Matt Patricia getting fired after the Thanksgiving Day massacre, so expect a rejuvenated Lions team this week.

This matchup in Week 1 was my worst betting beat of the NFL season. The Bears came back from a 23-6 fourth-quarter deficit to win 27-23 on three Mitchell Trubisky touchdown passes. Trubisky is back at the controls of the league’s fourth-worst scoring offense (19.6 ppg). The offensive line is a mess and the rushing attack is weak. Coach Matt Nagy’s speech about the need for Chicago’s coaches and players to “wake up” is unlikely to go over well in the locker room considering Nagy has appeared clueless since the start of the 2019 season. Matthew Stafford needs more help, so hopefully Kenny Golladay and D’Andre Swift are inspired to return from injury this week. Regardless, I’ll continue fading the Bears, who have dropped to 5-6 after their phony 5-1 start.

Pick: Lions + 3

Tuley: You have to plug your nose to bet -- or watch --- this game the way these teams have been playing. The Bears have lost five straight but still have a shot at the playoffs. The Lions are playing their first game after Patricia was finally fired, so I would tend to lean toward them as we often see teams get at least a short-term boost after a coaching change (players auditioning for the interim or future coaching staff, etc.).

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