Week 11 NFL best bets: A play on every game

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Week 11 of the very unique 2020 NFL season is here. 

With COVID-19 concerns in several games, be sure to check injury reports as we get closer to kickoff. Our experts Drew Dinsick, Dave Tuley and Matt Youmans combine to give their opinions on every game.

All odds as of Friday morning, from VSiN's NFL odds page.

Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns (-3, 47.5)

Tuley: I know the NFC Least is a joke and the Eagles’ record says they’re a 3-5-1 team, but I still have them even with the Browns in my power ratings. I don’t think the Browns should be favored by more than a field goal, even at home. Home-field advantage has been negligible this season and road teams are 76-69-2 ATS (52.4%). Hopefully anyone with us on Philadelphia (especially as we made them one of our best bets in VSiN’s Point Spread Weekly) got the hook at + 3.5 as it’s down to + 3 at most books, though monitor the market to see if you can still find + 3.5. Regardless, I’m on the Eagles here because they have a great chance at the outright upset as well.

Pick: Eagles + 3

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-3.5, 52)

Tuley: Drew Brees is out with broken ribs and a collapsed lung, which has caused this spread to go from Saints -7.5 on the advance line to Saints -3.5 now. The Falcons were playing better before their bye week, but this number is too short for me to play them now even with Taysom Hill surprisingly taking over for the Saints. I expect the Falcons to score their share of points, along with New Orleans. Now, here’s yet another example of why it pays to check Point Spread Weekly when it comes out on Wednesday as the total is up to 52, but I still expect it to fly Over.

Pick: Over 52

 

Dinsick: Fun one on tap in the Big Easy with multiple betting angles at play. A divisional matchup, team coming off a bye and adjusting for a backup quarterback all add complexity to the handicap. 

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