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Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

The MLB playoff races are heating up as we wind down the final week of the regular season. Today we have a loaded slate of 15 baseball games to choose from. For an updated breakdown of Tuesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
In the meantime, let's discuss where the action is flowing for several MLB games tonight...
 3:10 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (65-93) at Colorado Rockies (72-85)
These non-division opponents have split the first two games of the series, with the Nats stealing the opener 5-4 as 150 road dogs and then the Rockies bouncing back with a 3-1 win on Tuesday, cashing as -130 home favorites. In this afternoon's rubber match, the Nationals hand the ball to righty Paolo Espino (5-5, 4.01 ERA) and the Rockies counter with fellow righty Peter Lambert (0-0, 4.91 ERA). This line opened at a pick'em with both sides listed at -105 odds. The public is split and doesn't know who to back, yet we've seen the Rockies tick up from -105 to -112. This signals some respected money leaning on Colorado at home. Short home favorites -130 or less are 256-197 (57 percent) this season. Non-division home favorites are 490-310 (61 percent). The Rockies are 47-33 at home this season. The Nats are 30-50 on the road. The home plate ump, Quinn Wolcott, is 125-96 (57 percent) to the home team historically. We've also seen pros lean on this under. The total opened at a super high 12.5 and has been bet down to 12. The under is 2-0 this series and 4-1 in the five head-to-head matchups this season. The forecast calls for low 70s with 10-12 MPH winds blowing in from dead center. 
7:10 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins (64-93) at New York Mets (75-82)
The Mets swept yesterday's doubleheader against the Marlins, winning 5-2 as -190 home favorites and 2-1 as -140 home favorites. It marked the 7th straight loss for Miami. In tonight's rematch, the Marlins start righty Elieser Hernandez (1-3, 4.24 ERA) and the Mets rebuttal with fellow righty Taijuan Walker (7-11, 4.57 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -155 home favorite and Miami a 140 road dog. Sharps have gotten down on the Mets to carry yesterday's momentum into today, steaming New York up from -155 to -170. Home favorites receiving steam 10-cents or more are 389-249 (61 percent) this season. The Mets are 46-33 at home this season. The Marlins are 24-55 on the road. New York also has value as a bigger favorite with a low total (7.5). Betting theory states that the fewer amount of expected runs scored, the more likely they are to come from the better team. We could be looking at a low scoring game in this one. The total is 7.5 with the under juiced to -120, signaling a possible fall to 7. The under is 3-1 the last four meetings head-to-head. The forecast calls for 65 degrees with 7-10 MPH winds blowing in from left center. 
8:10 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (82-76) at Chicago White Sox (90-68)
The White Sox took last night's Interleague Series opener 7-1, cashing as -175 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Reds give the ball to righty Sonny Gray (7-8, 3.99 ERA) and the White Sox counter with lefty Carlos Rodon (12-5, 2.47 ERA). This line opened with Chicago listed as a -155 home favorite and Cincinnati a 140 road dog. Pros are expecting more of the same from last night, steaming the White Sox up from -155 to 165. Home favorites off a win are 510-328 (61 percent) this season. Home favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 393-249 (61 percent). The White Sox also have value as an interleague favorite with a line move in their favor. Chicago is 50-27 at home this season. The Reds are 38-39 on the road. Sharps are also betting on a low scoring game, as we've seen the total fall from 8.5 to 8. The forecast calls for low 70s with wind blowing in from left center at 7-10 MPH. The under is 3-0 between these teams this season. The under is 4-1 in the last five White Sox games. The under is 12-3 in the last 15 games games for Cincinnati on the road. 
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