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Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

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Bettors have another loaded slate to choose from on Wednesday, including a pair of NBA playoff play-in games, 13 MLB games and 3 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's dive into a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

3:40 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (4-1) at Arizona Diamondbacks (1-4)

The Astros took Tuesday's Interleague Series opener 2-1, squeaking by as -145 road favorites. In this afternoon's remarch, Houston sends out lefty Framber Valdez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) while Arizona turns to righty Merrill Kelly (0-0, 0.00 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -150 road favorite and the Diamondbacks a +130 home dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're laying the chalk with the Astros, driving Houston up from -150 to -160. The Astros have value as an Interleague favorite with a line move in their favor. Houston is +11 in run differential this season. Arizona is -10. The total is 9 with the over juiced to -115, signaling a smart money lean to a higher scoring game. The forecast calls for mid 70s with the 5-10 MPH winds out to right if the roof remains open at Chase Field. 

 

3:45 p.m. ET: San Diego Padres (4-2) at San Francisco Giants (3-2)

These NL West rivals have split the first two games of the series. The Padres took the opener 4-2, cashing as +140 road dogs. Then the Giants bounced back with a 13-2 win on Tuesday, taking care of business as -120 home favorites. In this afternoon's rubber match, San Diego hands the ball to lefty Sean Manaea (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and San Francisco counters with righty ace Logan Webb (0-0, 1.50 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a short -118 home favorite and the Padres a +108 road dog. Pros have steamed San Francisco, driving the Giants up from -118 to -130. The Giants have value as a favorite with a low total (7.5). San Francisco is +10 in run differential. San Diego is even at 0. We could be looking at a lower scoring game in this one, as the total is 7.5 with the under juiced to -125, signaling under liability and a possible fall down to 7. Unders are 42-26 (62%) so far this season. 

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (3-2) at New York Yankees (3-2)

After the Jays stole the series opener 3-0 as +105 road dogs, the Yankees bounced back with a 4-0 win yesterday, cashing as -125 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, Toronto turns to righty Jose Berrios (0-0, 108.00 ERA) while New York taps righty ace Gerrit Cole (0-0, 6.75 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a modest -120 home favorite and the Jays a +100 road dog. The public is split down the middle and doesn't know who to back. But pros have sided with the Bronx Bombers at home, steaming New York up from -120 to -145. The Yankees are +3 in run differential. The Jays are -4. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115 at some shops, signaling some sneaky wiseguy action on a higher scoring game. The forecast calls for mid 60s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to left. 

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