Wednesday MLB Sharp Report


For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. In the meantime, let's discuss where smart money is leaning for a trio of MLB games tonight...


6:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (37-45) at Miami Marlins (39-40)

The Marlins took Tuesday night's Interleague series opener 2-1, cashing as -145 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, Los Angeles turns to two-way ace Shohei Ohtani (7-4, 2.68 ERA) and Miami trots out lefty Trevor Rogers (4-6, 5.56 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -145 road favorite and the Marlins a +125 home dog. Sharps have pounced on the modest chalk price on Ohtani, steaming the Angels up from -145 to -170. Non-division road favorites are 148-86 (63%) this season. Los Angeles also has value as a favorite in a low total game (7). Ohtani posted a 1.52 ERA in June and the Angels won four of his five June starts. Rogers posted a 7.06 ERA in June. 


7:10 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (44-37) at Boston Red Sox (45-36)

These AL East rivals have split the first two games of the series. The Red Sox took the opener 4-0, cashing as -120 home favorites. Then the Rays bounced back with an 8-4 win on Tuesday, cashing as +110 road dogs. In tonight's rubber match, Tampa Bay starts veteran righty Corey Kluber (3-5, 3.91 ERA) and Boston taps rookie righty Brayan Bello (no record). Bello is making his MLB debut. He is Boston's top pitching prospect and has gone 10-4 with a 2.33 ERA this season in the minors. This line opened with Boston listed as a short -110 home favorite and Tampa Bay a +100 road dog. Pros have backed Boston, steaming the Red Sox up from -110 to -130. Favorites off a loss who made the playoffs the previous season are 145-83 (65%). The Red Sox are 27-17 as a favorite and 21-17 at home. Boston holds the edge at the plate, hitting .261 compared to .236 for Tampa Bay. 


9:40 p.m. ET: San Francisco Giants (40-39) at Arizona Diamondbacks (37-44)

The Diamondbacks have taken the first two games of this NL West series, winning the opener 8-3 as +165 home dogs and then winning again yesterday 6-2 as +145 home dogs. In tonight's series finale, San Francisco starts righty Alex Cobb (3-3, 4.59 ERA) and Arizona sends out fellow righty Merrill Kelly (7-5, 3.46 ERA). This line opened with the Giants listed as a -140 road favorite and the Diamondbacks a +125 home dog. Pros have jumped on Arizona to complete the sweep, dropping the Snakes down from +125 to +115. The Diamondbacks have value as a divisional dog off a win with a line move in their favor. The Giants have lost six straight games and are now just 2-10 in their last 12 games. Arizona is 4-2 in Kelly's last six starts. 

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NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

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