Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

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For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Ben Wilson from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

2:10 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (36-37) at Kansas City Royals (26-47)

The Rangers have taken the first two games of the series, winning the opener 10-4 as -150 road favorites and then winning again on Tuesday 8-3 as -155 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Texas hands the ball to righty Dane Dunning (1-5, 4.17 ERA) and Kansas City sends out veteran righty Zack Grenike (1-4, 4.68 ERA). This line opened with the Rangers listed as a short -115 road favorite and the Royals a +105 home dog. Pros seem to be thinking "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" and have steamed Texas up from -115 to -125. Non-division road favorites are 141-73 (66%) this season. Kansas City is just 19-39 as a dog, 13-25 at home and 16-33 against righties. Texas has a team ERA of 3.94 compared to 5.05 for Kansas City. Texas is +14 in run differential. Kansas City is -104. The Rangers lead the season series 4-1. There also appears to be some liability on a higher scoring game, as the total is 9 with the over juiced to -120. The forecast calls for low 90s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center. The over is 4-1 in five head-to-head matchups this season, including 2-0 this series. 

 

7:07 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (42-33) at Toronto Blue Jays (42-32)

The Jays have taken the first two games of this AL East clash, winning the opener 7-2 as -200 home favorites and then winning against last night 6-5 as -135 home favorites. In tonight's series finale, Boston hands the ball to righty Nick Pivetta (8-5, 3.25 ERA) and Toronto sends out fellow righty Alek Manoah (9-2, 2.05 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -145 home favorite and the Red Sox a +130 road dog. Pros are riding the Jays to complete the sweep, steaming Toronto up from -145 to -160. Toronto is 34-22 as a favorite, 23-14 at home and 35-25 against righties. Toronto leads the season series 7-2, including 5-1 at home against Boston. The Jays are 6-1 in the last 7 starts by Manoah.

 

9:38 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox (35-38) at Los Angeles Angels (36-41)

These non-division AL foes have split the first two games of the series. The Angels took the opener 4-3 as -140 home favorites and then the White Sox bounced back with an 11-4 win yesterday, cashing as  110 road dogs. In tonight's rubber match, Chicago starts righty Michael Kopech (2-4, 2.59 ERA) and Los Angeles counters with two-way ace Shohei Ohtani (5-4, 2.90 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -135 home favorite and the White Sox a +115 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the Angels, steaming Los Angeles up from -135 to -175. Non-division home favorites are 270-197 (58%) this season. Los Angeles also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Angels are 28-22 as a favorite. The White Sox are 11-19 as a dog. Ohtani has a 1.88 ERA in June and the Angels have won three of his four starts so far this month. Kopech has a June ERA of 5.23 and the White Sox have lost four of his five starts this month. 

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