Wednesday MLB Sharp Report


For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. In the meantime, let's discuss where smart money is leaning for a trio of MLB games today...

12:20 p.m. ET: New York Mets (54-34) at Atlanta Braves (53-36)
These NL East rivals have split the first two games of the series. The Mets stole the opener 4-1, cashing as +120 road dogs. Then the Braves bounced back with a 4-1 win on Tuesday, taking care of business as -200 home favorites. In this afternoon's rubber match, New York hands the ball to righty Chris Bassitt (6-6, 3.94 ERA) and Atlanta counters with fellow righty Charlie Morton (5-3, 4.21 ERA). This line opened with the Braves listed as a -130 home favorite and the Mets a +120 road dog. Sharps have laid the modest chalk with the Braves, steaming Atlanta up from -130 to -145. The Braves are 45-21 as a favorite and 31-19 at home. Atlanta is 9-3 in Morton's last 12 starts. The Mets are just 2-4 in Bassitt's last six starts. 
1:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (49-39) at Minnesota Twins (48-41)
The Brewers pulled off a 6-3 upset win in last night's Interleague Series opener, cashing as +140 road dogs. In this afternoon's rematch, Milwaukee starts lefty Aaron Ashby (2-6, 4.52 ERA) and Minnesota taps righty Joe Ryan (6-3, 3.09 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a -150 home favorite and the Brewers a +135 road dog. Pros have jumped on the plus money with Milwaukee, steaming the Brewers down from +135 to +115. Interleague dogs are 58-64 this season, winning only 48% of the time but cashing  16 units due to the plus money payouts. Milwaukee is 9-8 as a dog and 34-25 against righties. The total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling some liability on a lower scoring game. The under is 4-1 in the last five Brewers games. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 home Twins games. 
9:38 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (57-29) at Los Angeles Angels (38-50)
The Astros won Tuesday's series opener 6-5, cashing as -120 road favorites. Houston is now 12-2 in their last 14 games. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has lost five straight to fall to 1-9 over their last ten games. In tonight's rematch, Houston taps righty Cristian Javier (6-4, 3.01 ERA) and Los Angeles starts two-way star Shohei Ohtani (8-4, 2.44 ERA). This line opened with the Angels listed as a -130 home favorite and the Astros a +120 road dog. Sharps aren't blindly backing Ohtani and are instead grabbing the plus money with Houston, dropps the Astros from +120 to +110. Houston has value as a road divisional dog with a line move in their favor. The Astros lead the season series 8-3. Houston is 38-20 against righties. Los Angeles is 27-37 against righties. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 7.5 to 7. 
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