For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Ben Wilson from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
In the meantime, let's discuss several MLB games receiving sharp action today...
6:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (41-25) at Cincinnati Reds (23-44)
The Dodgers took care of business in last night's series opener, winning 8-2 as -175 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Los Angeles hands the ball to lefty Tyler Anderson (8-0, 2.82 ERA) and Cincinnati counters with righty Luis Castillo (2-4, 3.33 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -160 road favorite and the Reds a +145 home dog. Pros seem to be thinking "if it ain't broke, don't fix it," and have steamed the Dodgers up from -160 to -175. Non-division road favorites are 129-69 (65%) this season. Favorites who made the playoffs the previous year against teams who did not are 272-147 (65%). The Dodgers are 40-25 as a favorite, 21-13 on the road and 27-17 against righties. The Reds are 17-32 as a dog, 12-21 at home and 7-12 against leftys. Los Angeles is a perfect 5-0 against Cincinnati this season. The Dodgers are +120 in run differential. Cincinnati is -70. Los Angeles is 6-0 in Anderson's last six starts.
6:40 p.m. ET: Colorado Rockies (30-38) at Miami Marlins (30-36)
The Marlins hung on for a 9-8 win in Tuesday's series opener, cashing as -120 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, Colorado starts righty Chad Kuhl (4-4, 3.69 ERA) and Miami taps fellow righty Pablo Lopez (4-3, 2.85 ERA). This line opened with the Marlins listed as a -175 home favorite and the Rockies a +150 road dog. Pros aren't scared off by the expensive price and have laid the chalk with the Fish, driving Miami up from -175 to -200. Miami has correlative betting value as a big favorite in a game with a very low total (7.5). The fewer amount of expected runs scored, the more likely they are to come from the "better" team. The Marlins are 16-10 as a favorite and 16-14 at home this season. Colorado is 21-31 as a dog and just 11-19 on the road. Miami's biggest edge comes on the mound, as the Marlins team ERA is 3.93 compared to the Rockies' 4.90. Miami is +14 in run differential. Colorado is -58.
9:40 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (30-39) at Oakland Athletics (23-46)
The Mariners cruised in last night's series opener, winning 8-2 as -125 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Seattle turns to righty George Kirby (1-2, 3.56 ERA) and Oakland sends out fellow righty Paul Blackburn (6-2, 2.26 ERA). This line opened with the Mariners listed as a modest -120 road favorite and the Athletics a +110 home dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with Seattle, steaming the Mariners up from -120 to -130. Road favorites are 236-143 (62%) this season. The Mariners also have value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Athletics are 18-36 as a dog, 15-32 against righties and only 8-26 at home, by far the worst home record in MLB. Oakland is just 3-16 over their last 19 games. The Mariners' biggest advantage comes at the plate, where Seattle is hitting .232 while Oakland sits at .210. Seattle also has a team ERA of 3.90 compared to Oakland's 4.32.