Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

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For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's discuss where respected money is leaning for a trio of MLB games tonight...

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (36-27) at Washington Nationals (23-41)

 
The Braves have taken the first two games of this NL East series, winning the opener 9-5 as -160 road favorites and then winning again on Tuesday 10-4 as -280 road favorites. Atlanta has now won 13-straight games while Washington has now dropped three straight. In tonight's series finale, the Braves hand the ball to righty Spencer Strider (2-2, 2.35 ERA) and the Nats counter with fellow righty Erick Fedde (4-4, 4.87 ERA). This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -165 road favorite and Washington a +150 home dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're backing red-hot Atlanta to sweep, steaming the Braves up from -165 to -175. Road favorites are 211-125 (63%) this season. Favorites who made the playoffs last season against opponents who did not are 258-136 (66%). The Braves are 29-15 as a favorite and 16-13 on the road. The Nats are 18-37 as a dog and just 11-21 at home. Atlanta is +38 in run differential. Washington is -96. 
 
 
4:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins (36-28) at Seattle Mariners (28-34)
 
These non-division foes have split the first two games of the series. The Twins won the opener 3-2, cashing as short -105 road dogs. Then the Mariners bounced back with a 5-0 win last night, taking care of business as -120 home favorites. In this afternoon's rubber match, Minnesota starts veteran righty Sonny Gray (3-1, 2.41 ERA) and Seattle taps lefty Marco Gonzales (3-6, 3.63 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a modest -120 road favorite and the Mariners a +100 home dog. Pros have laid the short chalk with Minnesota, steaming the Twins up from -120 to -135. Non-division road favorites are 120-60 (67%) this season. The Twins also have value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the "better" team. Minnesota is 24-12 as a favorite and 12-8 against lefties. Seattle is 14-22 as a dog and 23-24 against righties. The Twins are batting .251 while the Mariners are hitting .237. Minnesota is +21 in run differential. Seattle is -9. 
 
 
10:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (29-33) at Los Angeles Dodgers (37-23)
 
The Dodgers took last night's Freeway Series opener 2-0, cashing as hefty -210 home favorites. The Angels are now just 2-17 over their last 19 games. In tonight's rematch, the Angels send out lefty Reid Detmers (2-2, 3.83 ERA) and the Dodgers rebuttal with fellow southpaw Tyler Anderson (7-0, 3.07 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -175 home favorite and the Angels a +160 road dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have steamed the Dodgers up from -175 to -190. Favorites who made the playoffs last season against opponents who did not are 258-136 (66%) this season. The Dodgers are 13-8 against righties, 24-15 as a favorite and 18-10 at home this season. Meanwhile, the Angels are 8-8 against lefties, 4-15 as a dog and 12-16 on the road. The Dodgers are +107 in run differential. The Angels are +7. 
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