Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

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For an in-depth breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to check out the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I will also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's dive into a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

12:20 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (55-48) at Atlanta Braves (63-41)

The Braves took cruised to a 13-1 victory over the Phillies in Tuesday night's series opener, taking care of business as -240 home favorites. In this early afternoon rematch, Philadelphia hands the ball to righty Zack Wheeler (9-5, 2.77 ERA) and Atlanta counters with fellow righty Charlie Morton (5-5, 4.34 ERA). This line opened with the Braves listed as a -125 home favorite and the Phillies a +115 road dog. Sharps have laid the modest chalk with Atlanta, steaming the Braves up from -125 to -135. Favorites who made the playoffs last season against teams who did not are 397-226 (64%). Atlanta also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Braves are 55-26 as a favorite, 37-21 at home and 38-30 against righties. Atlanta holds the edge at the plate (hitting .250 versus .247) and on the mound (team ERA 3.57 vs 3.85). Atlanta has won four straight and is 7-3 since the All Star Break.

 

1:05 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (56-49) at New York Yankees (70-35)

These AL non-division foes have split the first two games of the series. The Yankees took the opener 7-2, cashing as -180 home favorites. Then the Mariners bounced back with an 8-6 win last night, cashing as +145 road dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, Seattle starts righty Luis Castillo (4-4. 2.86 ERA) and New York sends out ace righty Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.30 ERA). Castillo is making his Mariners debut after being acquired from the Reds at the trade deadline. This line opened with the Yankees listed as a -170 home favorite and the Mariners a +155 road dog. Sharps aren't scared off by the expensive price and have steamed the Yankees up from -170 to -180. Favorites off a loss who made the playoffs last season are 202-108 (65%) this year. New York also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5). The Yankees are 66-31 as a favorite, 41-14 at home and 47-27 against righties. New York will lean on their bats, hitting .246 compared to .233 for Seattle. The Yankees are 15-6 in Cole's 21 starts this season.

 

9:45 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (70-33) at San Francisco Giants (51-53)

The Dodgers have taken the first two games of this NL West showdown, winning the opener 8-2 as -135 road favorites and then winning against last night 9-5 as -160 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Los Angeles starts lefty Julio Urias (10-6, 2.71 ERA) and San Francisco trots out righty Alex Cobb (3-5, 4.06 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -155 road favorite and the Giants a +135 home dog. Sharps are riding the hot hands, steaming the Dodgers up from -155 to -165. Road favorites are 344-222 (61%) this season. The Dodgers are 68-32 as a favorite, 35-18 on the road and 47-21 against righties. Los Angeles leads the season series 8-3. The Dodgers are hitting .259 compared to .234 for the Giants. The Dodgers are 8-0 in Urias' last 8 starts. The total is 7.5 with the over juiced to -120, signaling some over liability and a possible rise up to 8. The forecast calls for low 60s by the Bay with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center. 

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

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VSiN PrimeTime: Be aware of injuries on the offensive line, skill positions get the most publicity, but if an elite tackle is out it could have a huge impact on the game. View more tips.

A Numbers Game: If you’re just getting into soccer betting, make sure you know exactly what you’re betting. i.e. Double chance, to win, to advance, etc. View more tips.
 
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