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Wednesday MLB Sharp Report (8-11)

August 11, 2021 01:07 AM

Today, bettors have 15 MLB games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for a trio of MLB games today.

7:05 p.m. ET: Detroit Tigers (55-60) at Baltimore Orioles (38-73)

The Tigers cruised in Tuesday night's series opener, winning 9-4 as -130 road favorites. The slumping Orioles have now lost six straight games. In tonight's rematch, Detroit sends out lefty Tarik Skubal (7-10, 4.32 ERA) and Baltimore starts veteran righty Matt Harvey (6-10, 6.13 ERA). This line opened at a true pick'em with both sides listed at -105 odds. Wiseguys have pounced on Detroit, steaming the Tigers up from -105 to -115. Road favorites coming off a big win of 5-runs or more have gone 71-33 (68.3%) this season, winning roughly + 17 units. Detroit is 10-6 as a favorite. Baltimore is 35-65 as a dog. We could also be looking at a higher scoring game. Sharps have hit the over, driving the total up from 10 to 10.5. The forecast calls for ideal hitting conditions, with temperatures in the high 80s and 7-10 MPH winds blowing out to left center. Camden Yards is the 2nd-best over stadium in baseball, with the over going 32-19-1 (63%). 

7:10 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics (65-48) at Cleveland Indians (55-56)

The Athletics took last night's series opener 4-3, cashing as -140 road favorites. It marked the 5th straight win for Oakland, who now trail the first-place Astros by just 2-games in the AL West. Oakland is + 475 to catch Houston and win the AL West. In tonight's rematch, the Athletics send out veteran righty Frankie Montas (9-8, 4.10 ERA) and the Indians counter with righty Cal Quantrill (3-2, 3.14 ERA). This line opened with Oakland listed as a -130 road favorite and Cleveland a + 120 home dog. Sharps are riding the red-hot Athletics, steaming Oakland up from -130 to -140. Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 222-138 (61.7%) this season. Short road favorites -150 or less coming off a win are 124-87 (58.8%), winning roughly + 13 units. The Athletics are + 62 in run differential. The Indians are -26. Oakland is 49-29 as a favorite. Cleveland is 25-36 as a dog.

7:20 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (61-53) at Atlanta Braves (58-55)

Both of these non-division foes are battling for their playoff lives. Cincinnati is 4.5-games back of the second Wild Card spot and the Braves are 1-game back of the NL East leading Phillies. The Braves eked out a 3-2 win in last night's series opener, cashing as -115 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Reds give the ball to veteran lefty Wade Miley (9-4, 2.75 ERA) and the Braves rebuttal with righty Touki Toussaint (1-2, 4.43 ERA). This line opened at a pick'em with both sides listed at -105. The public is split and doesn't know who to back. But we've seen pros quietly side the Braves, pushing Atlanta up from -105 to -110. Non-division home favorites off a win are 210-136 (60.7%) this season. Short home favorites -130 or less are 208-152 (57.85), winning roughly + 27 units. Atlanta is 38-35 as a favorite. Cincinnati is 23-27 as a dog. The Braves a + 66 in run differential. The Reds are + 15. 

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