Wednesday MLB Sharp Report (6-30)

June 30, 2021 12:53 AM

Today, we have another jam-packed betting slate, featuring 14 MLB games, 1 NBA playoff game and 1 NHL playoff game. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for a trio of MLB games tonight...

1:15 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (22-59) at St. Louis Cardinals (39-41)

The Cardinals have taken the first two games of this series, winning the opener 7-1 as -165 home favorites and then winning again last night 3-2 as -160 home favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, the Diamondbacks send out righty Riley Smith (1-3, 5.71 ERA) and the Cardinals counter with lefty Kwang Hyun Kim (1-5, 3.98 ERA). This line opened with St. Louis listed as a -180 home favorite and Arizona a + 165 road dog. Sharps have gotten down hard on the Cardinals to finish off the sweep, steaming St. Louis up from -180 to -200. Teams receiving 15-cents of steam or more and are coming off a win have gone 107-58 (65%) this season. Home favorites -200 or more are 72-25 (74%). Non-division home favorites are 273-160 (63%). Arizona has been one of the worst road teams in baseball this season, going just 10-35. Arizona is just 4-16 against lefties. St. Louis is 22-15 as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 16-51 as a dog. 

7:05 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels (38-41) at New York Yankees (41-38)

These non-division opponents have split the first two games of this series. The Angels won the opener 5-3 as + 145 road dogs and then the Yankees bounced back with an 11-5 win on Tuesday, cashing as -150 home favorites. In tonight's rubber match, the Angels give the ball to two-way stud Shohei Ohtani (3-1, 2.58 ERA) and the Yankees start righty Domingo German (4-5, 4.32 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a short -120 home favorite and Los Angeles a + 110 road dog. The public is all over Ohtani and the Angels at plus money. However, pros are fading the trendy dog and getting down on the contrarian favorite Yankees, driving New York up from -120 to -125. Short home favorites -135 or less coming off a win are 98-67 (59%) this season. Non-division home favorites are 273-160 (63%). 

7:07 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (41-39) at Toronto Blue Jays (41-36)

The Jays took care of business in Tuesday night's series opener, crushing the Mariners 9-3 as big -225 home favorites. Red-hot Toronto is now 8-1 over their last nine games and just got George Springer back into the lineup. In tonight's rematch, Seattle starts lefty Justus Sheffield (5-7, 5.69 ERA) and Toronto counters with fellow southpaw Steven Matz (7-3, 4.26 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -180 home favorite and the Mariners a + 165 road dog. Pros and Joes have both pounced on Toronto, driving this line up from Jays -180 to -200. Home favorites -200 or more are 72-25 (74%) this season. Non-division home teams receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 149-82 (65%). Toronto will once again lean on their big advantage at the plate. The Jays are batting .266, which ranks 2nd in MLB. The Mariners are hitting .217, dead last in MLB. 

Remember to check the VSiN Betting Splits every day for money and ticket counts so you can tell who the public is betting on.

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