Wednesday MLB Sharp Report (5-5)

May 5, 2021 12:37 AM

Bettors have a plethora of sweats to choose from today, including 15 MLB games, 9 NBA games and 9 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 p.m. ET to 5 p.m. ET to go over all of today's action in greater depth.

In the meantime, let's discuss a few MLB games today receiving notable sharp action today.

12:35 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox (16-12) at Cincinnati Reds (13-15)

The White Sox dominated the Reds 9-0 in Tuesday's Interleague Series opener, winning easily as + 100 road dogs. Pros got it wrong as they steamed the Reds from + 105 to -110. In this early afternoon rematch, the White Sox hand the ball to veteran lefty Dallas Keuchel (1-1, 4.65 ERA) and the Reds counter with ace Sonny Gray (0-2, 5.93 ERA). This line opened with the Reds listed as modest -120 home favorites and the White Sox a + 110 road dog. The public sees the White Sox with a superior won-loss record and is happy to grab the plus-money with Chicago. However, despite this lopsided support the line has actually moved further to Cincinnati (-120 to -127). This signals some sharp "Fade the Trendy Dog" contrarian movement toward Cincinnati, with pros laying the minus price and backing Gray. Interleague favorites with a line move in their favor are 17-12 (59%) this season. Line movement in Interleague games overall is 25-17 (60%). 

7:05 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (15-14) at New York Yankees (15-14)

The Yankees took last night's series opener 7-3, cashing as modest -120 home favorites. After a brutal start to the season, New York has now won four straight games and is 6-1 over their last seven. In tonight's rematch, the Astros send out righty Luis Garcia (0-3, 2.70 ERA) while the Yankees counter with lefty Jordan Montgomery (!-1, 4.39 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -125 home favorite and Houston a + 115 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand and backing the Yankees, as we've seen New York get steamed up to -130. Some shops are inching closer to -135. The Yankees have value as a non-division favorite with a line move in their favor. We could also be looking at another higher-scoring game tonight. The total is 9 with -120 juice to the over. The weather calls for mid 60s with 10 MPH winds out to right center. The Astros are 17-12 to the over this season. The Yankees are 18-12 to the under. 

9:40 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (14-14) at Oakland Athletics (19-12)

The Athletics have taken the first two games of this four-game series, winning the opener 5-4 as -118 favorites and winning again 4-1 last night as -120 favorites. In tonight's third game, the Blue Jays start lefty Robbie Ray (1-1, 2.78 ERA) and the Athletics send out Chris Bassitt (2-2, 3.93 ERA). This line opened with Oakland listed as a short -115 home favorite and the Jays a + 105 road dog. The public is split and doesn't know who to take. Casual bettors respect Oakland but also feel like the Jays are "due" for a victory, especially with their exciting young lineup of hitters. But wiseguys are going back to the well with the Athletics, as we've seen this line rise from Oakland -115 to -120. Some books are closer to -125. One reason to lean Oakland here is their dominance against left handed starting pitchers. The A's are 9-3 against lefties this season. The A's are 14-6 as a favorite and 11-8 at home. The Jays are 7-10 on the road. 

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