Wednesday MACtion Sharp Report


MAC underdogs went 2-1 ATS on Tuesday. They are now 22-10 ATS (69%) on the season. 

Now it's on to Wednesday, where bettors have a loaded slate to choose from including 13 NBA games, 3 NHL games, 20 College Basketball games and a trio of College Football games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.


In the meantime, let's discuss where the action is flowing for tonight's college gridiron slate...


7 p.m. ET: Toledo at Bowling Green

This MAC showdown features two losing teams looking to get back to .500. Toledo (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) started the season 3-2 but has gone just 1-3 since, most recently falling to Eastern Michigan 52-49 and losing outright as 9.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Bowling Green (3-6 SU, 7-2 ATS) just took down Buffalo 56-44, winning outright as 13.5-point road dogs. The win snapped a four-game losing streak for Bowling Green. This line opened with Toledo listed as a 9-point road favorite. The public is split and doesn't know who to back. But respected money has sided with Toledo, driving the road favorite up from -9 to -10.5. Toledo has the edge both offensively (30.8 PPG vs 23.6 PPG) and defensively (22 PPG vs 30.6 PPG). The total opened at 50.5 and has fallen to 50, signaling some respected under money. The forecast calls for low 50s with 10 MPH winds. Toledo is 6-3 to the under. Bowling Green is 5-4 to the under. 


7 p.m. ET: Ball State at Northern Illinois 

These MAC foes are battling for a top spot in the conference standings. Ball State (5-4 SU) is on a roll as of late. After starting the season 1-3, the Cardinals have gone 4-1 since, including a 31-25 win over Akron last week. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois (6-3 SU) just fell to Kent State 52-47, which snapped a five-game winning streak for the Huskies. This line opened with Ball State listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. The public is leaning toward laying the points with red-hot Ball State. However, this line has remained frozen at 2.5 and even dipped to 2 briefly. This signals some liability on home dog Northern Illinois. Home conference dogs that see the line stay the same or move in their favor are 37-29 ATS (56%) this season. MACtion dogs are 22-10 ATS (69%). We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 62.5 to 61.5. Weather could play a factor here. The forecast calls for 15 MPH winds. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more the under is 66-43 (61%) this season. 


8 p.m. ET: Kent State at Central Michigan

Both of these MAC rivals are looking to continue their hot streaks. Kent State (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won two straight and four of their last five, including a 52-47 win over Northern Illinois last week, covering as 3.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Central Michigan (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won three of their last four games, most recently beating Western Michigan 42-30 last week, winning outright as 9-point road dogs. This line opened with Central Michigan listed as a 3-point home favorite. The public is laying the short number with the home favorite, yet we've seen this line fall from 3 to 2.5. This indicates wiseguy action taking the points with Kent State, triggering reverse line movement in their favor. Short road dogs  4 or less are 44-39 ATS (53%) this season. We could be in for a shootout here. The total opened at 72 and has been bet up to 75. 

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