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Wednesday College Hoops Sharp Report (3-10)

March 10, 2021 01:07 AM

If you like betting college hoops, today is the day for you. Conference tournament games ramp up with roughly 30 games to choose from throughout the day. We also have the return of the NBA with two games on the docket, plus 5 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 12:30 p.m. ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 p.m. ET to 5 p.m. ET to go over all of today's action in greater depth.

In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of college basketball games today receiving notable line movement...

12 p.m. ET: NC State vs Syracuse

This ACC Tournament second round matchup pits 9-seed NC State (13-9) against 8-seed Syracuse (15-8). NC State enters the postseason on high note, winning their last five games in a row. The Wolfpack beat Notre Dame 80-69 in their regular season finale, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Syracuse also played well down the stretch, winning their final two games. The Orange beat Clemson 64-54 their last time out, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Syracuse listed as a short 2-point favorite. The public is all over the red hot Wolfpack catching points. However, despite this lopsided support, we've actually seen the line rise from Syracuse -2 to - 2.5. This signals some sharp contrarian reverse line movement on the Orange with pros fading the trendy dog. Ken Pom has Syracuse winning by one point, so bettors backing the Orange may prefer a moneyline play. Ken Pom has Syracuse ranked higher (53rd vs 65th). We've also seen some wiseguy money hit the under, dropping the total from 146 to 145. These teams met twice this season and Syracuse won both times (76-73 and 77-68). 

6:30 p.m. ET: Duke vs Louisville

This ACC Tournament second round matchup features 10-seed Duke (12-11) against 7-seed Louisville (13-6). Duke enters this game with some momentum as they just waxed Boston College 86-51 in yesterday's first round matchup, easily covering as 13-point favorites. On the flip side, Louisville will be playing their first game of the tournament. The Cardinals started the season 9-1 but went just 4-5 down the stretch, including a 68-58 loss to Virginia in their regular season finale, failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Duke listed as a 2-point favorite. Right off the bat, this line speaks volumes because Louisville is the higher seed yet Duke is favored. The public says give me the points with Louisville, yet this line has moved from Duke -2 to -2.5. This signals some sharp action on the Dukies with pros laying the points. Ken Pom has Duke winning by one point, which might make bettors entertain a moneyline play instead of the spread. Ken Pom has Duke ranked 37th in the country and Louisville 50th. This is a revenge spot for Duke as Louisville won both matchups during the regular season (70-65 and 80-73). 

9 p.m. ET: Nebraska vs Penn State

This Big Ten Tournament first round matchup features 14-seed Nebraska (7-19) against 11-seed Penn State (10-13). Nebraska struggled all year long but showed some fight down the stretch, going a respectable 2-2 over their last four games. In their regular season finale, Nebraska fell to Northwestern 79-78 but covered as 7-point road dogs. On the flip side, Penn State finished up strong, going 3-1 over their last four games. The Nittany Lions are coming off a 66-61 upset victory over Maryland, winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Penn State listed as a 7.5-point favorite. The public sees an easy win and cover with Penn State over a Nebraska squad with a terrible record. However, despite a majority of bets laying the points, this line has actually fallen from 7.5 to 6.5. Some shops are even down to 6. This sharp movement signals pro money buying low on Nebraska and grabbing the points. The Corn Huskers are also one of the top contrarian plays of the day. Ken Pom has Penn State winning by six points, which is right on the number. He has Nebraska ranked 92nd and Penn State 34th. These teams split their two matchups during the regular season, with Nebraska winning 62-61 and Penn State winning 86-83. 

More Wednesday Moves

Portland State -6 to -7 vs Northern Arizona

Wyoming -10.5 to -11.5 vs San Jose State

Arizona State pick'em to -1 vs Washington State

Air Force-UNLV Under 130 to 127.5

Iona -1.5 to -2 vs Siena

Northwestern -2 to -2.5 vs Minnesota

TCU -3 to -4 va Kansas State

Fresno State -7 to -8.5 vs New Mexico

Cal + 6.5 to + 6 vs Stanford

UTEP -2.5 to -3.5 vs Florida Atlantic

MTSU-North Texas Under 127 to 125.5

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