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Wednesday College Basketball Sharp Report for Syracuse-Louisville, Duke-Wake Forest and Utah State-Boise State

February 16, 2021 11:15 PM

Today, we have a massive betting menu featuring 40-plus college basketball games, 9 NBA games and 5 NHL games. For an updated breakdown of Wednesday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll also be co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3-5 p.m. ET to go over all of today's action in greater depth. We'll be joined by Bruce Marshall of The Gold Sheet and NBA Host Rick Kamla of SiriusXM.

In the meantime, let's discuss a few college hoops games today receiving notable line movement...

6:30 p.m. ET: Syracuse at Louisville

This ACC matchup features one team on a winning streak and another returning from a long COVID pause. Syracuse (12-6) has won two straight and three of their last four. Meanwhile, Louisville (11-4) is playing their first game in 16-days. This line opened with Louisville listed as a 4.5-point home favorite. The public is all over Louisville at home laying a short number, yet we've seen this line dip from 4.5 to 4. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the road dog with wiseguys grabbing 'Cuse plus the hook (+ 4.5). Ken Pom has this game projected as a 4-point Louisville win, which means the hook could end up being key. Syracuse has value as a short road conference dog with a line move in their favor. Sometimes these teams coming off COVID pauses tend to get off to a sluggish start, like what we saw with Michigan against Wisconsin over the weekend. As a result, maybe a first half play on Syracuse would offer some value. We've also seen some money hit this over, driving up the total from 140 to 141. 

8:30 p.m. ET: Duke at Wake Forest

These ACC opponents aren't having the seasons they would like. Duke (8-8) finally snapped a 3-game losing skid their last time out with a 69-53 win over NC State, easily covering as 3-point road favorites. On the flip side, Wake Forest (6-9) has rotated wins and losses their last six games. Wake is coming off a 92-85 loss to Florida State over the weekend, covering as 13-point dogs. This line opened with Duke listed as a 5-point road favorite. The public typically loves betting on Duke but not this year with their lackluster record. Also, there is drama surrounding Duke as freshman Jalen Johnson just opted out. However, pros seem to be buying on bad news and backing Duke in a possible undervalued spot as we've seen the Blue Devils rise from -5 to -6. Ken Pom has this as a 5-point Duke win, so there isn't much of an actionable edge. However, Pom does have Duke ranked much higher (36th vs 109th). Duke is in a buy low, sell high spot as a bad ATS team (4-12) against a good ATS team (10-4). 

9 p.m. ET: Utah State at Boise State

Bettors are in for a treat as this game features the top two teams in the Mountain West battling for conference supremacy. Utah State (14-5) is another team coming off a COVID pause. The Aggies are playing their first game in 13-days. Meanwhile, Boise State (16-4) is riding a two-game winning streak as they just took care of business against UNLV. This game opened with Boise State listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Some shops opened at 1 and immediately got bet up to 1.5. Some books are showing juice liability on Boise -1.5 (-115) with a possible move up to 2. Ken Pom has Boise winning this game by one point. As a result, some bettors targeting Boise might rather take them on the moneyline to win the game straight up (-125) against a Utah State team that may be rusty off the COVID break. Boise is a perfect 9-0 at home this season. Respected money has also hit this over, pushing the total up from 137 to 138. 

More Wednesday Movement

Iona -4.5 to -6.5 at Quinnipiac

Evansville + 8 to + 7 at Indiana State

Richmond + 3.5 to + 2 at VCU

Mercer-East Tennessee State Under 139.5 to 138.5

Arizona State + 11.5 to + 10.5 at USC

South Carolina-Tennessee Over 141.5 to 143

Western Carolina-Chattanooga Over 143.5 to 144.5

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