Wednesday college basketball betting previews: Florida St.-Louisville and Okla.-Okla. St.

By Greg Peterson  (VSiN.com) 

March 6, 2018 07:27 PM

Florida State vs Louisville (Noon ET on ESPN)

Opening Line: Florida State PK

Offensive Efficiency: Florida State #52, Louisville #103

Defensive Efficiency: Florida State #86, Louisville #47

Rebound Rate: Florida State #62, Louisville #165

Percent of Shots are 3s: Florida State #174, Louisville #235

Free-Throw Shooting Percentage: Florida State #275, Louisville #83

Pace: Florida State #28, Louisville #119

Florida State appears to be in the NCAA Tournament field while Louisville is very much on the bubble and needs a win.

Florida State has been picking up its wins in shootouts. The Seminoles have not scored fewer than 80 points in a win since taking down Charleston Southern on Dec. 18.

Louisville has struggled of late, losing seven of its last 10, with its defense being the key. In its three wins, Louisville has allowed fewer than 70 points in each. But the team has given up more than 70 in six of its seven loses. The lone exception was its blow-up against Virginia.

Louisville has solid overall size and is one of the top shot-blocking teams in the country. Florida State also has good size across the board and has used a 10-man rotation at times. With that size, Florida State is better at defending the paint than the 3-point arc.

Louisville has a significant advantage at the free-throw line with the Seminoles trading off poor free-throw shooting for a team that is solid on the glass. If Florida State can keep Louisville at bay on the boards and prevent second and third chances, the Cardinals will be forced to shoot much better than they have for much of the season.

Oklahoma vs Oklahoma State (7 p.m. ET on ESPNU)

Opening Line: Oklahoma PK

Offensive Efficiency: Oklahoma #53, Oklahoma State #110

Defensive Efficiency: Oklahoma #229, Oklahoma State #135

Rebound Rate: Oklahoma #175, Oklahoma State #136

Percent of Shots are 3s: Oklahoma #89, Oklahoma State #137

Free-Throw Shooting Percentage: Oklahoma #51, Oklahoma State #39

Pace: Oklahoma #6, Oklahoma State #98

Oklahoma and Oklahoma State are stunningly the Nos. 8 and 9 seeds in the conference tournament with matching 8-10 records. Despite its late-season woes, Oklahoma should be a lock for the NCAA Tournament while the Cowboys are trying to make a big late-season run to get on the bubble.

Oklahoma was among the top 20 teams in offensive efficiency toward the end of January. Trae Young had his late-season struggles, which caused the whole offense to go into a valley.

These two teams split the season series with Young taking 39 shots in Oklahoma's overtime loss in the second go-around.

Oklahoma State is a much different team, as the Cowboys go eight deep in their rotation and are relatively equal on the offensive and defensive ends. The Cowboys' ball movement isn't the best, but they make up for it by shooting well at the free-throw line and forcing a lot of turnovers on defense.

Oklahoma State has a versatile lineup. Nearly everyone sans Mitchell Solomon is a threat to take a 3. Oklahoma takes more of its shots from 3-point distance with Young being the reason. Though he has been in a shooting slump, the freshman is unafraid to pull up from way beyond the 3-point arc.

Oklahoma State is not the best at shooting 3s. But with how poorly Oklahoma defends the perimeter, going long distance could be the Cowboys' ticket to win and cover. The 3-ball also will be important for Oklahoma, which is hit or miss from distance.

back to news

QuickPicks_300x250_080920_NFLkickoff

Headlines

View All
  • Magny should shine in Fight Island 8

    Magny should shine in Fight Island 8

    Wednesday’s UFC event begins at 6 a.m. Pacific Time, so the theme might as well be Beatdowns and Bagels. Max Holloway dominated Calvin Kattar...
  • Watch bombers in Palm Springs event

    Watch bombers in Palm Springs event

    Kevin Na shot 61-65 on the weekend to win the Sony Open in Hawaii at as high as 80-1 odds. Na (40-1) will attempt to win in back-to-back weeks this week...
  • Schedule critical in CBB futures bets

    Schedule critical in CBB futures bets

    Last week we discussed the importance of taking a positive approach to college basketball futures betting. That is, focus on playing plus numbers instead...
  • First impressions as hockey returns

    First impressions as hockey returns

    It’s great to have hockey back, but bettors must temper their expectations and trust their preseason projections. Therefore, this is a great time...
  • Tuley's Takes on Championship Sunday

    Tuley's Takes on Championship Sunday

    The NFL’s divisional playoff round was a mixed bag for us here at the Tuley’s Takes home office, though I spent Saturday at Circa with VSiN...
  • Injuries dog Chiefs, but Packers on roll

    Injuries dog Chiefs, but Packers on roll

    And then there were four. We’re looking forward to what is maybe the single best day on the NFL calendar: Championship Sunday. The matchups are...
  • Championship Sunday: Sifting recent trends

    Championship Sunday: Sifting recent trends

    For as different as this NFL season has been due to the impact of COVID-19, the first two weeks of the playoffs have generally followed the trends of...
  • How to gain edge betting CBB rematches

    How to gain edge betting CBB rematches

    (To view the charts with this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) In a typical college basketball season, and to a lesser degree this season,...
  • Mahomes mystery puts oddsmakers in bind

    Mahomes mystery puts oddsmakers in bind

    It’s generally easy for oddsmakers to post lines on most NFL games. The numbers are typically airtight, unlike in college football. A quarterback...
  • Championship Sunday capsules

    Championship Sunday capsules

    NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Buccaneers at Packers (3:05 p.m. ET Sunday) The Packers opened as consensus four-point home favorites against the...
  • With Pacers surging, Clippers on long haul

    With Pacers surging, Clippers on long haul

    Another week gone, and bettors have yet to see any NBA team separate itself from the pack. The Los Angeles Lakers seem like the surest thing on the board,...
  • 10 months in making, going all in on Bucs

    10 months in making, going all in on Bucs

    I made some bets on the Buccaneers last March that are now very much alive. These were placed the night before Tom Brady announced where he was signing....

Google Play
App Store
Close