Live On Air

Streaming now: Prime Time Action

play Watch Live radio Listen Live

Warriors keep rolling as Finals rematch with Cavs looms

By Matt Youmans  (VSiN senior editor) 

May 9, 2017 01:37 AM
curryutah
Stephen Curry, who scored 30 points to close out a sweep of Utah, leads the favored Warriors into the West finals.
© USA Today Sports Images

On a routine night for the Golden State Warriors, Stephen Curry scored 30 points and another outclassed opponent was put to sleep in a sweep.

The Warriors could be looking at a week or more off before the Western Conference finals. The Houston-San Antonio series is tied going into Game 5 on Tuesday, and the team that survives will be a big underdog in the next round.

Westgate sports book manager Jeff Sherman said he projects Golden State as about a 10-1 series favorite over the Rockets and as high as a 14-1 favorite over the Spurs.

VSiN oddsmaker Vinny Magliulo forecasts a little tighter line, saying the Warriors would be about minus-800 favorites in the West finals.

“All we do is just get murdered on every Warriors game they play. People will play them at whatever price,” Sherman said. “What can you do to get something on the ‘dog?”

The Warriors, 9-point road favorites and minus-550 on the money line, closed out the Utah Jazz with a 121-95 win on Monday. Sherman said the Westgate took a $35,000 money-line bet on Golden State at minus-450.

Draymond Green posted a triple-double with 17 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists. Klay Thompson scored 21, and Kevin Durant added a quiet 18 after dropping 38 points in Game 3. It’s this seemingly unstoppable four-headed force that Durant envisioned when he stunned the NBA world and signed as a free agent last summer.

If Kawhi Leonard and the Spurs advance, Sherman is far from optimistic about seeing a long series.

“It’s basically Kawhi against those four guys,” Sherman said, “and the Spurs have no chance.”

A Houston-Golden State series would be more appealing to bettors and bookmakers. The Rockets’ 3-point shooting ability and affinity for playing a fast pace probably would mean games with totals in the 230s. Proposition betting would be more attractive, too.

James Harden and the Rockets score in spurts and match up better with Golden State. The Spurs would find chasing the Warriors from behind to be much more difficult.

“Even if San Antonio gets out of that series, I think Houston is a better team,” Sherman said. “I don’t see anybody beating Golden State. I just don’t see it four times.”

In their 8-0 postseason run, the Warriors are 5-3 against the spread, winning by an average of 16.5 points.

The Cavaliers are cruising through the East, going 8-0 and 4-2-2 ATS while winning by an average of 9.6 points. However, all four of Cleveland’s first-round games against Indiana were decided by six points or fewer.

It’s also sit-back-and-wait time for the Cavaliers, who will rest for a week or more before the conference finals. The Washington-Boston series is tied going into Game 5 on Wednesday.

Cleveland is a minus-600 favorite to win the East. The Celtics are the No. 1 seed, but the Cavaliers would have home-court advantage against the Wizards.

While acknowledging Indiana and Toronto were weak teams that offered little resistance, Sherman said, “It looks like the Cavaliers have flipped the switch now.”

Entering the playoffs, and even in its series against the Pacers, Cleveland showed some signs of potentially imploding. But the Cavaliers have picked up their defensive intensity, and LeBron James is again proving he’s the NBA’s best player, even if he’s not voted MVP.

James is averaging 34.4 points and shooting 46.8 percent from 3-point range in the postseason.

Always dangerous driving to the basket, James is lethal and nearly impossible to defend when he’s shooting such a high percentage from long range.

James is giving the Warriors, while they wait to play again, something more to consider. A third consecutive Cleveland-Golden State matchup in the Finals still seems inevitable.

NBA adjusted series prices

(Posted at Westgate sports book)

Washington Wizards plus-135

Boston Celtics -155

----------

Houston Rockets plus-150

San Antonio Spurs -170

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • Bulls' Futures Improve with DeRozan, Plus Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

    Bulls' Futures Improve with DeRozan, Plus Wednesday MLB Sharp Report

    Day 1 of NBA Free Agency was won by the Miami Heat, who improved from + 3500 to + 2500 to win the NBA Title after signing Kyle Lowry....
  • Mr. Ed's Saratoga on (about) $100 a Day (8-4)

    Mr. Ed's Saratoga on (about) $100 a Day (8-4)

    MONEY MATTER$: After three weeks, it appears Mr. Ed is better at predicting the weather than picking winners … No one promised Mr. Ed a rose...
  • youmans

    Sharps get in on preseason action

    When the NFL preseason kicks off Thursday, the only action Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger might get is a TV interview with a sideline reporter....
  • USATSI_16495000

    My favorite Olympic bets for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning

    It was a disappointing walk-off loss for Team Israel against the Dominican Republic in Olympic baseball. I thought we were going to get a nice winner...
  • reynolds

    Best bets for Memphis PGA event

    The PGA Tour took a week off for the Olympic Games but returns to Memphis for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational with an elite field of just 66 players....
  • kuhn

    Analytical look at UFC 265

    (To view the charts accompanying this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) Even with the loss of an Amanda Nunes title defense, the fight card...
  • finocchiaro

    Gane, Lewis offer UFC contrasts

    UFC 265 will be held in front of a packed house Saturday in Houston. This fight card is stacked with key matchups and clashes of styles featuring fighters...
  • hill

    Split ticket: 1 bet on NFL, 1 on MLB

    Surely some of you have these types of people in your life: “You bet on the NFL preseason?” Those who judge you for betting on the NFL exhibition...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on NFL topics

    I celebrated my 55th birthday Monday, and my best gift every year at the Tuley’s Takes home office party is that football season is here! The...
  • makinen_cfl

    Getting reacquainted with CFL

    Football returns this weekend, not quite in full force. But unlike the NFL preseason game Thursday night, the results actually count in the Canadian Football...
  • andrews

    Outlooks for Steelers, Cowboys

    Don’t get caught napping! Pro football returns Thursday night with the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Dallas Cowboys in the annual Hall of Fame Game...
  • makinennfl

    Betting trends for HOF game

    (To view the chart accompanying this report, subscribe to Point Spread Weekly) It’s not the Super Bowl or the regular-season kickoff, but the...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close