Value flips to underdog Seahawks

December 28, 2019 03:14 PM
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Marshawn Lynch was on the sidelines for the 2019 Super Bowl. Can he help the Seahawks get there in 2020?
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The NFL season finale of Sunday Night Football (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) is must-see TV as the San Francisco 49ers (12-3) visit the Seattle Seahawks (11-4) for the NFC West title.

The 49ers, who are also trying to clinch home-field advantage in the NFC playoffs, opened as 1-point road favorites last Sunday. The line has now crossed the key number of 3 and we feel the value has flipped to the Seahawks as 3.5-point home underdogs.

There’s been a lot of talk about the rash of injuries in Seattle, especially in the offensive backfield. However, Marshawn “Beast Mode” Lynch is back to help the running game, but even though Pete Carroll loves to establish the running game, this is more of a passing team these days with QB Russell Wilson spreading the ball around to his receivers. In addition, the defense welcomes back a beast of its own in pass rusher Jadaveon Clowney, who missed the last two games, in addition to LB Mychal Kendricks and CB Shaquill Griffin.

I also like the fact that the Seahawks won the first meeting in L.A., 27-24 in overtime, as they outrushed and outpassed the 49ers and the defense sacked Jimmy Garopollo five times. I feel the Seahawks match up very well with the 49ers, and now -- even though the Seahawks lost to the Cardinals last week at home – they know get the 49ers in Seattle, which is still a very tough place to go in and win.

Finally, just like last week when I liked the Eagles over the Cowboys because of their (recent) championship pedigree and coaching edge, I trust Carroll and the Seahawks’ experienced players more in crunch time over 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan and his team. Besides, if it comes down to FGs at the end like the first meeting, it’s nice to be getting plus 3.5.

THE PLAY: Seahawks plus 3.5.

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

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Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

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VSiN PrimeTime: Be aware of injuries on the offensive line, skill positions get the most publicity, but if an elite tackle is out it could have a huge impact on the game. View more tips.

A Numbers Game: If you’re just getting into soccer betting, make sure you know exactly what you’re betting. i.e. Double chance, to win, to advance, etc. View more tips.
 
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