Ultimate 2021 Masters betting guide: Sunday's best bets

By VSiN Staff  (VSiN.com) 


Masters Betting Guide

The 2021 Masters will be played less than five months from the previous major held in November. Which golfers are in form? Which players offer the best betting value? Which matchups are best to bet on?

Our mega Masters betting tournament preview from Brady Kannon, Wes Reynolds, Jeff Sealey, Matt Youmans gives their best value bets, matchups they like and a breakdown for every player in the field.

We'll also update the file after every round to give best bets for the next day.


Round 4 best bets

Kannon: If the thunder don't get you, then the lightning will.

A weather delay interrupted Moving Day at Augusta National Golf Club for over an hour, but after returning to action around 2:15 p.m. Pacific Time/5:15 p.m. ET, lightning was still striking in the area in the form of Hideki Matsuyama. Matsuyama made a brilliant par save with a putt from over 10 feet on the 10th hole before the weather stoppage. On VSiN’s The Green Zone, I made the comment that often a big putt for par like that can propel a player to greater things. When the delay hit, both my co-host Wes Reynolds and I thought this might be a bad break for Matsuyama, possibly putting a halt to his apparent momentum.

Won't you try just a little bit harder? Couldn't you try just a little bit more? 

But Matsuyama picked up right where he left off, birdieing holes 11 and 12 and then making eagle on the 15th. He added birdies at 16 and 17 and made a beautiful scrambling par at 18 to finish off a round of 65, which included a 30 on the back nine.

Matsuyama owns a four-shot lead at 11-under par, better than four players at 7-under for the tournament (Xander Schauffele, Justin Rose, Marc Leishman and Will Zalatoris). Schauffele will join Matsuyama in Sunday's final pairing.

Twenty-five of the last 30-Masters winners have come from the final pairing on Sunday.

The last Masters winner to come from beyond the Top 5 on the leaderboard was Nick Faldo in 1985. Corey Conners is currently in sixth place at 6-under par, while Jordan Spieth is in seventh at 5-under.

The last 24 Masters champions have been within four shots of the lead.

Only four players in Masters history have blown a 54-hole lead, when leading by 4-strokes or more.

If you are currently holding a ticket on Matsuyama to win, you likely have him anywhere from 40 to 60-1. You can hedge by taking Xander Schauffele against him in a final round head-to-head matchup and possibly still win both bets. Xander might shoot a lower final round -- to win the matchup bet -- but Hideki could still win the tournament to cash the futures ticket.

Schauffele is in the neighborhood of 5-1 to come from four shots back and win, while Zalatoris is at 10-1 (as are Rose and Leishman). Once again, the best value may be on Zalatoris because he is a Masters rookie. I would not mind having Schauffele to pull off the upset because he is in the final pairing -- where the winner typically comes from -- and he'll be able to deliver direct pressure to his playing partner if he can get on a roll, but his price is not terrific. I think I'd want to get at least 7-1 before getting involved on Schauffele.

Matsuyama is a -120 or -130 favorite to go on and win The Masters on Sunday, and that might actually be a little cheap. The problem is the situation for him: Incredible pressure and he’s coming off of a scorching-hot back nine on Saturday. As was the case with Justin Rose after his opening-round 65, Matsuyama is likely to cool off. Can he stay calm? Can he avoid a blow-up round?

The wheel is turning and you can't slow down. You can't let go and you can't hold on. You can't go back and you can't stand still.

Hideki Matsuyama will likely be spinning in a number of different directions on the eve of possibly his first major championship and it could be one very difficult night's sleep, having never been in this position before in his long and decorated career.

Faring thee well now, Hideki.

Let your life proceed by its own design. Nothing to tell now. Let the words be yours, I'm done with mine.

Round 3 best bets to make

Kannon: I lit out from the first-round lead, I was trailed by 20 hounds. Didn’t get to sleep last night ‘til the morning came around.

Justin Rose showed signs of the inevitable regression round early on in Day 2 of the tournament after firing a Masters career-low 65 on Thursday and was at one point, 3-over par. But Rosey rambled on once again and was able to salvage an even par round of 72 to maintain the lead at 7-under par heading into Moving Day at Augusta National Golf Club.

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