UFC Fight Night preview: Best bets for Volkov-Rozenstruik

June 4, 2022 07:46 AM

This week, UFC LV56 takes place at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. The venue is noteworthy as the main event is in the heavyweight division and the Octagon at the APEX is the smaller 25-foot platform. 

For fighters weighing more than 185 pounds, finish rates are 5% higher in the smaller Octagon since May 2020. 

Two weeks ago, Holly Holm (-210) was defeated via decision, but I was saved by Michel Pereira, who not only beat his opponent but decisioned him as well. I went 2-1 (-0.10 units) for the day. 

2022 profitability: 11-6 (+ 4.29 units)

Alexander Volkov (-145) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (+ 125) 

Heavyweight (265 pounds) | Main event

The men’s heavyweight division lacks depth. Ngannou, Blaydes, Jones, Aspinall and Gane (and Miocic until his next fight) are the combatants I regard as legitimate threats to hold the belt. 

Our combatants in Saturday’s main event are two of the athletes in the next tier.

This critical bout elevates the winner to just outside that elite group and dashes any immediate title hopes for the loser. For these two men, this is a career-defining fight and foundational in determining who secures that sixth slot in a division five deep.

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