UFC Fight Night best bets: Felder-Dos Anjos


When the main event for this week’s UFC Las Vegas 14 card lost one of its headliners, the organization adapted quickly to provide Brazilian lightweight Rafael dos Anjos an opponent for Saturday night. Seventh-ranked lightweight contender Paul Felder was announced as that co-headliner. This short-notice main event has layers of intrigue, as compelling reasons indicate each man has an excellent chance at victory.

Last week I missed in hemispheric fashion on my release of Thiago Santos. Glover Teixeira fought effectively while Santos looked faint-hearted and hesitant. That embarrassing loss could have been worse only had I taken Santos straight up -240. By using him as one leg of a parlay, the loss was minimized to a single unit for the evening.

The other release was Brendan Allen, but his opponent tested positive for COVID-19 at the last minute, forcing cancellation. Allen now receives a short-notice opponent for this slate in a catchweight fight that will be a contender for fight of the night.

Last week favorites ran 8-2, with both main and co-main event underdogs cashing.

Favorites in 2020 are 252-117-13 (65.9%), the highest it has been since 2017. I do believe a dog run is coming and I’ll be poised to try to attack when, not if, that run occurs.

Rafael dos Anjos -195 vs. Paul Felder 175, lightweight (155 pounds), main event

This fight was put together in a few hours after dos Anjos’ original opponent came down with a staph infection. The UFC swapped in Felder, the seventh-ranked lightweight contender.

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