UFC best bets: Ortega-Rodriguez

July 12, 2022 08:08 PM

This week the UFC travels to UBS Arena on Long Island, New York, for UFC on ABC 3, a 12-bout slate headlined by a featherweight main event. With the fighters competing in the larger, 30-foot octagon and with eight of the bouts scheduled for 145 pounds or less, decisions may be in abundance.

There has been a rash of questionable decisions handed down in recent fights, with Exhibit A being Michael Johnson’s loss last week. Don’t be surprised if we see more of the same on Saturday. The New York State Athletic Commission has a history of strangely scored fights, so I will be treading lightly in the lower-weight-division bouts.

Last week, Rafael Fiziev (-230) finished Rafael dos Anjos in the fifth round of a highly competitive main event. Insight the Octagon profits in 2022: 15-10 3.59 units.

Brian Ortega (-160) vs. Yair Rodriguez ( 135)

Featherweight (145 pounds) | Main event

This is ostensibly a title elimination bout as No. 2 Ortega faces No. 3 Rodriguez. Fundamentally, this is a bout that may be less competitive than the current pricing indicates.

Rodriguez is a flashy, technically efficient striker whose speed and athleticism have carried him into this opportunity. In any standing fight, he has the potential to score efficiently and over time pile damage upon opponents.

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