UFC best bets: Aspinall-Blaydes

July 23, 2022 06:30 AM
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The O2 arena in London hosts this week’s UFC event, with prelims beginning at noon ET/9 a.m. PT. The card features 14 bouts in the larger 30-foot octagon. 

Last week Lauren Murphy beat the brakes off of Miesha Tate, further proving that once retired, athletes should remain so … especially in MMA. Murphy via decision + 250 hit as did the straight-up + 195 half-unit investment.

Insight the Octagon 2022 profitability: 17-10 + 5.82 units

Tom Aspinall (-140) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+ 115)

Heavyweight (256 pounds) | Main event

These heavyweights are fighting to determine who remains a top-six talent in a division that is only really six men deep in worthy contenders. Jon Jones is included, which means there’s pressure on the loser of this bout. For Blaydes, it means further delay in gaining one more shot at the belt. For Aspinall, any setback should be temporary because he is still very much developing as an elite heavyweight fighter.

Aspinall, the sixth-ranked Englishman, was last seen finishing Alexander Volkov via armbar in the first round of their fight in March in the same arena. I thought Volkov would provide Aspinall a stern test that night, which of course could not have been further from the truth. My release of that bout to see the fourth round was made folly by Aspinall’s athleticism, footwork and speed.

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