Tuley's Thoroughbred Takes for races on Saturday, July 10

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

July 10, 2021 04:17 AM

We’re into the summer horse racing season with the big meets at Saratoga and Del Mar about to appear on the horizon, and Team Tuley continues to look for value from coast to coast.

Last Saturday, I had Wolfie’s Dynaghost ($10.80 to Win, $6 to Place) in Belmont’s 8th race and Rampart race & sports book manager Duane Colucci had the Late Pick 4 at Gulfstream for $89.40 for a small profit to get things going on the holiday weekend.

We’ll try to have more and bigger winners this week as I posted three spot plays early Saturday morning while Ed Sehon added two plays and John Lauro offered an exacta box in Belmont’s featured 9th race. After early scratches, Colucci posted two spot plays and he and Sehon gave their tickets on the Late Pick 4 at Belmont.

Good luck today (and every day!).

SATURDAY

Belmont Race No. 3 (2:02 p.m. ET/11:02 a.m. PT)

Ed Sehon likes #1 Ifihadachance (5-1 morning line). “Consistent sort in sprints stretches out to mile for capable Falcone barn and draws inside post for aggressive rider Luis Saez, who returns. This 5-year-old mare (19-3-4-1) will need her very best effort to defeat mostly younger, compact field of six in allowance test for New York-bred gals. If I had a chance to wager on her, I would, but betting isn’t permitted legally in NC (though I can head to an OTB over the border or call in a favor to Tuley). My play: Win & Place.”

Belmont Race No. 6 (3:34 p.m. ET/12:34 p.m. PT)

Ed Sehon likes #9 Rift Valley (8-1 morning line). “Simmering Jerkens barn sends 4-year-old son of Pioneerof the Nile back to grass for third time while retaining Javier Castellano in silks. Colt gets blinkers for second time and running lines indicate he’ll be able to handle possible move to dirt if wet conditions dictate. Look for him to prevail late at a generous price. My play: Across the board (Win, Place & Show).”

Belmont Race No. 7 (4:06 p.m. ET/1:06 p.m. PT)

Dave Tuley likes #1 Con Lima (5-1 morning line) and #7 Plum Ali (7-2 morning line) in the Grade 1 Belmont Oaks Invitational Stakes. “This 1 1/4-mile turf race should set up for a closer, and the best one in the field is #7 Plum Ali and the 3-year-old filly also retains the services of top closing jockey Joel Rosario. #1 Con Lima should be the pacesetter from the rail and believe she’ll stick around to the end, so using 1 & 7 in exotics (definitely in exactas and probably wheeling in trifectas). Note: I’d love for Con Lima to hold onto that 5-1 morning-line price as she’s also my A.I. Pick of the Week at vsin.com/horses.”

Duane Colucci likes #3 Higher Truth (12-1). “Chad Brown runner is undefeated at Belmont, including two victories at this distance and improving each start. Also has steady workouts and Jose Ortiz, who needs two victories to seal Belmont riding title. Don’t believe we’ll get 12-1, but this is a very competitive field so the price will be good. Bet 3 to Win and key 3 over 1,5 & 7 in exactas, trifectas and reverse (and box an extra 3-7 exacta).”

Belmont Race No. 8 (4:38 p.m. ET/1:38 p.m. PT)

Dave Tuley likes #4 Ova Charged (10-1 morning line) in the Grade 3 Victory Ride Stakes. “This 3-year-old filly is stepping up in class, but she’s 2-for-2 lifetime with wins by 10 and 5 3/4 lengths and maybe she’s just this good! Wager: Win & Place.”

Belmont Race Nos. 8-11 (4:38 p.m. ET/1:38 p.m. PT)

Ed Sehon likes the following $0.50 Pick 4 (cost $128)

Race 8: 2,3,5,7

Race 9: 2,5,6,7

Race 10: 1,3,9,11

Race 11: 4,5,6,12

Duane Colucci likes the following $0.50 Pick 4 (cost $72)

Race 8: 2,3,7

Race 9: 2,5,6,7

Race 10: 3,8,9,11

Race 11: 5,10,11

Belmont Race No. 9 (5:12 p.m. ET/2:12 p.m. PT)

John Lauro likes #2 Bolshoi Ballet (7-5 morning line) and #7 Tokyo Gold (15-1) in the Grade 1 Belmont Derby Invitational Stakes. “The two shippers lay over the field class-wise. Tokyo Gold is coming off winning the Italian Derby and Bolshoi Ballet needs firm ground to show his true form. Strong Exacta box with 2 & 7.” [Editor’s note: monitor the condition of the turf course.]

Duane Colucci likes #6 Hard Love (5-2 morning line). “Super turf record thus far (3-for-4), including 2-for-2 at Belmont. Trainer Jonathan Thomas and jockey Manuel Franco have a $6.53 ROI when teaming up, which is huge! Should handle the class hike no problem. Bet 6 to Win and key 6 over 2,5 & 7 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”  

Delaware Race No. 9 (5:15 p.m. ET/2:15 p.m. PT)

Dave Tuley likes #7 Final Cut (12-1 morning line) in the Grade 2 Delaware Handicap. “This race looks pretty wide-open to me. Final Cut invades from Kentucky and has some sneaky early speed that could steal this on the front end if allowed to set reasonable fractions. She’s stepping up in class and moving back to dirt, but trainer Victoria Oliver is 13% when moving from turf to dirt and jockey Jaime Rodriguez hits at 20% on early-speed types so Final Cut is worth a shot. #1 Gibberish is the main threat for the early lead from the Saffie Joseph Jr. barn. Wager: Win & Place on 7 and use 7 with 1 in exotics.”

Note: also check out our A.I. Pick of the Week at vsin.com/horses as we’ve gone 8-for-16 since taking over the feature for a nice ROI of $2.53 for every $2 wagered to Win. There are also more plays from 1ST/BET handicappers on that page at vsin.com/horses.

 
 
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