(Note: Updated after early scratches/changes Sunday morning, which included 12 scratches on the Gulfstream card with rain in the forecast.)
This is the eighth installment of “Tuley’s Thoroughbred Takes” for the week of May 6-10 as me and my handicapping friends look for value at the horseracing tracks that are still running during the coronavirus pandemic.
Our group had a series of close calls Saturday, with mostly 3rd- and 4th-place finishes before Ed Sehon came through with a 5/1 winner in Gulfstream’s Race 11 (full recaps at end of column).
We have four plays for Sunday by Sehon, Rampart assistant racebook manager Duane Colucci and yours truly with Gulfstream the only major thoroughbred track running. With the inclement weather, maybe tread lightly. Happy Mother's Day.
Gulfstream Race No. 5 (3:11 p.m. ET/12:11 p.m. PT)
Ed Sehon likes #8 I’m That Bird (4/1 morning line). “Improving 3-year-old daughter of 2004 Belmont Stakes champion Birdstone ships back across state from Tampa Bay Downs to drop into this low-level claimer at a mile. Trainer James Gulick, who brings her back after four-week layoff, attracts up-and-coming rider Emisael Jaramillo. Look for “Bird” to take flight in the lane. Wager: Win & Place.”
Gulfstream Race No. 8 (4:46 p.m. ET/1:46 p.m. PT)
Dave Tuley likes #4 Create Again (10/1). He’s showed speed vs. better in an allowance race last time out and now drops into $50,000 claimer. Could be the lone speed and expecting the Gulfstream strip to be speed-favoring as usual, especially with him kicking mud in his rivals’ face. Wire to wire at a nice price.
Gulfstream Race No. 9 (5:17 p.m. ET/2:17 p.m. PT)
Ed Sehon likes #5 Fuel the Bern (7/2 morning line). “Away since February, this veteran campaigner (25-5-7-4) makes his second start as a 6-year-old for 36% trainer Danny Gargan. Super-sharp work last Sunday signals horse is ready to fire from the get-go under rebounding rider Chris Landeros in this six-furlong $50,000 open claiming sprint. Wager: Win.”
Gulfstream Race No. 10 (5:47 p.m. ET/2:47 p.m. PT)
Duane Colucci likes #3 All Around (12/1 morning line). “This Luis Ramirez trainee steps up off a slight layoff with some sharp workouts, especially on May 2 and a bullet on April 12. Ramirez has $3.87 ROI first off a claim and is 2-for-6 at the current meet.”
Prior day’s results:
Gulfstream Race No. 6
Duane Colucci liked #8 Strong Headed (8/1 morning line)…went off 7/2...ran midpack most of the rest and then rallied to finish 3rd of 11.
Gulfstream Race No. 7
Dave Tuley liked #1 American Tab (6/1 morning line)…went off 6/1…raced in back of field most of the five-furlong race and rallied to finish 3rd of 9.
Tampa Bay Race No. 8
Dave Tuley liked #1 Juan Pablo (20/1 morning line)…went off 21/1…ran 8th of 9 for the first mile of the mile and three-eighths race and then rallied to finish 4th, just a head from the 3rd-place finisher.
Gulfstream Race No. 9
Duane Colucci liked #9 Social Paranoia (3/1 morning line)…went off 3/1…raced midpack most of the race and then got up to finish 3rd of 9.
Ed Sehon liked #11 Admission Office (5/2 morning line)…went off 9/2…stalked pacesetters in 3rd for opening half-mile of the mile and a sixteenth race and then flattened out to finish 4th of 9.
Gulfstream Race No. 10
John Lauro liked #1 Counter Offer (6/1 morning line)…went off 17/1…sat well off the pace early and was only able to mount a mild rally to finish 6th of 12.
Gulfstream Race No. 11
Ed Sehon liked #3 Tap It to Win (5/1 morning line)…went off 5/1…sat off the pace for the opening four furlongs of the six-furlong race and then went four-wide to overtake the leaders and win by 1.5 lengths, paying $12.40 to Win and $7 to Place.