Tuley's Thoroughbred Takes for April 29 through May 2

April 29, 2020 12:01 AM

This is our seventh installment of “Tuley’s Thoroughbred Takes” for the week of April 29 through May 3 as me and my handicapping friends look for value at the horseracing tracks that are still running during the coronavirus pandemic.

Despite the postponement of the Kentucky Derby, Saturday was a great day of racing, highlighted by trainer Bob Baffert sweeping the two divisions of the Arkansas Derby with Charlatan and Nadal. Our group’s plays were highlighted by Ed Sehon giving out the Late Pick 4 at Oaklawn, paying $232.25 for a 50-cent ticket (recaps at the end of this column).

On Sunday, we have five plays to hopefully cap off our group’s most successful week on a winning note.

SUNDAY

Gulfstream Race No. 4 (2:15 p.m. ET/11:15 a.m. PT)

Ed Sehon likes #3 Competitive Saint (8/1 morning line). “Veteran trainer George Weaver knows how to get high-priced 3-year-olds like Competitive Saint ($160,000 son of Competitive Edge) ready to fire at first asking (21% debut runners). String of 12 consistent workouts at Palm Beach training center confirm colt’s fitness. Journeyman Edgar Zayas along for the ride. Wager: Win & Place.”

Tampa Bay Downs No. 7 (3:42 p.m. ET/12:42 p.m. PT)

Duane Colucci likes #9 All Others Follow (7/2 morning line). “Trainer Chad Brown debut turf runner has solid turf breeding and gets the services of top rider Antonio Gallardo. Brown has 16 starters at the current meet with five wins, five place and three shows, plus the Brown/Gallardo combo is winning at over 50% this Tampa meet. Brown also has a $2.13 ROI with first-time turfers, hitting 26% as well. Plenty of upside.”

Tampa Bay Downs No. 9 (4:43 p.m. ET/1:41 p.m. PT)

Dave Tuley likes #2 Wowee (6/1 morning line). She’s been knocking on the door at this claiming level and had some sneaky early fractions, so we’re hoping she can inherit the lead from the #2 post and wire the field. Even if she doesn’t grab the early lead, she can run with these other nonwinners of two races.

Gulfstream No. 11 (5:57 p.m. ET/2:57 p.m. PT)

Dave Tuley likes #4 R Prerogative (6/1 morning line). I like this kind of horse who’s always competitive and knows her way to the winner’s circle (14 career starts, 4 wins, 3 seconds, 4 thirds). She can go to the lead or stalk the pace, and jockey Emisael Jaramillo has been riding well of late. I fear #10 Flashing Diamond (9/2 morning line but will probably be shorter with Irad Ortiz Jr. up) as she has 9 wins from 25 starts, so I’ll use the 4-12 in the exotics.

Gulfstream Race No. 12 (6:29 p.m. ET/3:29 p.m. PT)

Ed Sehon likes #5 Keep Quiet (9/2 morning line). “Conditioner Bob Hess plays the claiming game as well as any trainer. This 6-year-old gelding ships in from Fair Grounds, where he competed against much tougher, for this mile-and-an-eighth turf test. Look for top young jock Tyler Gaffalione to bring closer home just in time. Wager: Win and box in Exactas with 2, 7 and 10.”

 

Prior day’s results

SATURDAY

Gulfstream Race No. 6

Ed Sehon liked #8 Fast Fionnuala (6/1 morning line)…went off 6/1…dropped back early and never rallied, finishing 7th of 8.

Gulfstream Race No. 9

Ed Sehon liked #10 Ivyetsu (12/ morning line)…went off 25/1…broke several lengths behind field, rushed up to 4th place after half-mile but faded before the stretch, finishing last of 12.

Oaklawn Race No. 11 (6:29 p.m. ET/3:29 p.m. PT)

Ed Sehon liked #1 Charlatan (1/1 morning line)…went off as 2/5 favorite in first division of Arkansas Derby..totally controlled race, setting fractions throughout and pulling away to impressive 6-length victory, paying $2.80 to Win…Sehon’s Exacta box with Goveneur Morris was split Basin.

In addition, Sehon’s $.50 Late Pick 4 play on Oaklawn Races 11-14 (which cost $48 after the scratch of Improbable in Race 12) came in 1-12-5 9 and paid $232.25 thanks to Take Charge d’Oro winning the finale at 18/1.

Dave Tuley liked three horses to possibly upset Charlatan #4 Gouveneur Morris (9/2 morning line) went off 4/1, settled in off the pace, made a decent move but was only able to get up for 3rd…#11 Basin (8/1 morning line) went off 9/1, ran second behind Charlatan throughout but was clearly second-best…#2 My Friends Beer (20/1 morning line) went off 40/1, raced midpack but then faded, finishing last of 9….Tuley’s 1-2-4-11 Exacta and Trifecta boxes both cashed as it came in 1-11-4, but with the chalky result, they lost money, returning only $6.80 for the Exacta and $8.20 for the Trifecta.

Oaklawn Race No. 12 (7:04 p.m. ET/4:04 p.m. PT)

Duane Colucci liked #14 Improbable (8/1), but he was SCRATCHED on Saturday morning and Colucci switched to #11 Tax (15/1 morning line)…went off 12/1, was forwardly placed and sat 3rd after six furlongs, but didn’t have anything left for the stretch, finishing 5th of 13.

Dave Tuley liked #8 Sky Promise (20/1 morning line)…dropped to dead-last early as expected, but only mounted mild rally, finishing 7th of 13.

Oaklawn Race No. 13 (7:43 p.m. ET/4:43 p.m. PT)

Ed Sehon likes #11 Wells Bayou (7/2 morning line)…went off 6/1…grabbed early lead and led field through opening six furlongs, but gave way, finishing 5th of 9.

Duane Colucci likes #10 Farmington Road (12/1 morning line)…went off 6/1, dropped to back of field early, mounted mild rally but was only able to get up for 4th.

back to news

FREE Email Sign-Up

Get the latest sports betting news & VSiN programming updates with this free daily email from VSiN, The Sports Betting Network.

Headlines

View All
  • Zach_LaVine

    Tuley's Takes Today: Tuesday recaps, Circa Quarter prizes, Wednesday best bet (12/8)

    “You can’t win ‘em all.” If you were to watch games with me in the Tuley’s Takes home office or in one of the sportsbooks...
  • bama

    Early CFP Semifinals Sharp Report

    Today bettors have a loaded Wednesday slate to choose from including 13 NBA games, 4 NHL games and 50 College Basketball games. For an updated breakdown...
  • USATSI_17214623

    Peterson: Best bet for Wyoming vs. Arizona

    The Wyoming Cowboys have started out the season with eight straight wins, but face their toughest test yet when they go to Tucson on Wednesday to face...
  • makinennfl

    Analyzing NFL QBs for betting success

    I have always been a football handicapper who puts a ton of stock into the quality of quarterback play. In my opinion, there is no more important position...
  • makinencbb

    Ten midmajors to watch

    The college basketball season has been up and running for nearly a month, and it’s a good time to start plotting for the rest of the season based...
  • makinencfb

    Who's hot, not ahead of bowls?

    With college bowl season opening Dec. 17, here’s a look at which bowl-bound teams are hot and which are not, as well as teams that have had big...
  • burkesurvivor

    Tricky week in survivor pools

    There are only five weeks left in the NFL regular season, but for those still alive in survivor pools, the light at the end of the tunnel is merely a...
  • burkecbb

    Why pace matters in college hoops

    A lot of early-season questions have been answered in college basketball. But as conference play kicks into gear, adjustments will be needed. There...
  • tuley

    Tuley's Takes on NFL Week 14

    NFL Week 13 was another roller-coaster ride here in the Tuley’s Takes home office, but as has happened many weekends this season, teasers saved...
  • hill

    NFL capsules for Week 14

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) will be looking for their second win in five days when they...
  • appelbaum

    Five NFL games on wise guys' radar

    It was a mixed bag for NFL Week 13 bettors as favorites went 8-6 SU and 8-6 ATS. Dogs remain profitable for the season at 107-85-1 ATS (56 percent). ...
  • macneil

    NHL teams slip-sliding away

    The Canucks and Flyers fired their coaches over the weekend, and the Canucks took it a step further, firing their general manager as well. It’s...

custom-banner-3
VSiN Logo Plus

Free Trial

Make a risk-free bet on VSiN!

VSiN+ FREE TRIAL

  • Afternoon subscriber-only email with highlights and best bets from the day's programs
  • Point Spread Weekly, VSiN's digital magazine on sports betting
  • 24-7 Live video stream of VSiN programs plus replays
  • Any special sport-specified betting guides we do
  • All exclusive subscriber-only stories and data on VSiN.com
Sign Up Now
Google Play
App Store
Close